Log In

XB Blog

12.7.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Sunday, December 7, 2025

TOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Feeder | details$40 Los Alamitos (TB) Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $52,025 | Fair Grounds | begins Race | pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $72,569 | Gulfstream | begins Race | pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $251,746 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race | pm ETKEY RACESAqueduct | Race 6 | 3:06 pm ET | Garland of Roses StakesAqueduct | Race 7 | 3:35 pm ET | Comely StakesLos Alamitos | Race 8 | 7:02 pm ET | Soviet Problem StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXGulfstream Park | Race 1 | 12:20 pm ETAqueduct | Race 8 | 4:04 pm ETFair Grounds | Race 7 | 4:45 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHJamie Ness | Laurel | all 6 entries 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Aqueduct | favorites won 7 of 11 racesPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Gulfstream Spot Plays for SundayBrian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

Read Article
12.7.2025:

Scott Shapiro: Gulfstream Spot Plays | Sunday, December 7, 2025

The racing week at Gulfstream Park concludes this afternoon with an 11-race card that kicks off at 12:20 PM eastern. The slate includes a number of playable maiden races and an attractive Tropical Turf Pick 3 that kicks off in Race 5. Remember, the Tropical Turf Pick 3 has a $3 minimum denomination, a 15% takeout, and is conducted over the last three turf races on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Here are a few horses I plan to build my Sunday wagering in Hallandale Beach around.Race 5:The Tropical Turf Pick 3 kicks off with this first-level allowance for 2YOs where there is a plethora of early speed types signed on. #2 Strategic Reserve and #3 Skipping Stars along the inside are almost certain to get aggressive rides from the gate, as well as #6 Hard Storm and #8 Alpyland from the outside. This should work out perfectly for #4 Omaha Storm. The son of Omaha Beach was keen early on debut at Saratoga for a barn that does not do much winning first out, but bounced back with his maiden victory over the Aqueduct sod on October 2. The Mark Hennig trainee was outrun in the Central Park in his first start against winners, but finds a softer spot this afternoon, He has the tactical speed to not be too far out of it early, but his ability to settle early and finish late should serve him well in his first start outside of New York. Junior Alvarado takes the call for the first time.Play: #4 Omaha Storm (6-1 ML)Race 10:There is little doubt this state-bred first-level allowance at 7-furlongs over the main track goes through 9-5 ML favorite #4 Skellig Michael. The son of Battalion Runner broke through for his maiden victory in mid-October after failing the public twice at odds-on and did so in quick fashion. If he makes an easy lead again, he will be tough to catch, but I expect him to be take more heat than he did in his maiden score. I am hopeful this allows #1 He’s a Beast to run down the likely chalk. Two-back, He’s a Beast did not break well in the race Skellig Michael dominated on the front end, but rallied late to finish a non-threatening second. Since then, the David Fawkes trainee overcame some adversity to break his maiden in mid-November setting up a rematch of the two Florida-breds. With a more contentious pace to chase this time around, I give He’s a Beast a big chance to turn the tables at what should be a solid price.Play: #1 He’s a Beast (6-1 ML)Race 11:The racing week at Gulfstream Park concludes with this MSW for 2YO fillies going one-mile over the lawn where second-time starter #1 Empress New Groove looks tough to beat. The daughter of Seeking the Soul debuted at Keeneland back in early October and took advantage of a favorable ground saving voyage to finish second at nearly 10-1. Since then, she was purchased for $42k at the OBS Open sale and shows up the Saffie Joseph Jr. barn. The Kentucky-bred has had four maintenance drills over the main track in Florida since the purchase and draws the rail for her first local try. She will not be a huge price, but makes for a potential single in all of the late horizontals with jockey Micah Husbands jumping aboard for the initial time.Play: #1 Empress New Groove (5-2 ML)

Read Article
12.7.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, December 7, 2025

