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Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, July 18

by Al Cimaglia

July 18, 2021

Hawthorne Racecourse completes the weekend with a 14-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

5-Three G's Panther (7-1)-Looking for a solid price and this Brink trainee returns to Stickney after being off since 5-8. Qualified nicely in Springfield, could be ready to show improvement and will respect the connections.
7-Princess Mooss (5/2)-Has lacked the knockout punch but has faced better. This is a soft spot and it's a good time to be forwardly placed and take a rare picture.
9-Fire Shine (5-1)-Todd Warren claimed this filly on July 10 for $13,600. Comes off a nice try and does step-up but this isn't a field of All-Stars. Could reward the new owner and win at first asking. Should also benefit from an experienced driver.

Race 12

4-Allbeastnobeauty (9-1)-This is the 5th start off the bench and raced better last week at this class when coming
back in 8 days. Warren also trains and drives, his small stable has a win rate of 45% over the last 30 days.
5-Tempus Seelster (7-1)-There could be a few leaving and if the pace is hot chances for success go up for this mare. Leonard steered in last and he sticks. Comes off a rough trip, and was hung out. This time a different plan could be in place and the price should be right.
7-Rock It Out (7-1)-This mare is trip dependent. If the pace is brisk she may roll by down the lane if Wilfong can work an efficient trip. Will use a couple of closers and banking on #9 leaving to set the tone.
9-Maggie Rhee (3-1)-Broke poorly in last but it didn't matter. Circled the field and rolled the back half in 53.4 to take a picture versus most of this field. Looking for an alert start and should have a big shot at making it 4 in a row with a smooth trip.

Race 13

3-Modern Day Prince (3-1)-Tried to wire the field in last and faded down the lane. Moves inside from post 7 and should be in play from start to finish.
5-Fishyriggins (5/2)-Joins the Husted barn and expecting the solid form that has been shown all meet to continue. Should be on the engine or enjoying a pocket ride and either can lead to a winning performance.

Race 14

5-Pootie Cat (9/2)-Came close to winning for the 2nd time in the last 25 starts. Now makes the 2nd start for the Herrera barn who has been cold but Warren steers again. Got on the engine in last and that was a new strategy. Looking for additional improvement and a big try.
7-Illini Loretta (8-1)-Smoked the back half in 55.3 and just missed at 45-1. Won't be that price again but should offer some value. Will benefit from a lively pace and that could happen with the chalk starting from post 10, and a few others could leave from the inside.
10-Sweet But Psycho (2-1)-Won last week at this class from post 9 and the time before from post 8. Not sure Husted can work the same magic from post 10 but best to not dismiss.

My Ticket

Race 11) 5,7,9

Race 12) 4,5,7,9

Race 13) 3,5

Race 14) 5,7,10

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

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