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Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

January 3, 2021

Cal Expo has a 12-race card set to go on their first Sunday night of racing of the meet. The 0.20 Pick 4 begins in Race 9. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

4-Bobs Time (5-1)-Cutting's choice over #2 has been in form and should benefit from a dry track and. Best to respect, has beaten this kind recently.
5-Danzig To Dharma (5-1)-Has had its own way for the most part versus mares and can beat this group if there is an honest pace. Can start slowly, so needs to get off the gate alertly and then find live cover to take a picture tonight.
6-Cut A Rug (6-1)-Even effort in last 2 and previously notched 2 wins with Plano steering and he is back tonight. Looking for a better try at a square price.
7-Bizys Beatle (5-1)-Drew off against NW1 with a 55.4 back half on a "good" track and now steps up. Has won 3 out of 7 on an off track and was bet down to 1/5. Using, but hoping isn't over bet.

Race 10

2-Cantholdmebackmack (3-1)-Bet down to 6/5 in last, was driven aggressively and the trip took its toll. Roland is back and should be in the mix with a smooth journey.
5-Lincoln (6-1)-Ten-year-old does not win much anymore but he has hit the basement and can be a player here at a solid price. Did roll late versus $4k claimers in last but needs to avoid a sluggish start.
7-Hi Ho's Little Rev (9/5)-Last win came on 9/18 at Haw versus NW1000L4. Drops and has been in too tough. Can beat this bunch and is hard to leave off this ticket but offers no value at 9/5.

Race 11

1-Gravelsinmytravel (7/2)-Drops into a good spot in 2nd start off the bench. Svendsen can get a good early seat and could get sucked around for 2nd win in the last 18 starts.
3-Frwil Dakota Sven (6-1)-Hasn't had much success since coming off the bench. Makes 4th start and takes a good drop-in class after breaking in last. Price should be right if can rebound with a top try as Cutting takes the lines.
5-Buzz Light (9/5)-Buzz broke stride on 12/12 and hasn't looked good since. Should enjoy the company and there is some risk to leave out, but at 9/5 doesn't offer any value.

Race 12

6-West Central Beach (6-1)-Comes off a tough trip but does try hard. Should offer a square price and even though is trip dependent Cutting can find live cover. Using and thinking the fractions could be lively and that should help.
7-Trump Train (4-1)-Loses Plano as he drives his pupil #2. That might help the price and the start will be key. If J Chappell can put in play early chances for success go up.
8-Joltin Joe (6-1)-Had a troubled trip in last but this will be the 2nd tour of duty for Roland and the trip should be better. Only 1-14 in 2020 but last race was the best effort in a while and that was coming off a judge's scratch.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$21.60

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