Woodbine Mohawk Park begins the week with a 10-race card. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 7, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 7 (9:03 PM EST)1-Willowtime (3-1)-Came off a sick scratch with 2 good efforts against this kind. Last time, was slow off the car and did rally from 12 lengths back at the half to lose by <2 lengths. The week before finished a close 4th in a needed race. Looking for a better effort tonight but not sure drawing the 1-hole will help that much.4-Bella Cavalla (4-1)-This will be the 4th start in the Fellows barn, raced well 2 and 3 back and will excuse the last race as the trip was brutal. Doug McNair gets the nod here, that could make a difference and should be in the hunt at the wire.10-Ghostly Casper (6-1)-Makes the 2nd start since shipping back from Yonkers where his formed slipped while facing the Invites. Drops out of Open company in a needed start last week. May have landed in a good spot to get an overdue win despite leaving from post 10. This should be go time, was cashing checks versus Preferred company when here in the summer.Race 8 (9:26 PM EST)6-Roll Em (3-1)-Will take a swing and hope the veteran isn't over bet. This will be the 3rd race after a sick scratch, and both starts weren't very good. Did have an excuse last week, was hung the mile and went off at 4/5. Louis Roy takes the lines, and he could be the winning difference as the trip can't get much worse.7-Mr Ibiza N (2-1)-Was riding a 2-race win streak and that was snapped off a bumpy trip in the last start. Lost as an odds-on chalk and it's not easy for horse this caliber to win 3 straight. Will look for a smoother trip and if so could reward backers tonight.Race 9 (9:49 PM EST)4-Cheddar Bay (3-1)-Shipped in from FlmD, was 10-lengths back at the 1st call and then rolled the back half in 56.2 to cash a 2nd place check. Could pop at a square price if driver Daryl Thiessen has in striking range at the top of the stretch.5-Larceny (7/2)-Got a 1st over trip in the 1st start in a month. Faded down the lane and now starts with the same post draw. Billy Davis Jr should work a covered trip this time and that would make the Auciello trainee a threat.Race 10 (10:12 PM EST)3-Sargeant Slaughter (6-1)-Left hard from post 9 and got on the point but that drained the tank to some degree. That was a strong try, finished gamely and could get a less taxing trip this time.4-Wannabeabigstar (2-1)-The program chalk checks some boxes, gets big post relief and class relief. Can't leave off the ticket as it should be the one to beat with a smooth steer. But has had trouble passing foes down the lane and will likely offer no value.6-Premier First Star (3-1)-Dropped to this level in last and certainly out raced its 48-1 odds to finish 3rd. Did protect its position leaving into a 26.3 opening quarter, stayed inside and got shuffled back. Showed some life down the lane with a 26.4 final quarter and could improve here with a choice post draw.$1 Late Pick 41,4,10/6,7/4,5/3,4,6Total Bet=$36Check me out on Twitter!

Read Article
12.6.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Saturday, December 6, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVES1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Aqueduct Late Pick 4 today10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Woodbine (TB) | today’s racesTOURNAMENT TIME$1,000 Aqueduct BCBC Qualifier | details$100 Gulfstream Feeder | details$40 Los Alamitos (TB) Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $49,693 | Fair Grounds | begins Race 4 | 3:45 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | $46,080 | Gulfstream Park | Race 11 | 5:19 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $235,150 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 11 | 6:14 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $56,857 | Charles Town | begins Race 3 | 8:02 pm ETPick 5 | $33,363 | Charles Town | begins Race 4 | 8:32 pm ETPick 6 | $38,538 | Los Alamitos (QH) | begins Race 3 | 9:41 pm ETKEY RACESAqueduct | Race 3 | 12:17 pm ET | Demoiselle StakesTampa Bay Downs | Race 2 | 1:00 pm ET | Inaugural StakesAqueduct | Race 5 | 1:13 pm ET | Elite Power StakesLaurel | Race 6 | 2:26 pm ET | MD Juvenile StakesAqueduct | Race 8 | 2:39 pm ET | NY Stallion Stakes (Fillies)Aqueduct | Race 9 | 3:08 pm ET | Remsen StakesLaurel | Race 8 | 3:26 pm ET | MD Juvenile Filly StakesAqueduct | Race 10 | 3:37 pm ET | Cigar Mile Handicap | Meet the ContendersAqueduct | Race 11 | 4:07 pm ET | NY Stallion StakesGulfstream | Race 9 | 4:19 pm ET | H. Allen Jerkens StakesTampa Bay Downs | Race 9 | 4:30 pm ET | Sandpiper StakesWoodbine | Race 10 | 5:42 pm ET | Valedictory StakesLos Alamitos | Race 8 | 7:02 pm ET | Starlet StakesTurfway | Race 7 | 8:55 pm ET | Boone County StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXTampa Bay Downs | Race 6 | 3:00 pm ETGulfstream Park | Race 7 | 3:19 pm ETTurfway Park | Race 4 | 7:25 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHGary Capuano | Laurel | 4 of 5 entries 7-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Tampa Bay Downs | favorites won 5 of 9 racesPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Aqueduct Hit & Split All-Stakes Pick 4 AnalysisJeremy Plonk: Race of the Week – Jerkens from Gulfstream ParkJeremy Plonk: Remsen, Inaugural & MD Juvenile Championship Stakes PicksFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

