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Al Cimaglia: NFLD Super Night All-Stakes Pick 5 Analysis | Sunday, September 5

by Al Cimaglia

September 5, 2021

It is Super Night at Northfield Park with eight Ohio Sires Stakes Finals to be decided and each has a $300,000 purse. The $1.00 All-Stakes Pick 5 starts in Race 6. The sequence will have a $20,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Summer Touch (5/2)-Went a 56.1 back half at ScD in last but still missed catching #6 who raced a big mile from post 8. This time the trip should be much different. Could get the pocket behind the chalk and take a big shot down the lane.
3-Smothastenesewisky (8/5)-Doesn't need to lead from the start to finish to win but will likely gun for the top. This colt has won 5 of 6 at NFLD and has held its own versus older Open company. Won't offer any value but best to respect.
6-Dragons Lucky Lady (8-1)-Has raced only once here finishing 2nd but has been on fire at ScD, winning 5 of 8 and came 2nd twice. This horse grinds, the post draw shouldn't hinder him badly as long the pace is hot and that should be the case.

Race 7

1-Gabbys C Note-As long as the trip is decent, and Gabby minds her manners she should be the winner. This Beaver trainee appears to be at another level. There probably isn't anyone else in the field that could lead from start to finish and trot in 156.0 or faster.

Race 8

1-Cape Cod Hanover (2-1)-Beat #2 last time with some good gate speed to get control and she didn't have a post edge. Page usually steers but he drives the 9/5 morning line favorite #8. Looking to beat the chalk in this leg and David Miller knows how to win this type of race.
2-Hotshot Temptress (9/2)-This filly is no slouch and should be forwardly placed throughout. Using and counting on Merriman to keep her in play at a solid price.
4-Dragon Lady (7-1)-Taking a swing with this price shot and she might have enough gate speed to get the top in front of stable mate #1 and then yield for a pocket ride. My guess is the 7-1 morning line might end up being low and is worth a play. Using instead of Sea Silk, who doesn't appear to have the gate speed to get a smooth trip. If she beats me from the far outside with this much speed on the rail, so be it.

Race 9

1-Caviar Gold (5/2)-Here's another Beaver pupil that draws the rail, has the gate speed to get the top and not look back. This is not an automatic picture but figures the be a main player.
2-Chulo (9-1)-Engblom trainee broke in last at 1/5. That's the 1st miscue in 6 starts and was the 1st race at NFLD. The price is right and Gingras will most likely do what he does and that is gun for the top. Price play might have enough gate speed to get the point and surprise.
7-Gabbys Bit Coin (3-1)-Just missed in last at ScD after working to get the lead and suffered the 1st loss in 4 starts. This is another Beaver pupil with a chance at the top check. The post is an issue but will help the price. This freshman is handy and Wrenn could provide a sharp steer.

Race 10

2-Charlie May (3/5)-Charlie has turned into a prime-time player and then some. If not for a DQ in the Med Pace he would have booked over $750,000 in earnings this year. Many will single with Chewbacca drawing to the outside. The one consideration to not do so is this colt doesn't have explosive gate speed but is so powerful it usually doesn't matter on the smaller ovals. Winner of 3 in 4 tries here is the main player but my guess is #8 has the lead around the opening turn.
8-Heart of Chewbacca (8-1)-Really has no choice but to blast out and hope to secure the point without using up too much gas. Then the next part of the winning formula is to hope Charlie doesn't get a smooth trip. Using and relying on some "hope" for more juice in the Pick 5 payout.

My Ticket

Race 6) 2,3,6

Race 7) 1

Race 8) 1,2,4

Race 9) 1,2,7

Race 10) 2,8

Total Ticket Cost) $54 for $1.00

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