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Monday, October 19: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al CImaglia

October 19, 2020

Woodbine Mohawk Park begins the week with an 11-race card. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 4 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

4-Take The Deal (8-1)-Comes off a good effort in Wbsb debut and was off 3 weeks. Beat a few of these in last and will look for a big try at a solid price tonight.
5-Legal Bettor (10-1)-Stepped up in last and cashed a 3rd place check. Best to not overlook, did race the 2nd half in
54.2 and has 11 wins in 60 starts at Mohawk.
8-Allstar Seelster (5/2)-Winner of 2 straight since being claimed by Barrington and last start was versus many from this crew. Does best work by blasting out to get the top and there isn't much gate speed in this race.

Race 5

3-Superlative (7/2)-Has been cashing checks facing tougher and this could be a spot to take a picture. This mare can get sucked around and use one nice brush to roll by late.
4-Highland Dynamite (8-1)-Tossing last from the 9-hole and fits with this crew. Won at this level in 1st start after the claim on 9/22. The Fine barn has been doing well and this mare looks like a player.
8-Steuben Hanover (3-1)-Takes a big drop and now returns to the level of a previous win on 8/11. Comes off a break and that has been an issue. Should be a factor if ready to give a top effort.

Race 6

2-Dreamy Fella (7/2)-Makes 3rd start since the Auciello claim and should compete with this group. Will use but won't put all my eggs in this basket, is 1-23 in 2020 and only 4-44 since 1/1/19.
3-Nocturnal Bluechip (5/2)-Drops again looking for a win and this time isn't off over 2 weeks between starts. Henry can make an early move and should be a big threat if all systems are go.
4-Mach Steady (8-1)-McClure sticks and steers for the 2nd time on this tough to figure 6-year-old. Drops and should be in play. Could be used in gimmicks but keep an eye on the board in a race without a standout.
6-Cliffhanger (5-1)-Moreau trainee has battled better but is only 2-25 this year. There have not been any gaps in lines over the last 2 starts and that hasn't happened for a while. Four-year-old has 9 wins in 47 start at Wbsb and might be a square price.

Race 7

2-Only Take Cash (7/2)-Drops into a better spot. Has been facing Preferred company and this mare hasn't been firing on all cylinders this year. Winner of >$550k in 2019 can cash the biggest check here and Henry should be able to work a good trip.
3-Im The Muscle (6-1)-Steps up after a nice win from post 10 racing the back half in 56.1. Winner of 4 of 14 at Wbsb has beaten similar and looks like a player. Roy can be aggressive with this post draw and could take a picture at a square price.

My Ticket

Race 4) 4,5,8

Race 5) 3,4,8

Race 6) 2,3,4,6

Race 7) 2,3

Total Ticket Cost) $14.40 for $0.20

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