Read Article
12.6.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, December 6, 2025

The Meadowlands has a 14-race card, and the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 6 (8:25 PM EST)2-Joey Joe (3-1)-Bumps up a TM level after putting in a huge mile racing wide and was double bubbled. Was aided by a fast pace but did the heavy lifting to roll a 56.1 back half and looks like a good double up possibility.7-Pompeo Hanover (4-1)-Finished 4th up one TM level and did go a 54.1 back half after leaving from the 7-hole. Now drops and may have met a beatable field.Race 7 (8:50 PM EST)7-Caviart Lotus (9/2)-Makes the 1st start at M1 this year after doing some good work at HoP. Was claimed very late in the meet and comes back in sequence. Should fit well, and the Alvarez barn post 29% winners after a claim.9-Mamba (3-1)-Joe B steers his own and the 5-year-old has hit the board in 6 of 13 with 2 pictures. Should relish the company after close finishes with the $40k claimers at Yonkers.Race 8 (9:15 PM EST)2-It's In The Stars (4-1)-Gets post relief, drops a notch and has been a player at this TM level. Likes to race near the top of the top of the stack and Brett Beckwith could make this post draw a winning advantage.4-Seasideescape (6-1)-Liked this 4-year-old with Bartlett steering on 11-22 and did connect for a win. Now Joe B steers another of his own and it steps up. Using on the assumption will handle the bump up and looking for a bigger price than the morning line.5-Trumpster Blues (6-1)-Sealed the deal last week after a pair of 2nd place finishes and now moves up a TM level. Draws well and was aided by a quick pace last week. Could be rolling hard off cover and the fractions should be lively again.Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)1-Mayhem Hanover (5-1)-Has won only 2-times in 34 starts at M1 but gets some needed post relief and fits with this crew. Looking for a solid price, the veteran is in a spot to get an efficient trip and be in line for a suck-around win.6-Dance Partner (3-1)-Beaten even money chalk started from the same post last week and came 2nd. Faded down the lane after getting the lead and now faces the same kind again. This is a different field, only the 1-4 are the same and could make amends tonight.$1 Early Pick 42,7/7,9/2,4,5/1,6Total Bet=$24Check me out on Twitter!

Read Article
12.5.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, December 5, 2025

