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Saturday, November 28: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

November 28, 2020

Tonight, there is an 11-race card scheduled at Cal Expo. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 8 and it will be my focus.

The driver with the hottest hands on Friday was Lemoyne Svendsen with 3 trips to the winner's circle. The leading conditioner on the night was Robert Corbin with 2 wins.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

7-Its Pointless (9/5)-Qualifier on 11/15 was fine and did win 4 straight at CalX back in February and March. Kennedy is back aboard tonight, and the Graham barn has started out well with 2 wins in 7 starts.
8-Bobs Time (5/2)-Drew off by 4 1/2 lengths on a "good" track in CalX debut last weekend. Should be battling the morning line chalk for top honors and having a race at the track is an edge.

Race 9

3-Lincoln (5-1)-Nine-year-old doesn't win on a regular basis but this is a soft spot and does have a race at the track. Doesn't like an off track (1-35) so last week's line doesn't mean much. Kennedy is in the bike and will look for better.
4-Stanhope (3-1)-Not in love with the 3-1 morning line but HoP invader should fit with this bunch. Has never raced at CalX and is only 5 for 38 over the past 2 years. Hard to dismiss in a race without a standout, and hopefully won't be over bet.
5-Fly Away (6-1)-Comes off a pair of qualifiers and 11-year-old can beat this bunch if comes up with a top effort. Usually is in the hunt at this class and draws well.
6-Fox Valley B Gump (4-1)-Tuned-up last week versus the $6k claimers and came 3rd on an-off track. This spot makes more sense and may try to blast out and not look back.
8-Sin Machqueen (6-1)-Was racing against $4k claimers at Aces and did well in the fall. Raced last week versus $6k claimers and was hung to the half and folded. Should be better tonight and this post will help the price.

Race 10

2-Casey N Grinegan (6-1)-Took the long way around last week on an off-track with a 56.4 back half to take a picture and now faces better. That was the 1st start since 10/4 and has only recorded 1 win in 14 tries on a wet surface.
4-Brooklyn Moonshine (15-1)-This one is worth a swing at this price. Tuned-up against Open III company last week. Drops to a better spot and Plano is between the pipes.
5-Lakota Law (3-1)-Here is the morning line chalk, is 1-17 at CalX and has not raced since 10/3. This was Svendsen's choice over the 3 and will use but look to others was well.
9-Nightgirl (9/1)-Bertrand trainee has beaten $7k claimers at Aces and raced well in a tune-up here last week. The post is a challenge but has been in the money in 11 of 20 at CalX with 5 wins. Also leads the field in earnings ($24k) with 7 wins in 2020.

Race 11

5-Paloma Ruiz (9/5)-Camera shy 4-year-old has beaten better at Aces and has had a race over the track. Could be driven aggressively and should like the company.
6-Street Parade (2-1)-Raced well last week in 1st CalX appearance. Roland takes the lines and makes 2nd start for new barn. May leave and there isn't much gate speed in this race. Could control the pace and not get caught down the lane.

My Ticket

Race 8) 7,8

Race 9) 3,4,5,6,8

Race 10) 2,4,5,9

Race 11) 5,6

Total Ticket Cost) $16 for $0.20

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