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2018 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf - Stan Salter's Picks

by Xpressbet

October 26, 2018

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RESPECT FOREIGN INVASION
by Stan Salter, Laurel Park

ANALYSIS:This field is loaded! Expect an early November soft Kentucky turf course, so my picks all have done well over ground with ‘give’ in it. Also, they’ve each performed well in either Grade 1 or Group 1 company. European shippers will be very tough in this race and should dominate the top placings. Six of the fillies in this field started their career in Europe.

MAIN CONTENDERS: LILY’S CANDLE just won going a mile on a firm turf course in the Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac, a Group 1 Race at Longchamp. She’s also won against stakes company going seven furlongs over a soft turf course in early August. Before LA PELOSA came across the pond in mid-September to win Woodbine’s one-mile Grade 1 Natalma, she was group stakes-placed on the turf in Great Britain for trainer Charles Appleby. NEWSPAPEROFRECORD from the Chad Brown barn would love a wet course. She romped by nearly seven as favorite in her debut at Saratoga around two turns over a yielding course. She duplicated that effort next out dominating the Grade 2 Miss Grillo, also over a yielding course at Belmont.

VALUE PLAYS: VARENKA is a maiden on the improve and was second in the Miss Grillo for trainer Graham Motion. MY GAL BETTY is trained by Hall of Famer Roger Attfield and was unbeaten until runner-up in the Natalma last out.

WAGERING STRATEGY ($100):

  • $50 Win & Place: LILY'S CANDLE ($100)

MY PICKS:

  1. LILY'S CANDLE
  2. LA PELOSA
  3. MY GAL BETTY
  4. NEWSPAPEROFRECORD

 

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