Hawthorne Racecourse has a Friday matinee 8-race card, the first post is 1:00 PM CST. The 0.50 Late Pick starts in Race 5 and will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 5 (2:20 PM CST)5-Kiss My Mooss (7-1)-Might have been overmatched in the big money Illinois stakes but performed well in the last 2 races. The most recent start was against this kind, left from the 10-hole, was used early and didn't quit down the lane. Starts in a much better slot, won't be 35-1 but could offer a solid price. Will use in case the morning line choice has a bumpy trip.8-Maypearl (2-1)-This is the field's leading money winner and has won 3 straight. The post draw might make it more of challenge, but it is the one to beat.Race 6 (2:40 PM CST)2-Lottie's Webb (4-1)-Faded down the lane to finish 2nd on 11-21 and has been off since. Faces some of the same and the winner is not in this field. Needs an efficient trip to post a win and that could happen with this post draw.3-Rk's Toni (7-1)-Left from post 7 in last and was far back early but finished 3rd just behind the one above. Gets post relief and a ++ driver change in Casey Leonard. Does good work at Haw (20-6-2-2) and should be closer to the leader turning for the wire.7-Got The Grins (9-1)-Drew off by >3 lengths on 11-13 against better.. Then took an aggressive jump up in class and was a beaten 6th. Now drops back to a competitive level and at 9-1 is well worth a swing. Has hit the board in 5 of 7 in Stickney and took 2 pictures.Race 7 (3:00 PM CST)7-JM's Determination (4-1)-Took the long way around and finished a beaten 4th. This will be the 4th start in town for this mare and will look for an improved effort at a square price.8-Seeyousomewhere (15-1)-This is also the 4th start in town and this filly drops to a more competitive level. Gets a positive driver change in Mike Oosting and with a sharp steer could surprise at a big price.Race 8 (3:20 PM CST)3-Jewel's Lady (9/2)-This is a soft bunch and Lady has lost less than others due to the fact she has had only 8 starts. The 4-year-old was a late starter but tonight gets the best pilot as Leonard steers. Should be forwardly placed and could get a suck around win.9-Minithezzzmoocher (5-1)-Comes off a decent effort finishing a close 2nd and the winner isn't a concern tonight. The post helps the price, and the beaten chalk could be in the mix if in striking range at the head of the lane.0.50 Late Pick 45,8/2,3,7/7,8/3,9Total Bet=$12Check me out on Twitter!

Read Article
12.5.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Friday, December 5, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVES10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Woodbine (TB) | today’s racesTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Feeder | details$100 Aqueduct Feeder | details$40 Los Alamitos (TB) Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $49,693 | Fair Grounds | begins Race 3 | 2:45 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | $8,572 | Gulfstream Park | Race 10 | 4:52 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $53,214 | Charles Town | begins Race 3 | 8:02 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $228,270 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 8 | 8:05 pm ETPick 5 | $163,847 | Turfway Park | begins Race 6 | 8:25 pm ETLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXGulfstream Park | Race 1 | 12:20 pm ETTampa Bay Downs | Race 7 | 3:29 pm ETTurfway Park | Race 2 | 6:25 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHJonathan Wong | Delta Downs | 5 of 6 entries 9-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Fair Grounds | trainer Joe Sharp | 2 wins, 2 seconds from 7 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMFrank Carulli: Laurel Late Pick 4 Analysis for FridayFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

Read Article
12.4.2025:

Jeremy Plonk: Remsen, Inaugural & MD Juvenile Championship Stakes Picks | Saturday, December 6, 2025

