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1/ST Look SA Stats: Favorites Flexing

by Jeremy Plonk

April 7, 2021

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Santa Anita Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in Southern California. And be sure to support “The Great Race Place” by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Santa Anita Park.


Racing this week will be a Saturday-Sunday schedule with no Friday card in an effort to help protect the turf course … 8,246 on-track attendees for last Saturday’s Santa Anita Derby Day card help produce an all-sources pari-mutuel handle of $24,282,400, the highest Runhappy Santa Anita Derby Day handle since 2007. Congrats to the connections of Rock Your World ... This week’s feature race will be Saturday’s $75,000 Mizdirection Stakes for filly & mare turf sprinters … Santa Anita’s Rainbow 6 has a 1-day carryover in the jackpot pool of $53,590. A mandatory payout on April 3 lured more than $3.7 million in new money … San Vicente Stakes winner Concert Tour and stablemate Hozier will be on the road Saturday in Oaklawn’s Grade 1 Arkansas Derby.

Stronach 5

Last week’s Stronach 5 paid $2,752 to 42 winning tickets. Stronach 5 races this Friday, April 9, will be:

Leg A – Laurel Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:45 ET
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:50 ET
Leg C – Laurel Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:16 ET
Leg D – Gulfstream Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:22 ET
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:27 ET

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Santa Anita Park last week, each winning at a 34% or greater win rate. The factor Best Speed at Track won 44% and produced a $43.40 profit if you bet $2 win on each top choice in that category for the week. The 1/ST BET app’s AI picks pointed to $12.40 Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World as the top choice.

Best Speed at Track
Best Lifetime Speed
Avg. Speed Last 3

Trends Last Week

-- Trainer Bob Baffert always puts up potent numbers, but he’s particular hot right now. His 8: 3-3-0 record last week gives him a 2-week run of 16: 7-3-2. Baffert and Flavien Prat are 10: 7-2-0 in tandem since February 14.

-- Trainer Michael McCarthy enjoyed a big week everywhere, going 6: 2-0-1 at Santa Anita, winning a pair of races at Golden Gate and finishing third in the Grade 2 Blue Grass with his Kentucky Derby hopeful Rombauer.

-- Trainer Ryan Hanson had another solid week at 2-for-4, including an $18 turf sprint allowance winner. The barn is 11: 4-2-1 since March 13 with a $2.26 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Jockey Kent Desormeaux had perhaps the best week of his latest comeback when going 6: 2-1-0. His winners paid $9 and $40 and he added a 9-2 runner-up. He’s riding for lesser outfits than he once did, but scored for Rafael Deleon and Quentin Miller.

-- Favorites dominated the scene at 29: 14-8-4. That’s 48% wins and 76% in the exacta. Turf chalk hit 53% on top with dirt favorites at 43%.