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1/ST Look Gulfstream Stats: Graded Stakes Favs 52% at Meet

by Jeremy Plonk

March 23, 2021

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.


The Rainbow 6 has a $735,873 carryover ($1.1M guaranteed pool) heading into Wednesday’s card, kickoff to the final week of the Championship Meet … Saturday’s Grade 1 Curlin Florida Derby Day program will include 14 races, 10 stakes and a mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6 pool. First post will be 11:30 am ET … Wednesday’s post position draw for the Florida Derby will be livestreamed at Gulfstreampark.com beginning at 12:15 pm ET … Florida Derby headliners are expected to include Holy Bull-Fountain of Youth winner Greatest Honour, smashing local maiden winner Collaborate and west coast invader Spielberg.

Stronach 5

Last week’s Stronach 5 paid $313.30 with 4 winners at 2-1 or less and an $11 topper. Stronach 5 races this Friday, March 26, will be:

Leg A – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:30 ET
Leg B – Laurel Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:03 ET
Leg C – Santa Anita Park Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:08 ET
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:29 ET
Leg E – Gulfstream Park Race 10 with an approximate post time of 5:54 ET

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each winning at a 32% or greater win rate and showing massive flat-bet profits (all +$54-$81 for the week). Avg. Speed Last 3 and Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed were top-3 factors for the second straight week. The 1/ST BET app’s AI handicapping picked 32% winners at Gulfstream Park last week and showed a flat-bet profit.

Avg. Speed Last 3
Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed
Best Speed Last 3

Trends Last Week

-- Favorites went 24-53 (45%) last week and are now 50-106 (47%) over the past 2 weeks with nearly 70% in the exacta. Favorites have won 52% on the Championship Meet in graded stakes races after Pacific Gale’s Hurricane Bertie victory last week, worth noting as we head into a big Saturday stakes card.

-- Trainer Mark Casse had one of his better weeks of the meet at 8: 3-0-0 with winners paying $5, $8 and $17. All 3 winners came on grass, including a pair of maiden breakers.

-- Trainer Kent Sweezey went 7: 2-1-1 with a $65 longshot bomb topping the marquee. The barn also had an 11-1 shot in the money and posted a $1.18 ROI for every $1 bet for the entire Championship Meet.

-- Trainer Kelly Breen continued a good run at 6: 2-0-2. He’s now 11: 4-1-2 the past 2 weeks after a cold spell leading up to the turn-around.

-- Jockey Junior Alvarado excelled in the absence of some of the meet’s top riders last week, posting a 34: 9-7-3 mark. That’s 27% wins and 47% in the exacta while going 2-for-2 in stakes races. He had 2 wins for Mark Casse and 2 for Jose Francisco D’Angelo.

-- Jockey Javier Castallano had the best week of his comeback from injury, going 19: 5-1-5. Victories included $13 and $21 scores, but his 9: 3-1-3 record aboard favorites indicates he was on several live mounts.