EXTRA INCENTIVES$10,000 Turkey Bowl | stakes from GP, CD, Dmr, FG, Lrl today$10 Money-Back Special | Gulfstream Races 5 & 10 today1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Laurel | Late Pick 4 todayBet $50, Get $10 | Tokyo | Japan Cup Day cardTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Feeder | details$100 Aqueduct Feeder | details$40 Del Mar Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSPick 6 | $20,630 | Aqueduct | begins Race 5 | 1:40 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 6 | $184,136 | Gulfstream | begins Race 6 | 2:44 pm ETPick 6 | $31,524 | Fair Grounds | begins Race 4 | 3:15 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $422,348 | Churchill Downs | begins Race 7 | 3:55 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $204,226 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 11 | 6:16 pm ETPick 5 | $52,110 | Charles Town | begins Race 4 | 8:32 pm ET--Churchill has a mandatory pick 6 payout Sunday--Del Mar has a mandatory pick 6 payout SundayKENTUCKY DERBY FUTURE WAGERPool 2 | closes Sunday 6 pm ETKEY RACESGulfstream | Race 5 | 2:15 pm ET | FSS My Dear Girl StakesChurchill Downs | Race 4 | 2:24 pm ET | Ed Brown StakesLaurel | Race 7 | 3:02 pm ET | Safely Kept StakesLaurel | Race 8 | 3:33 pm ET | City of Laurel StakesChurchill Downs | Race 8 | 4:25 pm ET | Fern Creek StakesDel Mar | Race 5 | 4:32 pm ET | Seabiscuit StakesWoodbine | Race 8 | 4:38 pm ET | Princess Elizabeth StakesGulfstream | Race 10 | 4:47 pm ET | FSS In Reality StakesFair Grounds | Race 8 | 5:15 pm ET | Pan Zareta StakesChurchill Downs | Race 10 | 5:25 pm ET | Kentucky Jockey Club StakesDel Mar | Race 7 | 5:32 pm ET | Jimmy Durante StakesWoodbine | Race 10 | 5:44 pm ET | Coronation Futurity StakesChurchill Downs | Race 11 | 5:54 pm ET | Golden Rod StakesDel Mar | Race 9 | 6:32 pm ET | Hollywood DerbyTokyo | Race 12 | 1:40 am ET | Japan CupLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXLaurel | Race 8 | 3:33 pm ETChurchill Downs | Race 9 | 4:55 pm ETDelta Downs | Race 9 | 9:28 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHAnthony Farrior | Laurel, Charles Town | 9 of 10 entries 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Churchill Downs | favorites won 9 of 12 races on the cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Gulfstream Mandatory Payout Pick 6 Analysis for SaturdayScott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Spot Plays for SaturdayJeremy Plonk: Race of the Week – Gulfstream’s FSS In RealityFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

This is closing night at Hoosier Park so all pools will be paid out on the 15-race card. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 has a $4,383 carryover, that leads to a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 12% takeout. It starts in race 6, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 6 (7:25 PM EDT)1-TL Thunder Bolt (7-1)-The Erv Miller entry faces better but the entire field steps up and the 3-year-old will need to beat some older foes. Fits with this crew and Atlee Bender should be racing with the leaders throughout.3-Aye Aye Capt Russ (5-1)-This is another 3-year-old that shouldn't blush at the competition. Rolled home in 54.2 to cash a 2nd place check on a sloppy track in last. Kevin Lambright has options with this post draw and could be there at the wire with a smooth trip.5-Howard Hughes N (3/2)-The morning line chalk has won 7 of 28 this year and could get a good trip with this post draw. Should be racing at the top of the stack and if let alone should take a picture, but not sure he will get that trip.Race 7 (7:48 PM EDT)1-Rosarito Beach N (4-1)-Raced evenly after dropping in 4th after leaving from post 8. One-move type probably needs to be in front around the last turn or close to the leader to take a picture. Has a good chance to get that journey with this post draw.5-Covert (6-1)-Comes off what appeared to be a dull effort but being paced compromised with 59.1 opening half was an issue. Starts from a choice post and should relish the company. Can finish off the mile and could get a close up seat off the gate.Race 8 (8:11 PM EDT)4-Alwaystellthetruth (9/2)-Had been idle since mid-August and raced well coming off the bench to cash a 2nd place check. Should be a main player and will look for an even better performance after a needed start.6-Henry The Horse (5/2)-Has been up and down the condition ladder and recent form is good. Kyle Wilfong should be out and rolling and the beaten chalk could make amends. Meets a new group tonight and that could making a winning difference.Race 9 (8:34 PM EDT)4-At Any Cost (7-1)-The Trent Stohler pupil ships in from Mea and does good work at HoP (14-3-1-3). Faces some older foes but the price is right to take a swing. Will look for an aggressive steer and with the right trip should be in the hunt at wire.8-Bro Hug (9-1)-Will close it out with a 4-year-old who is 0-8 at HoP. Will use and fade the program chalk #7 who is even money in the program. The Bob Johnson trainee showed some life in last with a 56.2 back half and will look to close the season out with a big price.$1 Early Pick 41,3,5/1,5/4,6/4,8Total Bet=$24Check me out on Twitter!

