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Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

May 4, 2021

Northfield Park has a 15-race card slated for tonight. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Romping Rodeo (5-1)-Just broke its maiden and it was a sharp effort after going 0-20. Did race on the engine for most of the miles and the fractions were lively for this kind. Looks like a player at a square price.
2-Willy's Last Wish (9-1)-Ships in from Northville after a winning effort and makes 1st Nfld start. Did hit the board in 13 of 15 last year and the connections must feel this 3-year-old fits with this crew. Looks worthy of a swing at the morning line price.
4-Virgina Cruiser (7-1)-Here's another price shot who did improve in last but loses Wrenn to #5. Stahl should be able to work an efficient trip and could surprise if upswing continues in the 4th start for the new barn.
5-Backseat Joker (9/5)-This will be the 1st start since 9-11 and qualifier over a sloppy track was fine. This is the winner if fires hot off the bench based on past competition. It could happen at a short price and is difficult to toss. But hasn't shown much gate speed and could be a follower, so will look to others to spice up the Pick 4 payout.

Race 12

1-Son Of Sona (7/5)-Doesn't win often (3-31) over the past 2 years but now would be the time to take a picture. Drops to a soft spot, draws the rail which hasn't happened in a while and Wrenn sticks. Should be on top or in the pocket looking to win for the 1st time since 2-16.
6-Finish Line (5-1)-This is a risky play because of recent breaking issues. But does come off a sharp qualifier on a sloppy track. Got on the engine and didn't look back, winning in 158.4. Looks like an upset possibility if minds manners behind the gate.

Race 13

1-Hunter AM (5/2)-Winner of 2 straight steps-up a notch after a dominant win from the 7-hole. Wrenn sticks and this 4-year-old may make it a 3-peat with a smooth journey.
4-Worthabuck (8/5)-Miami Valley invader should fit nicely with this crew and has the gate speed to control the pace. But Stahl needs a good start and to probably steal a quarter to notch the 1st win of 2021.

Race 14

2-Chiseler (6-1)-Every now and then this 4-year-old passes a horse or 2 down the lane and this is a suspect group. Davis could be more aggressive in this spot and land in the pocket. Might get sucked around and then roll by down the lane for the 1st picture of 2021.
5-Mcarter (8-1)-Steps-up after a sharp steer from the 2nd tier to take top honors. Merriman isn't driving so Thompson will need to work a clean trip, and if so could pop at a nice price.

$1.00 Pick 4

Total Bet=$32

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