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Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

April 17, 2021

Tonight, there are 13-races set to go at the Meadowlands in what should be a competitive card. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

On Friday, seven times the leader at the 3/4 pole went on to win. In four of the 13 races the winner was within three lengths of leader at the 3/4 pole.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

5-JL Cruz (3-1)-This 10-year-old has won 27 of 65 starts at M1 but has been off since 3-30, actually has only raced twice since 3-6. Cruz has shown the ability to come up with big efforts after missing time. Dunn should be in the pocket or on the point and it's best to respect.
7-Scirocco Rob (5/2)-Comes off a dominant win at this class and before that did captured three straight versus Open Handicap company. Can win off cover or on the engine. Should be tough to beat with a similar effort as last week.

Race 7

1-Italian Delight N (9/2)-Cashed a 3rd place check after missing a start and could be forwardly placed by TMac. Shouldn't blush at this field and might be in line for an efficient trip. Could offer a square price and may seal the deal this time.
2-Thatswhatisaid N (8-1)-Was racing well until scratched sick on 3-20 and then faced tougher. Drops to a spot to shine and will take a swing for some value. Tetrick takes a seat and the Lare barn has been batting 27% over the past 30 days.
9-Harambe Deo (3-1)-Twice beaten chalk drops to a soft spot and even with the outside post should be bet. Has the gate speed to get the point but AMac may want to duck and move later, either trip could work.

Race 8

6-April Ava (9/2)-Finished behind #1 and #2 in last but did the heavy lifting on the front end and was passed by those in the 2 and 3 holes. Gingras will get a good seat but this time he might be doing the following and pop out down the lane.
7-Beyond Words N (3-1)-New Zealand import qualified in 153 with a 54.1 back half and a 25.3 last quarter. This will be only the 10th lifetime start but appears ready for a winning US debut. Dunn needs a good early seat and there could be some leaving from the center of the gate.
10-Sweet Lucy Lou (6-1)-Has been stuck with post 9 in the last two and now draws worse. Has been trying hard but will need a lively pace and my bet is that will happen. Lucy needs some help but the price should be better than recent starts.

Race 9

2-Always And Again (10-1)-Had a dull effort in last start but before that was a threat against solid foes for quite a while. Comes out of the same race as #7, the back half was swift and this field may not be as tough. Draws inside of main foes and might be overlooked at the windows.
5-Splash Brother (6-1)-Four-year-old makes season debut after banking over $300k last year. Tuned up at PcD in 150.4 all on his own and drew off by 14 lengths. Has a perfect 2 for 2 record at the Big M, McDonald steered in the qualifier and is back tonight.
7-Nicholas Beach (9/2)-Raced big last week and was just nipped at this class after winning its season debut. Has been in sharp form and could be better in the 3rd start off the bench. Sears steers as Joe B drives #4 the barn's other entry.
9-Justasec N (3-1)-Aussie invader comes off a sharp qualifier on Lasix at M1 on 4-10. Paced the back half in a solid 54.1 and tonight the biggest concern might be the post draw. But it's tough to leave off the ticket in a race without a true standout.

0.50 Early Pick 4

Total Bet=$36

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