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Saturday, April 17: Gulfstream $3 Million Mandatory Payout Picks

by Xpressbet

April 16, 2021

Gulfstream Park offers a mandatory payout in Saturday’s Rainbow 6 jackpot pool, which is expected to reach more than $3 million. If you haven’t been following the action in South Florida since the end of the Championship Meet, or aren’t a regular betting Gulfstream, the 1/ST BET app can help you bridge the gap with a data-driven process.

Selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.


RACE 7 (3:46PM ET) // CLAIMING // 1 MILE (TURF) 

12 – Aloha Kitten (21%W // 36%P // 44%S)
13 – (13%W // 25%P // 40%S)
8 – (13%W // 21%P // 31%S)
5 – (12%W // 27%P // 35%S)

Comments: Top choice Aloha Kitten is 12-1 morning line, and the 8-point spread to the rest is the second-largest in the Rainbow 6 sequence. The algorithm isn’t backing 7-2 morning line favorite Pretty Rachel.


RACE 8 (4:18PM ET) // MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT // 1 MILE (DIRT)

2 – Taita (22%W // 41%P // 57%S)
7 – Billy Yank (21%W // 34%P // 57%S)
4 – Emperor’s Cause (13%W // 30%P // 42%S)
6 – Ben Copenhagen (12%W // 27%P // 44%S)

Comments: The 1/ST BET app relies on past performance data, so first-time starters fail to fill in a large number of blanks. You’ll certainly want to consider #8 Mr. Briggs in this spot, a promising rookie for Todd Pletcher. Class-riser Billy Yank is 12-1 morning line and among the top AI picks.


RACE 9 (4:50PM ET) // CLAIMING // 7 1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)

2 – Projected (20%W // 33%P // 43%S)
12 – Notsosubtle (20%W // 23%P // 35%S)
10 – Cash Call Kitten (14%W // 23%P // 30%S)
7 – Harbour Master (7%W // 16%P // 32%S)

Comments: There’s a solid drop-off after the top 3 in this race and could make for a 3-deep consideration. The 8-1 price on Projected appeals, while the AI picks don’t include 7-2 morning line favorite All Good.


RACE 10 (5:22PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 6 FURLONGS (DIRT) 

4 – Reservenotattained (31%W // 46%P // 62%S)
3 – Uncork the Bottle (17%W // 35%P // 47%S)
6 – Ludington (14%W // 28%P // 47%S)
1 – Life in Shambles (14%W // 25%P // 34%S)

Comments: No doubt the single in the Rainbow 6, according to the 1/ST BET app, is this top choice at 31%. It’s the highest win probability in the sequence and the 14-point spread to the second choice also is the widest among these races.


RACE 11 (5:54PM ET) // OPTIONAL CLAIMING // 1 MILE (TURF) 

5 – Advanced Strategy (26%W // 39%P // 48%S)
7 – Cairo Campaign (19%W // 28%P // 48%S)
4 – Everyonelovejames (11%W // 24%P // 26%S)
2 – Mystic Lancelot (9%W // 17%P // 24%S)

Comments: The 26% win projection here is second-highest in the Rainbow 6 today and the top 2 AI picks separate themselves quite a bit from the rest. Budget-conscious players may want to narrow the ticket here to just a couple.


RACE 12 (6:26PM ET) // MAIDEN CLAIMING // 1 1/16 MILES (TURF) 

10 – Secrets Kept (18%W // 44%P // 52%S)
4 – Time Sensitive (12%W // 29%P // 35%S)
1 – Metafora (12%W // 21%P // 35%S)
3 – Hardly Social (12%W // 19%P // 25%S)

Comments: This is a classic ‘single or spread’ situation when you look at the race and your options. Secrets Kept has some separation from the rest and there’s a cluster that are difficult to choose between and require spreading on the ticket. Depending on your opinions in other races and budget options, choose wisely. Singling Secrets Kept may prove a prudent move.