It is the first Saturday of Gulfstream Park's Championship Meet, which in 2025 also means a mandatory payout in the Rainbow 6. With a carryover of over $184k built up over the past couple of weeks, track officials are anticipating a pool of around $2M when the sequence kicks off in Race 6 at approximately 2:44 PM eastern time. Here are my thoughts.Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.Race 6:Grade: B-Main Ticket: 5 PreventBackups: 7 Classic of CourseForecast: The Rainbow kicks off with this high-level handicap event at two-turns over the all-weather where #5 Prevent not only gets back to his preferred surface, but also is likely to find himself on an uncontested lead under jockey Emisael Jaramillo. The 6-time winner has earned 5 of his career victories over this surface and should be tough to catch late. If Prevent gets challenged more on the front end than it appears on paper, #7 Classic of Course is the likeliest to take advantage. The Florida-bred has proven versatile winning on 3 different surfaces through his first 15 starts, including an off the pace victory three-back over the all-weather at this same distance. Regular rider Jonathan Ocasio will remain onboard.Race 7:Grade: B+Main Ticket: 3 Spirit PrinceBackups: NoneForecast: My strongest opinion of the sequence comes in this optional claimer over the lawn where the pace should be honest at the very least. This bodes well for #3 Spirit Prince. The Miguel Clement trainee comes in off a third-place effort at Kentucky Downs won on the front end by a horse for course named Quartocento. Prior to that, the Cairo Prince colt came from off the pace to beat a first-level allowance bunch at Monmouth Park. He comes in fresh and should get a ground saving, off the pace voyage under veteran jockey Joe Bravo. All in on #3 Spirit Prince!Race 8:Grade: C+Main Ticket: 1 Heaven’s Promise; 2 Diamonds N ThrillsBackups: NoneForecast: I am also expecting a lively early tempo in this beaten $8k claimer over the all-weather, which should benefit those who can settle off the pace early and finish with energy. #1 Heaven’s Promise fits the profile. The Union Rags filly ships back to Florida from the Mid-Atlantic and drops to the lowest level of her career. Her maiden victory came over this surface in April and she draws favorably along the rail. #2 Diamonds N Thrills is unlikely to offer the value of my top choice, but also fits the profile of a horse that is likely to make the most of the likely race shape. The Spun to Run filly has hit the board in 8 of 11 over the Gulfstream Park synthetic and should get a much better setup than she did earlier this month when they went 25.1 and 50.2 in the early stages.Race 9:Grade: B-Main Ticket: 5 Makeit to CheyenneBackups: 2 Xy SpeedForecast: This five-furlong dash over the grass offers up a rematch of the October 26 race won by #5 Makeit to Cheyenne. The D J Stable gelding got a cleaner trip than #2 Xy Speed that day and held off the veteran by a head to spring the upset. Xy Speed certainly brings the strongest resume in, but draws inside again and certainly is not the same horse he once was. He can win as the public choice in what looks like a two-horse race, but I prefer Makeit to Cheyenne. The addition of blinkers has the Joe Orseno trainee moving in the right direction, while it is hard to imagine Xy Speed posting a career best in career start 49. Either way, I expect one of them to get to the wire first with a preference to Makeit to Cheyenne.Race 10: Florida Sire In Reality S.Grade: B-Main Ticket: 5 Strategic RiskBackups: 1 KhozaliteForecast: The colts and geldings finale for the 2YO Florida Sire Series is a 1 1/16-miles event over the main track where the majority of the field has stamina questions to answer. #1 Khozalite already responded with a two-turn