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Saturday, March 20: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

March 20, 2021

Tonight, the Meadowlands has 13 races ready to roll with the first post coming at 6:20 EST. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it has a $50,000 guaranteed pool. The sequence does have a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

On Friday, Corey Callahan, Dexter Dunn and Mark MacDonald led the pilots with two wins. Edwin Quevedo was the top conditioner on the card with two trips to the winner's circle. In eight of the 13 races the leader at the top of the stretch did finish first. In the other five contests the winner was no more than about three lengths from the lead at the top of the lane.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Yacht Seelster (10-1)-Almost beat #8 leaving from the 8-hole last week. Seems like this guy enjoys racing near the top of stack. Loses AMac but Brennan knows how to protect the rail and should offer a solid price.
5-Lexus Witha View A (7/2)-Aussie invader has been impressive in both Big M starts with a 2nd and a 1st place finish from the 8 and 9 post. Faces tougher but post draw is much better and it's best to respect. Won't be odds-on and will take a swing at this price.
8-Collossal Stride A (5/2)-Losses Dunn to #2 and was tempted to use because on paper that's a head scratcher. But Zeron can work his magic from the 8-hole. Price should be better than it has been and is too good to leave off the ticket.

Race 11

3-The Candyman Can (3-1)-Dropped and popped in a very solid mile. It took a while but maybe Sodano has found the key to this 4-year-old. Paced the last half in .55 all on his own and it looked like the tank wasn't dry. Using and the price should be better than 7/5 this week.
6-Cliffhanger (7/2)-Qualified nicely, now makes 1st start for the Fusco barn and might fire hot off the bench. Makes 3rd start on Lasix and the 3rd start of the year. Dube is back between the pipes and he drove in the qualifier.

Race 12

4-So So De Vie (9/2)-Does need the right trip and the last one was a bumpy journey. Now draws better and Callahan should put in play early and race near the top of the stack. Could land on the engine without going to the half in 54.3.
5-Pokerface Bluehip (5-1)-Was used early and hard last time and now Dunn gets the assignment. A quick pace would help as may look to come off cover. Could be a player with the right steer but has only 4 wins in the last 39 starts.
7-My Alpha Rock N (5/2)-Beat this field last week at a square price with Gingras between the pipes. Could be a repeat candidate with a lively pace and there is a good chance of that happening.

Race 13

1-Passa-Grille Beach (3-1)-Drops to the softest spot of the meet and drawing the rail should also help. Hasn't been a big hit in East Rutherford going 2 for 32 but even so, it's best to not dismiss.
4-Thndrfrmthethron N (9/2)-Went off as the chalk last week versus better and didn't hit the board. Dunn sticks so looking for more tonight and does know how to win at this level.
8-Palomar (5-1)-Did roll late at this class last week and just missed as the even money choice. This post should help the price and not sure it hurts this slow starter very much. At the morning line price, it makes sense to include but needs someone to press #1. A tepid pace kills chances for a picture.

My Ticket

Race 10) 1,5,8

Race 11) 3,6

Race 12) 4,5,7

Race 13) 1,4,8

Total Ticket Cost) $27 for $0.50

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