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Scioto Downs Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

May 18, 2021

Scioto Downs has a 14-race card set to start their week. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 10 and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

4-Pc's Alleyway (8/5)-Not loving the 8/5 morning line but hasn't been in this cheap in a long time. This should be wake-up time but is just 1-14 in 2021 and has only 1 win in 20 races at ScD.
6-Master Malin (5-1)-Was claimed for $20k on 4-14 and then faced better than this in the next 2 starts. Hasn't looked the same since the claim but this will be the 3rd start for the new barn and should like the company. Using at a square price in an ugly race.

Race 11

3-Crafty Ace (3-1)-Beaten chalk at this class now makes 1st start for new connections off a claim. Noble steers again and is back in at the same class. Should be in the hunt but has only 1 win in 12 tries at ScD and is just 3 for the last 48 starts.
4-Seen Before Heard (9/2)-Will toss last from the 10-hole and was in good form in the previous 2 starts. T. Smith will need to work a smooth trip and if so figures to be a player especially if there is an honest pace. Best to respect winner in 6 of 17 starts this year.
8-Montano Pablo A (2-1)-Morning line chalk just missed in last which was the 2nd start for the Morgan barn. Should be a big threat with a good steer and would probably go off as an odds-on favorite again with a better post draw.

Race 12

2-Wildfire Flasher (4-1)-Broke stride last week in 1st Scioto start. Has had physical issues and at times breaking problems. But has been staked, so should fit with this crew if minds manners.
3-Good Ole Ethin (3-1)-Miami Valley invader makes 1st ScD start and has the speed to be a player. Sutton could get a close-up seat and work a cozy trip.
7-Gotafoolishdesire (7-1)-Was far off the pace at the half in 1st career start but raced willingly to the wire to cash a check. There isn't a true standout in this field and could take a picture if within striking range at the top of the lane.
9-Perpetual Rock (20-1)-Had an even effort from post 4 in 1st try at ScD. The price should be better with this post draw and Page sticks. Was coming off a sick scratch before the last start and may show improvement tonight.

Race 13

4-Barley Nation (2-1)-Scored a gate to wire win last week in 1st start at ScD this year. Noble should be out and rolling with the same type of trip in mind. Comes right back after racing on 5/11 and won here after missing a start.
7-Astrofficial (7/2)-Makes 1st start off a Virgil Morgan claim and he has raced this mare before. Started in the 2nd tier last week and kept coming although the trip wasn't smooth. If #4 doesn't bring her "A" game this gal has a good chance to get to the winner's circle.

0.50 Late Pick 4

Total Bet=$24

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