victory over the turf against MSW company in late August before cutting back to one-turn to win the Affirmed last month. He is the clear one to beat, but will have to work out a trip from the inside with plenty of other speed types drawn to his outside. He is hard to toss given the question marks throughout the field, but I prefer the value of #5 Strategic Risk. The son of Noble Bird has not won at a route of ground like Khozalite, but has the pedigree to handle the added distance. He comes in off a third-place effort in the aforementioned Affirmed. I am banking on him getting a quality mid-pack trip under jockey Javier Castellano. At his 8-1-ML offering, he is also worth a Win bet using Xpressbet and 1ST/BET’s Money Back offer. Remember to register for that promotion!Race 11:Grade: C+Main Ticket: 6 EtonBackups: 4 Change at Jamaica; 2 The Great OscarForecast: The sequence and the first Saturday of the Championship Meet conclude with a non winners of two event over the sod where I like #6 Eton most. The English Channel gelding moves back to the lawn in his first start off the claim for trainer Carlos David. David clicks at well over 20% recently off the claim and this guy gets back to his preferred surface. It appears his race to lose. If he fails as the likely post-time favorite, perhaps #2 The Great Oscar or #4 Change at Jamaica can come rolling late and close this out. Either way, best of luck on the opening Saturday at Gulfstream Park!

The final weekend of the year at Churchill Downs is upon us, which means big fields and likely a juicy Derby City 6 pool with a mandatory payout on Sunday afternoon. First things first though since Saturday is one of my favorite cards of the year under the twin spires. Not only does the Stars of Tomorrow II card include a plethora of maiden special weight events for juveniles, but also gets us back on the Road to the Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks. Also note that Pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager closes at 6 pm ET.My top plays on the day come over the middle part of the card where I am hopeful deuces are wild!Race 6:This MSW event for 2YO fillies at two-turns over the grass feels wide-open since I am against 5-2-ML favorite #4 Kentucky Belle. The Justify filly has lost at 5-2 and 6-5 already and comes in off an underwhelming third in her turf debut. She is capable of a move forward with the addition of blinkers, but I am going to take a big swing against her with #2 Karma Cat. This daughter of Practical Joke debuted and was outrun in a live MSW sprint over the main track at Saratoga before getting caught hopelessly wide into the first turn in her grass debut at Keeneland on October 18. She tired badly that afternoon in Lexington, but it was an impossible trip from the get-go. Now, the Whit Beckman trainee moves inside and possesses some early speed in a race that appears void of it for the most part. Hopefully, jockey Joe Ramos gets aggressive from the gate and gets this gal into a favorable forward position. I expect her to outrun her odds if so.Play: #2 Karma Cat (20-1)Race 7:These 1 1/16-miles dirt MSW races at Churchill Downs often contain some colts that we will see on the Road to the Derby at some point. I am hopeful one of those is #2 Liberty National. The $525k Keeneland September 2024 purchase debuted at Keeneland last month for trainer Kenny McPeek in what clearly looked like a prep at 7-furlongs. The son of Maxfield broke well, but then was taken in hand by jockey Jose Ortiz. From there Ortiz let Liberty National drop hopelessly out of it before putting in a decent late run with a solid gallop out. McPeek often uses first starts as a lesson and now he turns to jockey Brian Hernandez Jr. and stretches his trainee out to a route of ground. I expect a big move forward