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1/ST Look GP Stats: Big Balloons with Berrios

by Jeremy Plonk

April 13, 2021

We canvass the 1/ST BET statistical database each week to bring you up to speed with racing at Gulfstream Park. Check back weekly for statistical trends and tidbits for premier racing in South Florida. And be sure to support Gulfstream by betting with 1/ST BET, the official betting app of Gulfstream Park.


The Rainbow 6 returns Thursday with a $486,765 carryover … Jockey Paco Lopez, 35, notched career win No. 3000 on April 10 at Gulfstream … Florida Derby winner Known Agenda departed South Florida Monday for Churchill Downs in advance of the May 1 Kentucky Derby, where he will be ridden by Championship Meet record-setter Irad Ortiz, Jr. Other Derby hopefuls with Gulfstream ties include Florida Derby runner-up Soup and Sandwich (Tyler Gaffalione) and local maiden combatants Dynamic One (Jose Ortiz) and Sainthood (rider TBD) … The 2021 1/ST and Xpressbet Kentucky Derby Wager Guide, featuring Gulfstream Park handicappers, will be available for free download beginning April 23.

Stronach 5

Last week’s Stronach 5 paid $717.70 to 144 winning tickets. Stronach 5 races this Friday, April 16, will be:

Leg A – Gulfstream Park Race 7 with an approximate post time of 4:18
Leg B – Gulfstream Park Race 8 with an approximate post time of 4:50
Leg C – Gulfstream Park Race 9 with an approximate post time of 5:22
Leg D – Golden Gate Fields Race 3 with an approximate post time of 5:27
Leg E – Golden Gate Fields Race 4 with an approximate post time of 6:00

1/ST BET Top Factors Last Week:

Horseplayers using the 1/ST BET app saw the most success with these 3 of the 52 handicapping filters for Gulfstream Park last week, each winning at a 28% or greater win rate.

Earnings at Track
ITM (In The Money) %
Avg. Best 2 of Last 3 Speed

Trends Last Week

-- Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. continued his roll with a 16: 7-1-2 record and a big $2.74 ROI for every $1 bet. He posted a $47 winner and notably only 1 of his 7 scores was under a 2-1 price. Joseph is now 10-for-23 over the past 2
weeks at Gulfstream.

-- Trainer Kent Sweezey went 7: 3-0-0 with logical winners at 3-2, 9-5 and 3-1. The performance was a good pivot from a 1-for-10 streak that led into last week for a barn that hits a solid percentage.

-- Trainer Antonio Sano turned the corner from a long cold spell with an 11: 2-3-1 mark that showed promise. Sano had been 2-33 in starts leading up to last week’s rebound.

-- Jockey Hector Berrios did the most with limited tries, posting a 10: 2-3-0 record. His $17 and $47 winners were joined by longshot runners-up at 19-1 and 65-1. Berrios had a $3.27 ROI for every $1 bet.

-- Favorites were 12-for-21 (57%) in races scheduled for the turf last week.