The attention steeped on soon-to-be sophomores picks up business Saturday when the Remsen Stakes headlines a trio of 2-year-old stakes. Aqueduct’s $250,000 Grade 2 Remsen at a mile and one-eighth is joined on the national docket by the $125,000 Maryland Juvenile Championship over 7 furlongs at Laurel and the $125,000 Inaugural Stakes at 6 furlongs in the first leg of the Tampa Bay Derby series.Kentucky Derby trail implications figure to be more prevalent in the Remsen, but we’ll begin our look in post-time order.Tampa Bay Downs: Race 2 | $125,000 Inaugural Stakes | 1:00 pm ETThe Gulf Coast trail includes the Inaugural at 6 furlongs, the Pasco at 7 furlongs and the Sam. F. Davis and Tampa Bay Derby both at 1-1/16 miles. Seven colts/geldings will contest the series opener, including stakes-placed THUNDER CHUCK for Jorge Delgado and SUPER KICK for Eoin Harty. But it’s romping Gulfstream debut winner SOLITUDE DUDE for Saffie Joseph Jr. who will be a standout on the toteboard. The $300,000 2-year-old purchase by Yauponi is bred to sprint on both sides and appears well-placed for the natural rise in class. Joseph adds second-start Gulfstream maiden graduate LANGVAD.Six of these 7 have made the lead early in sprints prior, the other has 3 times pressed from second in the early calls. Expect a strong tempo. Given that, the slight cut-back in distance for SOLITUDE DUDE as well as UNCLE CHUCK – the latter from the 6-1/2 furlong Saratoga Special and same-tripped Juvenile Sprint at Gulfstream, should prove beneficial. While THUNDER CHUCK has sprinted in all 4 starts, the Good Magic colt has as much license on pedigree as any in this field to handle the more important distances in the Tampa series down the road.SUPER KICK won a sales-restricted maiden sprint at Churchill in September, but failed to threaten in a 4-horse Bowman Mill at Keeneland when third. He should find at last a couple better here as well.The picks: 7-SOLITUDE DUDE, 3-THUNDER CHUCK, 4-SUPER KICK, 2-LANGVADLaurel Park: Race 6 | $125,000 Maryland Juvenile Championship | 2:26 pm ETTen juveniles in search of their first stakes glory match up in this 7-furlong sprint that starts to form the Preakness path at Laurel. That venue hosts the middle jewel in the Triple Crown this year and next during the reconstruction at Pimlico.The field lacks a standout in the past performances, though TARTABULL was a notable third at Saratoga to next-out stakes winner Ewing and then fifth behind eventual national stakes players Talkin and Further Ado. Trainer Chad Summers brought the $310,000 Tapit-Anna’s Bandit colt to Laurel on October 25 to break his maiden with a green rally. He’s trained well since and may be starting to figure things out. WORKER BEE has won 2 of 3 for high-percentage trainer Gary Capuano and will be asked to tote 8 additional pounds from his prior score just 15 days ago. He figures to be in the mix every step of the way in a race that has a surprising lack of early pace for a 7-furlong juvenile stakes. Dominant maiden claiming debut winner BIKER BALEY may be the only other runner with designs on the front. Both deserve a look.CODE OF SILENCE is a lukewarm 7-2 morning line favorite off a Nov. 16 maiden breaker in his fourth start for Tim Keefe. He has given himself a lot to do with a series of slow or poor starts, but perhaps the blinkers on last time helped focus his abilities in the late going.The picks: 2-WORKER BEE, 8-TARTABULL, 4-BIKER BALEY, 5-CODE OF SILENCEAqueduct: Race 9 | $250,000 Grade 2 Remsen | 3:08 pm ETThe rematch between PALADIN and RENEGADE, who disputed an Oct. 17 maiden mile at Aqueduct, will be front and center in this field of 12. Since that race, in which I thought RENEGADE ran best, its PALADIN who has posted 5 workouts to a mere 2 for RENEGADE. That said, it’s quite likely Paladin will be fitter for the stretchout in distance and best his rival Saturday over a mile and one-eighth. That PALADIN gets to easily save ground in post 2 with a short run to the first turn only helps in his head-to-head with RENEGADE, who starts from the 9-hole. PALADIN trainer Chad Brown was runner-up here a few years back with fellow Gun Runner colt Sierra Leone.Remsen history offers no pause for these 1-turn milers stepping up in class. In the last dozen years, 11 Remsen winners exited 1-turn races. And note the last 4 winners of this race stepped up from maiden or allowance races.Todd Pletcher has won the Remsen 3 times (2005, 2012, 2021), but is 1 for his last 14 in this race. He’ll send out RENEGADE as well as the Nov. 9 Aqueduct maiden special weight 1-2 finishers COURTING and GRITTINESS. You want to love COURTING, a $5 million full-brother to star racemare Clairiere, but it’s notable that he was ridden out in that 1-turn mile victory against just 3 rivals at 1-10 odds. His back-to-back 94 BRIS late pace figures are very solid against this crew, but pale to the 104 and 100 that RENEGADE and PALADIN earned, respectively, over the same trip.The wide draw for TALKIN in post 11 makes his task significantly more difficult. His Champagne Stakes runner-up to the fleet Napoleon Solo wasn’t visually overwhelming on his ledger, but we saw trainer Danny Gargan win the 2022 and 2023 Remsen editions with sons of Good Magic like this.The picks: 2-PALADIN, 6-COURTING, 9-RENEGADE, 11-TALKIN

Read Article
Load More