By Xpressbet
HAPPY THANKSGIVING!Gulfstream Park | 11:15 am ET | Championship Meet opensLaurel Park | 11:25 am ETChurchill Downs | 11:30 am ETFair Grounds | 1:00 pm ETWoodbine | 5:30 pm ETEXTRA INCENTIVESBet $100, Get $10 | Churchill Downs | today’s races$10,000 Turkey Bowl | Churchill 10-11, Gulfstream 8, Fair Grounds 9TOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $156,112 | Gulfstream | begins Race 3 | 12:13 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $373,345 | Churchill Downs | begins Race 7 | 2:18 pm ETPick 6 | $6,192 | Fair Grounds | begins Race 5 | 3:00 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $191,754 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 8 | 8:53 pm ET--Gulfstream has a mandatory pick 6 payout Saturday--Churchill has a mandatory pick 6 payout Sunday--Del Mar has a mandatory pick 6 payout SundayKEY RACESGulfstream | Race 8 | 2:38 pm ET | Wait a While StakesChurchill Downs | Race 10 | 3:45 pm ET | Falls City StakesChurchill Downs | Race 11 | 4:14 pm ET | Cardinal StakesFair Grounds | Race 9 | 5:00 pm ET | Thanksgiving ClassicTRAINERS TO WATCHSaffie Joseph Jr. | Gulfstream | 3 of 4 races entered 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Churchill Downs | Steve & Erik Asmussen | teamed for $15.54 and $17.12 winnersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Churchill Downs Stakes Picks for ThursdayFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Frank Carulli
A contentious field of 2-year-olds will go post-ward in the $100,000 Pulpit Stakes on the Gulfstream Park turf this Friday. The 7-1/2F test drew nine entrants and is part of the $10,000 Turkey Bowl promotion all holiday weekend with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet (hit 10, $10 win bets for your share of $10,000). The Pulpit also caps a $1 pick 3 wager that shapes up this way:GP 7th race (3:16 p.m. EST) -- Trainer Jose D’Angelo is 35-for-149 the last two years with synthetic track entrants transitioning from turf. He has two live entrants in this $12,500 claimer at 1 mile and 70 yards, but both could be underlays in the wagering. FULL NELSON, multiple stakes-placed on the turf last year as a 3-year-old, hasn’t raced on this surface since a 6-1/2-length victory in a $35,000 optional claimer two years ago. But he only beat two rivals in his last three starts combined, albeit in better company. NINJA STAR finished first or second in 8 of 12 starts on the synthetic track – including a stakes win against state-bred rivals in January -- but he drops in for half of his September 14 claiming price. He chased the wire-to-wire winner when second three starts back but finished ahead of two next-out winners. He ran into trouble as a follow-up favorite, then failed to rally in a fast-paced mile last out on the lawn. LEO MONTE, an eight-time winner on the synthetic surface, exited a ‘triple key’ grass race under these conditions at Monmouth two months ago, then advanced 4-wide on the final turn and finished second against New Jersey breds at the Meadowlands. He changed tactics and set the pace at 1-1/16 miles as the beaten favorite most recently. SUNSHINE FROLIC is a good-priced option to consider for Bet 3 purposes. He rallied for third from post 11 three starts ago, finishing 3-1/4 lengths behind Light Fury, who took the measure of Sunshine Frolic again for his sixth wire-to-wire victory at Gulfstream this year. He ‘navigated traffic’ into the far turn in his most recent start, finishing third again in a longer route race dominated by closers.GP 8th race (3:46 p.m. EST) -- The action switches from the synthetic track to conventional dirt for this $6,250 claiming sprint. ETENDRE, claimed by leading trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. for $8,000 two starts ago, should get back on the winning track after his three-peat bid was cooked in a fast-paced duel. He pressed repeat winner Raging Fury, who paired up his 81 Beyer speed figures. MAJOR KING is 9/2-2-1 in $6,250 claimers this year, finishing on both sides of photo finishes three times since September. He gets in light on the cutback from one mile to 6-1/2F.GP 9th race (4:16 p.m. EST) -- SUNRISE pressed the pace on the backstretch, dueled through the turn and was resilient in holding off the trip-sitting closers in a 1-1/16-mile maiden win at Saratoga that produced two next-out winners. The son of 2014 Breeders’ Cup Mile winner Karakonite was no factor in the Laurel Futurity, but he starts fresh and adds blinkers with a bullet workout last Friday. BRONZE BULLET wore down the fleet-footed, 2-to-5 favorite in his 5F debut, then he was bumped at the start and chased his winning stablemate in a $75,000 optional claimer to finish second. He takes off the blinkers but could be the target in his first long sprint attempt. His sire, Leinster, won three graded stakes at 5-1/2F on the lawn with triple-digit Beyers. The faster the pace, the better the chances GLORIOUS BOY continues his improved form on the switch to turf. He trailed into the stretch against three rivals in the 6F Awad Stakes at Aqueduct, but rallied determinedly on the rail and galloped out past the even-money winner. BEHOLD THE KING, the lone stakes winner in the featured Pulpit Stakes, out-gamed SKIPPING STARS in the one-mile Armed Forces on the Gulfstream lawn, now both runners are major players again while moving from inside to outside posts.Suggested $1 TicketGP 7th Race: 2, 3, 5, 7GP 8th Race: 3, 9GP 9th Race: 2, 5, 6Cost: $24
