Log In

Hawthorne Pick 4 Analysis-$25,000 Guaranteed Pool

by Al Cimaglia

May 23, 2021

Hawthorne Racecourse wraps-up the weekend with a 13-race card. The headliner from a betting standpoint is the 0.50 Late Pick 4 which begins in Race 10. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

On Saturday, Kyle Wilfong was the top pilot with four wins. All 12 races were captured by different trainers. The front end was good as seven of 12 winners were on the lead at the top of the stretch. The other picture takers were within three lengths of the leader at the head of the lane.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Hillcrest Dynamite (5-1)-Should relish the company and was in deep water in its debut. Plus, that race was on a sloppy track and has never won on a wet surface (0-7). That said, the 0-17 record in '20-'21 is an issue but could get sucked around here.
3-Not Me Gram (9/2)-Stewart trains and he is usually the regular pilot but tonight Todd Warren takes the lines. Six-year-old is no stranger to Haw but like the rest of the field is camera shy. Spreading out in this race because the morning chalk doesn't seem trustworthy.
6-Ryans Ambassador (8/5)-Took the long way around in 1st local start of the year and didn't fold. This will be the 2nd start on Lasix and that might be a reason to use but will likely offer no value and is 0-18 in Stickney.
8-Hello Rooster (10-1)-Needed last and was also impeded. This 4-year-old is not as camera shy as the rest of this field and should offer a solid price in the 3rd start off the bench.

Race 11

5-Ricky the Flash (12-1)-The 5-15 qualifier at Haw was better than it looked for what Ricky has shown in the past, banked barely $4,000 in 2020. Looking for a price, using and hoping Patton will put in play early on.
8-Mudville (5/2)-Three-year-old has looked really good in both starts this year. But now moves outside and has to deal with some older foes. Should be a player, will likely be bet and will also look to others with more value.
10-Peter Moe (7/2)-Leonard qualified this 4-year-old on 5-8 and is his choice over #6. This is the 1st start since 12-1 and should like the company. Has the gate speed to get a decent seat and has won 1 of 2 Haw starts.

Race 12

7-Rollinwitdaponyzzz (2-1)-Won last versus this kind and now moves outside a few slots. Won't be 8-1 tonight but did show some heart in last. Difficult to look away as this is a suspect group. But this 3-year-old does show a couple of breaks.
8-Big Bobby Drock (7-1)-Miami Valley invader doesn't have an issue staying on stride there but broke at the start in
1st local start. Husted takes over tonight, that's a positive driver change and this is a softer spot. Will take a stab local connections have Bobby ready for a big try.

Race 13

3-Frontier New Moon (5/2)-Leonard's choice over #6 makes 2nd Haw start after cashing a 3rd place check last week. The effort was better than the line reads, rolled the back half in 55.1. Looks like a major player and should be bet hard.
6-Peavine Delight (3-1)-Started slowly in last and came a big 2nd half to win in 1st lifetime start. If #3 leaves there could be an honest pace as some starting inside have a bit of gate speed. Could win right back if the trip is smooth and the fractions aren't soft.

0.50 Late Pick 4

Total Bet=$24

Check me out on Twitter!