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Saturday, December 05: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

December 5, 2020

The Meadowlands has a 13-race card on tap with the feature, a Preferred Pace with a $28,000 purse coming in Race 10. The
0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Last night at the Big M the drivers with the hottest hands were Yannick Gingras and Dexter Dunn with 3 wins. All 13 races were won by different conditioners.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Dealt A Winner (3-1)-Millionaire 8-year-old was just purchased by the Burke contingent for $80,000. Comes off a gate to wire win in Phl at this class and will likely be bet down.
3-Decision Day (7/2)-Has been trying hard and now gets both class and post relief. Likes the Big M, hitting the board in 17 of 35 races with 7 wins, should be a major player.
9-Heza Real Diamond (9/2)-This barn has had a good year and in the last 30 days is batting 28% for winners. The 148.4 mile was a bit of a surprise, but this guy has had a race time of 149.1 this year. The difference in last week's mile was it's all his doing and did pace the back half in 54.1. This post makes it tougher no doubt, but best to not overlook.

Race 7

1-The Candyman Can (3-1)-Didn't seal the deal in Big M debut but it was a big effort. Could make the most of drawing the rail and Gingras should work an effective trip for this Rockin Image colt.
4-No Quarter (7/2)-This will be the 2nd start for new connections since being purchased for $140,000 on 11/7. Willing to toss last after a rough ride from the 10-hole. Three-year-old faces older but has the speed to take a picture if dialed on high.

Race 8

1-B Stoney (8-1)-Although 0-4 this year Cullipher trainee knows how to win and may have finally found the right class. Makes 2nd start since 8/2, should be tighter after last week's mile and can win at a square price with a top effort.
2-Solo Story (15-1)-Taking a swing for a price in 3rd start at this class but now draws inside. Did roll a 53.4 last half but couldn't make up ground on a 148.4 winner. Has the gate speed to be in put in play sooner and could pop with a good steer.
7-Let It Ride N (3-1)-Aussie invader was good down under and looked even better in 1st local start and 1st try with Lasix at Phl. This is a step-up, there are some tough competitors and it's a long stretch, but best to respect.

Race 9

1-Always And Again (8-1)-Fits with this bunch but will need a trip and starting from the rail may not help. All that said, is too good to leave out at this price with the biggest threat starting from post 8.
3-Tru Love (7/2)-Gingras needs to get the top without much strain, then work a soft quarter and has a good chance to do so with this post draw. If that happens, will need to be game to fend off #8 and maybe a few others down the lane.
8-Bracken Storm A (3-1)-Probably not the trip Dunn wanted in last. The slow early pace and sharp move to the top by Dave Miller on the winner sealed the deal. But was game to the wire with a 26.4 final panel and usual pilot AMac is back. Looking for a more aggressive start and should be there at the wire.

My Ticket

Race 6) 2,3,9

Race 7) 1,4

Race 8) 1,2,7

Race 9) 1,3,8

Total Ticket Cost) $27 for $0.50

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