at a solid price.Play: #2 Liberty National (6-1 ML)Race 8: Fern Creek Stakes ($10,000 Turkey Bowl Promo-Eligible Race)My top stakes play of the day comes in this 6.5-furlong dash for 2YO fillies where I love the chances of #2 Paige Turner. The $350k daughter of Army Mule has done very little wrong through two starts for trainer Cherie DeVaux. Her second on debut at Saratoga came with a trip between rivals that rarely results in a strong finish and she followed it up with a dominant victory over this surface going 7-panels on Halloween. The inside draw is likely to present a different type of trip than her stress-free outside stalking voyage in her maiden breaker, but she showed the ability to deal with adversity in August and has the look of a serious female sprinter.Play: #2 Paige Turner (7-2 ML)

Hoosier Park has a 13-race card with the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 6 (6:32 PM EDT)5-Can'ttouchthese (1/1)-Team DeLong 3-year-old has won 4 of the last 5 starts, and the only loss came 4 back when it was hung the mile on 10-31. The race should go through this filly and it likes to win. Has captured 10 of 20 starts this year and has 16 pictures in 27 races at HoP. Has good tactical speed and unless the trip is really bumpy this should be the picture taker.Race 7 (6:55 PM EDT)1-Ayeaye Captain Deo (12-1)-Going to look for some value in this leg and fade the 9/5 program chalk #4 and will start with a price shot. The Robert Taylor entry tries Lasix for the 2nd time and hasn't drawn post 1 since it won the Simcoe at Mohawk in early September. Raced okay last week but couldn't make up ground down the lane. That was on a sloppy track and will look for better here.7-Chadler Bing (7/2)-This is a nice local bred who has lost to the program choice in the last 2 races. Has finished 2nd in both races, but last time raced better with Trace Tetrick at the controls. Tetrick sticks, and the Alvin Miller pupil could be sitting on a big try.9-Extra Suds (6-1)-The post makes it a bigger challenge and improves the price. Won last time in the slop from post 5 and was used hard into a 26.2 opening quarter. Did get the top and made every call a winning one. Has big gate speed to get there again and Peter Wrenn should have the pedal down.10-Banderas (12-1)-Got the pocket and lost by a head to the one above last time. Could get a cozy trip here if okay going into the 1st turn. This is a longshot that could get sucked around and connect if within reach of the leader at the head of the stretch.Race 8 (7:18 PM EDT)4-Gorgeous Big Guy (7/2)-Big Guy raced evenly last time in the slop and has finished 2nd in 11 races this year. Not overly impressed with a small price on Oakwood Ardan, the 2-1 chalk who will likely be slammed. Will look to the other Burke entry to win and to add value to the Pick 4 sequence.6-I'm Skinnydipin N (5/2)-Dropped and popped in last and has finished 2nd in the last 3 races against straight Open company. Does step up, but this is a player with an honest pace to close into.Race 9 (7:41 PM EDT)6-Play Me Rock (3-1)-Here is an up and down sort that manages to win its share of races. Made the most of landing in the pocket in last and has the gate speed to get a top of the stack trip again.7-American Classic (7/2)-Drops and should appreciate the company. Atlee Bender usually drives and with this post draw needs to provide a sharp steer. Bender found a live cover flow the last time the veteran drew post 7. He rolled by down the lane and finished with a 26.2 last quarter.8-Joker Rockwell (5-1)-Could leave and get a decent early seat. There isn't much gate speed and an aggressive start should help chances. John DeLong picked here over #1 and could be a player at a square price.$1 Early Pick 45/1,7,9,10/4,6/6,7,8Total Bet=$24Check me out on Twitter!

