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Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 28, 2020

Tonight, Woodbine Mohawk Park has an 11-race card set to go. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 8 and that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

5-On The Ropes (4-1)-This is the lowest level in a quite a while and draws well. Comes right back to race and Drury has options. Should be put in play early on and this is a good spot for an overdue picture.
8-Steuben Hanover (3-1)-Blais trainee comes off a brutal trip in the Hambo Maturity and now faces a much easier task. McClure returns and he knows how to get this 4-year-old into striking range. Looks like a player with a smooth journey.

Race 9

2-Happy Looker (9/2)-Was bet down last week like the race was already won and faltered down the stretch. Fits here and could make the most of starting inside of main foes.
4-Whiskey To Wine (7/2)-It looked like Jamieson was sitting behind the winner, but he was locked in down the lane. This will be the 3rd start for the Pereira barn and fits well with this crew. Looking for a more aggressive steer and a better finish.
8-Sound Idea (3-1)-Has been facing better and was stuck with the 9-hole in 2 of last 3 starts. Does need the right trip from this post but can snag 2nd lifetime win if within striking range at the top of the lane.

Race 10

5-Grandma Heidi (5/2)-Drops and should like the company. McNnair blasted out last week but the quick fractions took its toll. Could use the same plan except the pilot will try to make sure her tank isn't drained too quickly.
6-Refi (9/2)-Bumps up and missed a week but it's hard to dismiss. Baillargeon barn has been red-hot all year and this 4-year-old has hit the board in all 14 starts in 2020 with 4 wins. The week off may help and should offer a fair price.
8-Mass Fortune K (4-1)-Auciello trainee comes out of the same race as #5 and gets some needed class relief. JMac has some options, has the gate speed to get a good seat and be in the hunt throughout.

Race 11

5-Trix And Stones (5/2)-Dropped to this level last week, got jammed up and led to a DQ, so had an excuse plus missed a start. Tonight, should be different, draws better and comes right back so Jamieson should provide a confident drive.
7-Sortie (5-1)-Drops to a soft spot, will toss last versus better and that start was after being idle 3 weeks. Has won 4 of 24 at Wbsb and should be a player if minds manners. The post draw shouldn't be a big issue and can roll by off cover.

0.20 Late Pick 4

5,8/2,4,8/5,6,8/5,7
Total Bet=$7.20

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