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Northfield Park-Milstein Invitational Pace Analysis | Saturday, August 14

by Al Cimaglia

August 14, 2021

Tonight, Northfield Park has 16 races scheduled with over $900,000 in purses up for grabs. This is the biggest night of racing at Northfield featuring the Carl Milstein Memorial Pace. Nine 3-year-old pacers will be going postward in Race 10 battling for a share of a $300,000 purse. Northfield's signature event features a competitive field, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10-Carl Milstein Memorial Pace-$300,000 Purse

1-Bettor Sun (8-1)-Ontario invader for Team McNair has raced on smaller ovals before but not at NFLD. The connections must be are confident the track won't be an issue. Didn't have a very smooth journey in the last race versus tough colts. In that start the outside pair left and McNair pulled 2nd over before a 53.4 half. Although finishing 3rd, still paced the last quarter in 26.4. Looking for an alert start and could get the pocket, should have a big shot if that happens.

2-Water Sports Teen (3-1)-Faded down the lane as an odds choice in the Adios and before that won 3 straight after joining the Jenn B barn. This colt will be launched out to get the point and this is a talented field so should be tested. Probably the best chance to win will be getting the early lead and a few others will be thinking the same. Should be in the hunt but at a short price.

3-Rockin On Venus (10-1)-Hoosier Park invader loves to take pictures winning 8 of 12 this year and could look to come off the pace here. Not sure if this Rockin Image colt can show enough speed on a 1/2-mile oval to win but we may find out tonight.

4-Alilthundadownunda (20-1)-Home-bred has been a force at Aces winning 10 of 15 starts and gets the services of Chris Page here. But hasn't faced this level of competition and appears to be in too tough to hit the board.

5-Bayfield Beach (6-1)-Burke trainee has had a tough sophomore season and has had 3 different trainers. Makes the 1st start for Burke and it's a guessing game as to what type of effort will be coming with only 8 starts this year. Could be worth using underneath in gimmicks if the price is right.

6-Mysweetboymax (12-1)-Couldn't do much in the Adios despite a 53.3 back half. The issue there is the same here, doesn't have the gate speed to be put in play early. Merriman steers but this longshot could be overmatched.

7-Charlie May (5/2)-McCardle 3-year-old is in fine form finishing 1st in 3 straight on 3 different size ovals but was DQ'd in the Big M Pace. This post draw won't help but doesn't need to be on the engine in the early going to win. Usual pilot Brett Miller will be between the pipes and has hit the board in all 3 starts at NFLD with 2 wins.

8-Chase H Hanover (15-1)-This will be the 1st appearance at NFLD, and recent form has been dull. Not sure how Wrenn will get this son of Captaintreacherous involved. This post is a killer with so much speed inside and chances for success aren't high.

9-Heart Of Chewbacca (9/2)-This is the other Burke entry and would have been easily usable from the inside. Likes the NFLD surface has hit the board in all 3 starts with 2 pictures. Not sure how Dan Noble could put this colt in play. But best to not completely toss, could be used underneath if the price is right.

$20 to Win-1
$8 Exacta Key 1/2,7
$4 Exacta Key 2,7/1
$2 Exacta Key 1/3,5,9

Total Bet=$50

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