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Saturday, March 13: 1/ST BET AI Picks for Laurel Park

by Jeremy Plonk

March 11, 2021

Laurel Park’s 9-race Saturday card features 5 stakes races as part of Good Samaritan Day. The handful of co-features boast purses in excess of $450,000 alone, including the $100,000 Private Terms en route to the Preakness Stakes. Let’s dig into the artificial intelligence of the 1/ST BET app for the full card, providing data-driven insight on an exciting day of racing.

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app or Xpressbet can receive a $10 Money Back Guarantee on win bets on all races on the Saturday card at Laurel. If your win bet finishes second or third, you’ll get a $10 refund in wagering credits back into your account. 

Selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with the selections.

Laurel // Race 1 // 12:25 pm ET // claiming // 1-1/8 miles

#6 Imagine Victory (8-5 ML) // 32%W // 55%P // 64%S
#5 Car Lady (3-1 ML) // 22%W // 48%P // 65%S
#1 Walk It Out Nanny (2-1 ML) // 21%W // 44%P // 63%S
#4 Moonlight Miss (12-1 ML) // 9%W // 24%P // 46%S

Notable: Either Imagine Victory or Walk It Out Nanny leads in each of the top-11 factors considered by 1/ST BET for this race. Imagine Victory is rated No. 1 in the top-2 most important factors, Avg. Speed Last 3 and Avg. Lifetime Earnings.

Laurel // Race 2 // 12:56 pm ET // claiming // 6-1/2 furlongs

#3 Keepyourskateson (9-5 ML) // 27%W // 49%P // 65%S
#7 Texas Reward (8-1 ML) // 18%W // 35%P // 52%S
#5 Sick Pack Sara (3-1 ML) // 17%W // 35%P // 51%S
#1 Hello Gracie (4-1 ML) // 12%W // 29%P // 45%S

Notable: 27% Win Projection for Keepyourstakeson is the lowest on today’s 9-race card for a top 1/ST BET pick, but she leads in 6 of the top-8 handicapping factors for this race. Second choice Texas Reward at 8-1 could be an attractive value play via Gulfstream.

Laurel // Race 3 // 1:28 pm ET // Beyond the Wire Stakes // 1 mile

#2 Street Lute (1-1 ML) // 33%W // 55%P // 76%S
#1 Buckey’s Charm (8-1 ML) // 21%W // 46%P // 71%S
#3 Fraudulent Charge (5-2 ML) // 19%W // 38%P // 58%S
#4 Journeytothemoon (12-1 ML) // 15%W // 34%P // 54%S

Notable: Street Lute and Fraudulent Charge renew their rivalry for a third time. Only a nose and 1 length separated them in previous meetings, but 1/ST BET leans heavily to Street Lute to continue her winning ways. There’s surprisingly little support for Fair Grounds invader Littlestitious at just 13%.

Laurel // Race 4 // 1:57 pm ET // maiden claiming // 5-1/2 furlongs furlongs

#1 Cookies and Cream (9-5 ML) // 37%W // 53%P // 65%S
#2 Great Cause (12-1 ML) // 12%W // 34%P // 53%S
#4 Glory March (3-1 ML) // 10%W // 17%P // 23%S
#5 Joyce G (5-1 ML) // 10%W // 17%P // 23%S

Notable: Second in a similar ace last time, Cookies and Cream makes sense as the top choice. But the AI picks undervalue first-time starters due to insufficient data, so the gap between rookies Glory March and Joyce G may not be as expansive as the projections appear.

Laurel // Race 5 // 2:27 pm ET // Not For Love Stakes // 6 furlongs

#2 Whereshetoldmetogo (3-5 ML) // 34%W // 51%P // 60%S
#1 Stroll Smokin (4-1 ML) // 19%W // 42%P // 53%S
#6 Karan’s Notion (5-1 ML) // 16%W // 34%P // 58%S
#7 Carey Times (15-1 ML) // 9%W // 18%P // 28%S

Notable: Strong favorite Whereshetoldmetogo aims for 4 consecutive victories and has won 4 of 6 prior races at Laurel Park. She is ranked best in each of the top-8 1/ST BET handicapping factors for this race and 13 of the top 15. You can’t get any more dominant than that and she should be a solid early and late pick five single.

Laurel // Race 6 // 3:03 pm ET // Harrison E. Johnson Memorial Stakes // 1-1/8 miles

#5 Galerio (7-2 ML) // 28%W // 44%P // 58%S
#4 Tattooed (9-2 ML) // 17%W // 36%P // 49%S
#2 Cordmaker (3-1 ML) // 17%W // 31%P // 46%S
#6 Dixie Drawl (6-1 ML) // 11%W // 23%P // 37%S

Notable: Galerio has finished first or second in 13 straight races and seeks his first career stakes victory. Tattooed defeated Galerio by a neck in the Jennings Handicap, but it is Galerio with whom the algorithm sides. Cordmaker is ranked 1st or 2nd in each of the top-7 handicapping factors 1/ST BET employs for this race. All three would be reliable contenders.

Laurel // Race 7 // 3:34 pm ET // Conniver Stakes // 7 furlongs

#8 Deep Red (5-1 ML) // 32%W // 53%P // 68%S
#4 Artful Splatter (5-1 ML) // 22%W // 33%P // 43%S
#3 S W Briar Rose (10-1 ML) // 14%W // 33%P // 49%S
#6 Kiss the Girl (3-1 ML) // 11%W // 29%P // 45%S

Notable: Top AI pick Deep Red will be ridden by Sheldon Russell. Betmix stats show Russell is 5-for-10 in stakes races at Laurel Park in 2021 coming into today’s action. S W Briar Rose finished second by a head in this race a year ago and offers an attractive morning line price and reasonable Win Projection from 1/ST BET. Artful Splatter ranks No. 1 in 3 of the top-5 handicapping factors for this race.

Laurel // Race 8 // 4:07 pm ET // Private Terms Stakes // 1-1/16 miles

#2 Maythehorsebewithu (2-1 ML) // 34%W // 47%P // 63%S
#4 Zertz (8-1 ML) // 16%W // 37%P // 56%S
#6 Excellerator (6-1 ML) // 16%W // 31%P // 52%S
#3 Shackled Love (6-1 ML) // 10%W // 27%P // 44%S

Notable: 1/ST BET pick Maythehorsebewithu has won 2 of 3 winter races at Laurel this season and jockey Russell, as noted in Race 7, has been fantastic in stakes races over the local strip in recent months. Maythehorsebewithu leads 7 of the top-10 handicapping factors, according to 1/ST BET and ranks first or second in 9 of them. Distance will be the question in his first race around 2 turns. He does not rank among the race’s top-5 in distance pedigree ratings, according to 1/ST BET.

Laurel // Race 9 // 4:40 pm ET // starter optional claiming // 5-1/2 furlongs

#5 Push to Start (5-2 ML) // 32%W // 50%P // 62%S
#4 Visual Artist (7-2 ML) // 26%W // 49%P // 70%S
#3 Zen Pi (2-1 ML) // 16%W // 31%P // 53%S
#1 Disputed Notion (20-1 ML) // 11%W // 20%P // 30%S

Notable: The 6-point spread between the top 2 choices is the most contended opinions of the day from 1/ST BET. Push to Start has made the early lead in every one of his 5 career starts and should be difficult to catch at this dash distance. Push to Start and Zen Pi dominate the ratings of the 5 most important handicapping factors in this race, according to 1/ST BET.