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Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Monday, July 5

by Al Cimaglia

July 5, 2021

Northfield Park has a 15 race card scheduled for tonight. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Cash N Chips (5/2)-Should relish the company and has the gate speed to take control and not look back in the 1st start at NFLD. Looks like a main player if handles the turns on the 1/2 mile oval.
2-I Am Winning (9/5)-May not get the lead off the gate but should be put in play early on. Was used a couple of times in last and just missed. Has been in sharp form and drawing inside should help chances for a picture.

Race 12

4-Elegant Gigi (9/2)-Winner of 2 straight both from tough posts, one race here and the other at a fair. Should be in the hunt for the top check again. The Weaver barn is batting 30% over the past 30 days and this filly likes to win.
5-Magic Credit Card (5/2)-Has been competitive at ScD and is looking for the first NFLD win in 3 starts. Versatile filly can win on the engine but can come off cover as well.
9-Shenzi As (2-1)-Comes off a nice win on 6/17 at ScD from the 2nd tier. Isn't the quickest off the gate but probably has more speed than anyone in the field. It will be up to Merriman to work a smooth steer and the Lorentzon barn has been hot, winning at a 31% clip over the past 30 days.

Race 13

2-PQ Three (8-1)-Ten-year-old has been in the money in 14 of 28 starts here with 2 wins. Has the gate speed to get a close-up seat and could surprise at a nice price with a decent trip.
4-Million Wave (9/5)-Here is the morning line chalk, 0-16 in 2021 and 2-38 the past 2 years. That says something about this group, but tough to leave out. Does have good speed, Merriman steers and starts from a nice spot. Using but will likely offer no value.
8-Star Speaker (20-1)-Had excuses in last 2 when dropped to this level and has the gate speed to be put in play off the gate. Davis Jr knows how to drive aggressively and could pop at long odds with a decent trip. Has hit the board in 8 of 14 starts at NFLD and has taken 5 pictures.

Race 14

1-Forget The Past (4-1)-Makes NFLD debut but has experience racing on a half-mile oval. Has hit the board in all 5 starts this year with 1 win. Wrenn takes the lines which could make a difference and should be in the hunt.
4-Incomeorexpenses (7-1)-Should leave to get a good seat and can win coming off cover. Breaking problems from late April early May don't appear to be an issue and could be sitting on a big try at a solid price.

My Ticket

Race 11) 1,2

Race 12) 4,5,9

Race 13) 2,4,8

Race 14) 1,4

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $1.00

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