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Saturday, October 17: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 17, 2020

It is Super Gold Finals night at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The very popular 0.20 Pick 5 kicks-off the card. The sequence has a $100,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

4-Up And Ready (5-1)-The last 2 starts were of different tactics and both were good efforts. McNair should be aggressive here and this could be the time for a picture when the big money is on the line.
5-Imextraspecial (5/2)-This is a very nice filly who has been on her game throughout the year and benefits from a nice post draw. Walker barn doesn't race often but has won 44% of starts last 30 days. Should be bet and is a major player.
6-Dashing Muscle (4-1)-Has finished 2nd to #5 in last 2 starts and has only raced 6 times. This is another filly who could be sitting on a big try at a fair price.

Race 2

3-Lauras Love (5/2)-Has been off since 9/29 but tuned up on 10/13 to prepare for this start. Three-year-old loves to compete finishing in the money in 13 of 16 starts this year. Best to not overlook tonight.
4-Alicorn (7/2)-Drew off in an impressive 150.4 in last start which was the 1st win on Lasix. There isn't much gate speed inside and Roy may look to take command early on and not look back.
8-Rose Run Victoria (5-1)-Just missed after pacing the back half in 54.3. Now Jamieson returns, he knows well and that should help. Could be on the engine or in the 2-hole behind #4. Might be overlooked at the windows and is a real threat with a good trip.

Race 3

1-Royalty Deal (3-1)-This filly is 3rd on the leader board in 2020 earnings in this field. But seems to find ways to lose whether it's a pure break or an interference break, miscues have been costly in 4 of last 8 starts. Comes off 2 sharp victories and could make every call a winning one.
5-Trina (4-1)-Was used a couple of times in a sharp Gold win. Will look to string along and hope Shepherd can work a smooth journey.

Race 4

1-Candy Trader (8-1)-Tossing last break at FlmD because has fared well at Wbsb while facing tough freshmen. Doesn't have big gate speed but Filion has a post advantage over other main foes and he should put in play.
3-Lawless Shadow (2-1)-Program chalk hasn't finished well in last 2 starts. Regardless, from this post, winner in 4 of 8 this year deserves respect.
7-Bulldog Hanover (5/2)-Another who broke on a good track at FlmD last time. Before that posted 2 dominant wins versus Gold company. Looks like a major player, probably will offer little value but could be headed to the winner's circle with a decent trip.

Race 5

2-East End (5/2)-Auciello trainee has been the beaten chalk in last 2. Last week when dropped to this level, was stung hard into a 26.3 first quarter and faded down the lane. Looking for a less taxing trip and to stay in the mix.
3-Dreamfair Moxy (4-1)-Came up with a lifetime best 149.3 win versus much easier. Raced the 2nd half all on his own in .54 to draw off by 9 lengths. Anything close to that mile wins, so will string along.

My Ticket

Race 1) 4,5,6

Race 2) 3,4,8

Race 3) 1,5

Race 4) 1,3,7

Race 5) 2,3

Total Ticket Cost) = $21.60 for $0.20

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