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Scioto Downs Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

May 11, 2021

Scioto Downs has 14 races ready to roll with the 0.50 Pick 5 sequence starting in Race 5. It has a $25,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout. My focus will be on the 0.50 Late Pick 4 sequence which begins in Race 10.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Mapleleafs Design (7-1)-Appears to do best racing on the point and should not have a problem getting there with this post draw. Has faced stakes company and should be able to compete here at a square price.
4-Jett (6/5)-Paced the back half in 56.2 in the 1st start at ScD and it was also the 1st time using Lasix. Looking for more improvement, the price will be short and should be a main threat.
5-Cold Decked (5/2)-Faces easier and it would be difficult to leave out but hasn't been able to seal the deal. Might like to follow more than lead but has had only 4 career starts.

Race 11

2-American Sweet Pea (9/2)-Makes the 1st start for new barn, comes off a decent effort and benefitted from a DQ to take top honors. Smith should work a good trip but may need to be leading coming into the lane to cash the top check.
6-Barley Nation (5-1)-Noble steers as Sutton sticks with #7 and this gal has taken 2 pictures in 16 starts here. Could leave and might get a cozy trip to notch the 2nd win in 14 starts this year.
7-Dont Mach Mia (5-1)-Was facing better at MVR and has been stuck with the 10-hole in the last 2 starts. Sutton could leave and put this mare in play. Looks like a player but is 0-11 at ScD.

Race 12

3-Two Of Hardts (7/2)-Did win a couple of races at the Pomp and this will be the 3rd start in Ohio plus the 3rd different track. Fits with this crew and should be in the mix from start to finish.
4-Call Him Rocky (9/5)-Drew off by over 9 lengths in gate to wire fashion on 5-4. Deserves the morning line favoritism but this probably won't be as easy as last time.
5-Sidekick (7-1)-Broke in 1st start of the year at MVR and that hasn't been an issue in the past. Did qualify nicely here on 5-4 and will take a swing for some value. Smith could get the pocket behind the morning line choice.

Race 13

3-Taco Tuesday (2-1)-Was used hard in last at Nfld and that was after breaking stride in the previous start. This will be the 1st time for Noble taking the lines and the 1st start at ScD. Looking for the new pilot to squeeze a bit more out of this 8-year-old and this is a beatable field.

0.50 Late Pick 4

Total Bet =$13.50