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Monday, October 26: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 26, 2020

Woodbine Mohawk Park will start the week with an 11-race card. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 8 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

2-Grandma Heidi (5/2)-This is a spot to shine for Heidi after just missing versus Free Willy Hanover in last. McNair can get on the engine and she has beaten better here. A major player, who should be bet hard.
5-On The Ropes (8-1)-Beat this kind before back on 7/28 and has been facing tougher. Drury is back and that should help plus leads the field with 6 wins in 2020. Could be sitting right behind #2 at a more generous price.

Race 9

3-P L Jill (3-1)-Was a game winner from the 8 hole at this class on 9/28 and then had an even try last time from post 9. Should make the most of the post relief and best to not overlook.
5-Perfetto (7/2)-Winner of 2 straight has been sharp, will probably look to get the point and control things. If that plan happens without much push back it could be picture time again.
6-Hey Livvy (8/5)-Here's the fastest mare and the best horse this year who did sizzle the 2nd half in 53.2 in last. She is the winner with her best shot and the short field should help. Doesn't feel like a single to me but many will probably use her alone.

Race 10

2-East End (5/2)-Often in the hunt but is only 3-31 this year. Drops to a spot to shine and is a major threat with a top try and a good steer.
6-Dreamfair Moxy (4-1)-Beat cheaper then had a dull effort versus better than this. This is a scattered bunch and P L Jackson was sharp last week so will use here and if in striking range could close fastest of all.
7-Mc Pat (8-1)-Only 1-25 in 2020 but Roy steers here and has been tossing hints. Came the back half in 54.1 and should be a price.
10-American Virgin (6-1)-Dropped to this level on 10/19 and had the rail. This 8-year-old isn't quick off the gate, broke 5th and rallied late with a 27.1 last quarter. From the 2nd tier may follow #2 at the start and get a decent early seat.

Race 11

2-Teddys Littleangel (5-1)-Got on the engine and came 2nd on 10/16. Now steps up, could be overlooked and will use. Last start, came after being off since 9/28 and was scratched sick. Should be put in play early and there is not much gate speed in this field.
6-B Yoyo (7/2)-Stayed inside last week and came on late. Comes right back in a week and will look for a more aggressive steer. 1-21 record this year doesn't bode well but 10-year-old can beat this crew if dialed on high.
8-Wild And Crazy Guy (6-1)-Steps up after taking the long way around in last and did keep coming but couldn't make up much ground. Filion takes a spin and that's a plus, using in a race with a suspect field.

My Ticket

Race 8) 2,5

Race 9) 3,5,6

Race 10) 2,6,7,10

Race 11) 2,6,8

Total Ticket Cost) $14.40 for $0.20

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