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Monday, November 23: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

November 23, 2020

Tonight, the feature at Woodbine Mohawk Park rolls in Race 9, a Preferred Handicap Trot with a $36,000 purse. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 4 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

7-Charmbo Prince (4-1)-Three-year-old has not won a race since trying Lasix 8 starts ago. Missed a start but did come the back-half in 55.2 on 11/7. Saftic can put in play sooner and should be rolling down the lane.
8-Toccoa Falls (7/2)-Makes 3rd start for Team Hensley and did put forth a good effort in last try. Started from post 10 and did get into a live cover flow but couldn't catch the winner due to 30.1 third quarter after a 57.2 opening half. Should be a threat with a good steer.
9-The First Chapter (15-1)-Taking a swing for a price as this 5-year-old makes only his 10th start in 2020. Looking for an honest pace and with the right trip this guy could light up the board. Has 2 wins in 9 tries at Wbsb and the 2 picks above are a bit camera shy.

Race 5

4-Lone Wolf Terror (4-1)-The Wolf is an open book. Since the beginning of October every other start has been a win, and in the other he breaks. That sequence won't go on forever but can beat this group if he doesn't take steps.
6-Military Secret (3-1)-Drops in for a tag as some 4-year-olds do at this time of year before their 25% allowance goes away. Has only 1 win since the claim but has been cashing checks. Should like the company and best to respect chances for a picture.
9-Choreographer (7/2)-This is the probable winner if races back to last start when he cruised home in 152.4. Loses McClure who was out East this weekend, but Henry is more than capable. Five-year-old can leave as fast as the gate car.

Race 6

2-Im The Muscle (3-1)-Drops to the same level as last win on 10/26. Roy could blast out and should land on the point or no worse than in the 2-hole. This is a spot to wake-up and could be bet hard.
3-Only For Justice (7/2)-Here is the other dropper and this will be the 3rd start with hopples. Should be there at the wire if minds manners.
5-Superlative (4-1)-Bumps up after drawing off by 5 1/2 lengths and did cash checks versus better than this not long ago. Jamieson is back for his 2nd tour in the bike and best to not overlook this time, could get a close-up seat.

Race 7

2-Buzz (4-1)-Kadabra 8-year-old likes to race on the point or close to it. That can happen versus this crew without using a lot of gas. This looks like a good spot for a picture.
6-Hockey Hanover (3-1)-Hasn't taken a trip to the winner's circle since 7/7 and that was against better than this. Had an even effort when dropped to this level in last, but like #2 this could be a chance to snag an overdue win.
10-Wild And Crazy Guy (7/2)-There should be an honest pace, could get away okay and save ground. If JMac can work a trip and be in striking range down the lane this veteran could pounce late.

My Ticket

Race 4) 7,8,9

Race 5) 4,6,9

Race 6) 2,3,5

Race 7) 2,6,10

Total Ticket Cost) $16.20

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