EXTRA INCENTIVES$10,000 Turkey Bowl | Churchill 10-11, Gulfstream 9, Del Mar 71 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Parx Late Pick 4TOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Feeder | details$100 Aqueduct Feeder | details$40 Del Mar Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $169,861 | Gulfstream | begins Race 4 | 1:47 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $395,317 | Churchill Downs | begins Race 7 | 3:55 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $200,175 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 8 | 8:07 pm ET--Gulfstream has a mandatory pick 6 payout Saturday--Churchill has a mandatory pick 6 payout Sunday--Del Mar has a mandatory pick 6 payout SundayKEY RACESGulfstream | Race 9 | 4:16 pm ET | Pulpit StakesChurchill Downs | Race 10 | 5:25 pm ET | Mrs. Revere StakesChurchill Downs | Race 11 | 5:54 pm ET | Clark StakesDel Mar | Race 7 | 6:32 pm ET | Hollywood Turf CupLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXFair Grounds | Race 4 | 3:15 pm ETTampa Bay Downs | Race 9 | 4:43 pm ETChurchill Downs | Race 10 | 5:25 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHGreg Sacco | Tampa Bay Downs | 5 of 6 entries 5-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Churchill Downs | Irad Ortiz Jr. | 4 wins, 1 second from 9 mountsPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Churchill Downs Stakes Picks for FridayFrank Carulli: Gulfstream Pick 3 / Pulpit Stakes Analysis for FridayFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

I hope you feasted at the dinner table on Thanksgiving and also stuffed your account balance after a $9 suggested trifecta play in the Cardinal Stakes returned a juicy $379.18. We’re back at it for Churchill Downs on Black Friday, where the Mrs. Revere Stakes and Clark Stakes are co-featured.Both stakes races are part of our Turkey Bowl holiday week bonanza. Customers who hit win bets ($10 base minimum or higher) on a minimum of 10 different selected stakes races between Thursday and Sunday will earn an equal split of $10,000 in bonus cash.Churchill Downs: Race 10 (5:25 pm ET) | $300,000 Mrs. Revere StakesHard to knock 7-5 morning line favorite #1 Lush Lips, whose sharp victory in the Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup at Keeneland was flattered when 2-4 finishers Laurelin and Fionn came back to sweep the exacta in the Jockey Club Oaks in New York. Seven straight top-2 finishes for Lush Lips include a couple of local stakes tries on the Churchill course. A field of 12 makes for appealing intra-race exotics even if you like the favorite. #10 Pretty Picture got no pace help whatsoever in the Sands Point when closing for third, earning an easily field-best 106 BRIS late pace figure. The runner-up in that race, Fast Market, already came back to win the Pebbles (and will be re-matched Friday). Trifecta 1-10-all for 2 units; 1-4-all for 1 unit. Daily Double 1-2 to next play.Churchill Downs: Race 11 (5:54 pm ET) | $600,000 Clark StakesA bullet workout November 14 and reunion with Flavien Prat makes #2 First Mission highly attractive at a 5-1 morning line price in the Clark. This kind of stakes that’s just-off-the-top-cusp has been his wheelhouse the past 3 seasons. He comes in freshened since a California road trip in September while his local resume includes a second by a nose in this race in 2023. Prat piloted him to victory in the Oaklawn Handicap. Win bet #2 First Mission. Exactas 2 with 4,9. #4 Gosger should benefit from blinkers and a weight break against elders, as could Magnitude in his first try outside the 3YO ranks.

HAPPY THANKSGIVING!Gulfstream Park | 11:15 am ET | Championship Meet opensLaurel Park | 11:25 am ETChurchill Downs | 11:30 am ETFair Grounds | 1:00 pm ETWoodbine | 5:30 pm ETEXTRA INCENTIVESBet $100, Get $10 | Churchill Downs | today’s races$10,000 Turkey Bowl | Churchill 10-11, Gulfstream 8, Fair Grounds 9TOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $156,112 | Gulfstream | begins Race 3 | 12:13 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $373,345 | Churchill Downs | begins Race 7 | 2:18 pm ETPick 6 | $6,192 | Fair Grounds | begins Race 5 | 3:00 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $191,754 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 8 | 8:53 pm ET--Gulfstream has a mandatory pick 6 payout Saturday--Churchill has a mandatory pick 6 payout Sunday--Del Mar has a mandatory pick 6 payout SundayKEY RACESGulfstream | Race 8 | 2:38 pm ET | Wait a While StakesChurchill Downs | Race 10 | 3:45 pm ET | Falls City StakesChurchill Downs | Race 11 | 4:14 pm ET | Cardinal StakesFair Grounds | Race 9 | 5:00 pm ET | Thanksgiving ClassicTRAINERS TO WATCHSaffie Joseph Jr. | Gulfstream | 3 of 4 races entered 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Churchill Downs | Steve & Erik Asmussen | teamed for $15.54 and $17.12 winnersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Churchill Downs Stakes Picks for ThursdayFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section