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Hoosier Park Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 29, 2020

Hoosier Park has a 14-race card set to go this evening and the 0.50 Pick 4 starts in Race 3. That sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 3

3-Ramblin Art (6-1)-Back from DTN and is in with the same class as on 10/17 when finished 2nd. Dunn can be aggressive from this spot and may get the top and not look back.
4-Desire's Captain (3-1)-Beat straight $15K claimers in last with a 54.3 back half. Can race off cover or on the lead and best to respect in this spot.
10-Bay Rum (9/2)-Usually a slow starter so is pace dependent and was claimed out of the $15k claimers in last. Tetrick should be able to get in striking range at the top of the lane and the pace could be hot.

Race 4

2-Fox Valley Hustler (7/2)-Dunn gets the drive and will probably be bet hard but has won 8 of 24 at HoP. Three-year-old could get on the engine or get a close-up seat. Either way should be there at the wire.
4-Venom (3-1)-Had been dancing and doing well versus $30k-$40k claimers this summer. Form has slipped some, but this could be a spot to wake up. Wrenn takes a seat and that shouldn't hurt plus has taken 8 pictures in 18 tries at HoP.
5-Brysen (5-1)-Will take a swing and look for some value. Racing well but has had trouble sealing the deal here. 1-19 record at HoP is cause for concern but has tossed hints in recent efforts. Wilfong knows well and comes right back in 6 days.
6-Rockette Baby (2-1)-Program chalk looks the part but has not been able to win back-to-back after the last 3 victories. Does come off a sharp effort but missed a start and that has been happening plus will likely be bet hard.

Race 5

3-Steppin Hurry (5-1)-Steps-up but should fit well with this group and can get an advantageous trip from this post. With a live cover flow and a good steer this gelding could win at a square price.
7-Eeyore (6-1)-Steps-up after a sharp win with a 55.2 back half on 10/22. Should off a fair price in a field that isn't very deep and chalk is starting in the 2nd tier.
10-American Trademark (2-1)-Beaten even money chalk from the rail at this class in last should be in the hunt if Tetrick can work a trip. He may look to make an early move to the top. Willing to respect connections and not dismiss. But will use others being a short price from the 2nd tier.

Race 6

1-Ragin's Flight (3-1)-Claimed for $15k on 9/18 and drops again in search of a win. Should be forwardly placed versus $8,000 claimers and this is a spot to shine if all systems are "go".
9-The Great I Am (6-1)-Was claimed for $10k in August and is winless since. Has faced $8k claimers in last two but has been stuck outside. Last effort was the best in a while and was also from the 9 hole. Widger steers and if pace is honest could fly by late.

0.50 Pick 4

Total Bet=$18

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