by Jeremy Plonk
February 23, 2021
Tampa Bay Downs has a rescheduled stakes double-offering Wednesday with a pair of turf sprints sharing the weekday marquee. Let’s dig into the artificial intelligence of the 1/ST BET app for a deeper dive into the main events, providing data-driven insight on an exciting day of racing at a track you may not always frequent.
Selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with the selections.
Tampa Bay Downs // Race 7 // 3:21 pm ET // Turf Dash Stakes // 5 furlongs (turf)
#5 The Critical Way (4-1 ML) // 31%W // 41%P // 50%S
#2 Imprimis (8-5 ML) // 13%W // 29%P // 40%S
#4 My Boy Lenny (15-1 ML) // 11%W // 21%P // 33%S ** main track only **
#9 Turned Aside (3-1 ML) // 9%W // 18%P // 33%S
#1 Oceanic (20-1 ML) // 7%W // 18%P // 24%S
#6 The Connector (8-1 ML) // 7%W // 16%P // 25%S
#11 Jazzy Times (15-1 ML) // 6%W // 15%P // 30%S
#3 Quarky (12-1 ML) // 5%W // 15%P // 19%S
#10 Fox Run (15-1 ML) // 5%W // 12%P // 22%S
#7 Arcadia Calls (20-1 ML) // 3%W // 8%P // 12%S
#8 Tench (20-1 ML) // 3%W // 8%P // 12%S
Notes: Imprimis and The Critical Way re-match from their Jan. 1 Janus Stakes first-third finish at Gulfstream Park, separated by only a neck in a 3-way photo finish. The Critical Way has the early speed and has won over the track already, while Imprimis is the classy finisher making his first start on Tampa’s lawn. Turned Aside is a multiple stakes-winning turf sprinter by American Pharoah, changing trainers from Linda Rice to Mark Casse for the first time. According to the Betmix database, Casse has more Tampa Bay Downs stakes wins since 2013 than any other trainer (14 total, 22% strike rate).
Tampa Bay Downs // Race 9 // 4:21 pm ET // Lightning City Stakes // 5 furlongs (turf)
#4 The Goddess Lyssa (3-1 ML) // 29%W // 38%P // 46%S
#10 Lenzi’s Lucky Lady (10-1 ML) // 12%W // 26%P // 36%S
#9 Jeanie B (6-1 ML) // 10%W // 19%P // 30%S
#5 Payntdembluesaway (8-1 ML) // 8%W // 16%P // 30%S
#1 The Great Kath (20-1 ML) // 6%W // 16%P // 21%S
#7 Miss Auramet (4-1 ML) // 6%W // 14%P // 22%S
#12 Ode to Joy (8-1 ML) // 6%W // 13%P // 27%S
#6 Sethamee Street (10-1 ML) // 5%W // 13%P // 16%S
#14 Nightlife (12-1 ML) // 5%W // 11%P // 19%S ** also-eligible **
#2 Royal Collection (5-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
#3 Weekend Fun (20-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
#8 Awsum Roar (15-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
#11 Bluefield (15-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S
#13 Roman d’Oro (6-1 ML) // 3%W // 7%P // 10%S ** also-eligible **
Notes: Morning line favorite The Goddess Lyssa scores 17 points higher than the next-closest competitor, but will be racing on turf for the first time. She’s won 5 of 7 on dirt, including the Minaret Stakes. Speedy Lenzi’s Lucky Lady has made the lead at some point in 7 of her 8 career starts and offers value on the ML. Payntdembluesaway aims for 7 straight wins while rising in class. Royal Collection has won 3 of her last 4 against easier competition, takes on stakes runners for the first time, and is dismissed by the 1/ST BET algorithm despite 5-1 in the morning line.