By Jeremy Plonk
A blessed Thanksgiving to all as we tackle not only a feast, but one of racing’s great traditions at Churchill Downs this Thursday. A dozen-race card gets underway at an early 11:30 am first post and co-features the Falls City Stakes and the Cardinal Stakes in Races 10 and 11, respectively.Both stakes races are part of our Turkey Bowl holiday week bonanza. Customers who hit win bets ($10 base minimum or higher) on a minimum of 10 different selected stakes races between Thursday and Sunday will earn an equal split of $10,000 in bonus cash. Also note Thursday’s Churchill card is our final in the month-long Cornucopia of Cash promotion. Bet $100, Get $10 when you play with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet.Churchill Downs: Race 10 (3:45 pm ET) | $400,000 Falls City StakesMorning line favorite #10 Regaled comes off back-to-back career-best efforts and the Breeders’ Cup Distaff third-place finisher returns to Churchill Downs less than half the price she was when third in the Locust Grove. She’s pace dependent and lacks value, as does fellow closer #2 Raging Sea. The more tactical approach of #4 Alpine Princess and #7 Royal Spa should be appreciated, along with the improving #8 Standoutsensation. Hard to argue with 4 wins and a second in her last 5 starts, making #8 Standoutsensation the value play for me at 8-1 morning line. I love how she got right back on the workout tab 2 weeks after her Aqueduct road victory even despite travel. Win bet #8. Exacta key-box 8 with 4,7.Churchill Downs: Race 11 (4:14 pm ET) | $300,000 Cardinal Stakes#11 Proctor Street always has looked like a graded-stakes sort and will get that chance off a Keeneland allowance win without any pace help. In fact, she’s had little to work with from off the pace throughout her career in terms of fast set-ups. The presence of fleet #5 Stylish Sue might help set the table for once. Regally bred #10 Fleetingly is another who could be set to deliver on her promise if she finally gets something to run at in terms of pace. Win #11. Exacta 11-10. Trifecta 11-all-10.
By Jeremy Plonk
The Lead:Florida's top 2-year-olds ring in the Championship Meet at Gulfstream Park with dual headliners Saturday. The series finales of the Florida Sire Stakes for 2025 share the spotlight, the $300K My Dear Girl in Race 5 for the fillies and the $300K In Reality in Race 10 for the colts & geldings.Horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET can take advantage of the FSS series finales 2 ways. Both the My Dear Girl (Race 5) and In Reality (Race 10) will offer up to a $10 money-back special. Get your money back if your win bet finishes second or third. Also, both races are part of our Turkey Bowl holiday week bonanza. Customers who hit win bets ($10 base minimum or higher) on a minimum of 10 different selected stakes races between Thursday and Sunday will earn an equal split of $10,000 in bonus cash.Field Depth:KHOZALITE is the only stakes winner in the field to date. CAMIGOL is graded stakes-placed, while STRATEGIC RISK, SQUIRE and TRELAWNY are listed stakes-placed. That cluster of runners have held the strongest company lines to date, but class handicapping is always highly judgmental with inexperienced juveniles.Pace:The 1-1/16 miles distance provides a new challenge for all but 1 of these, so the tempo will be important while rationing sprint speed. Early pace should come from the inside trio of KHOZALITE, PROST and ROGER THAT DANA, who are advantaged with inner-draws given the short run to the clubhouse turn.Our Eyes:Here are my horse-by-horse notes.#1-KHOZALITE (pictured, courtesy Gulfstream): Lukewarm 7-2 favorite ran like a 7-5 shot in the Florida Sire Stakes Affirmed on October 18, drawing off by 4 lengths over 7 furlongs. Solid-enough 88 BRIS late pace figure given his running style in the Affirmed, and note he's already won around 2 turns in a turf mile in August. No real knocks, but note that regular rider Leonel Reyes is sidelined with a broken ankle and Edgard Zayas takes the call for the first time.#2-PROST: Romping, 9-length debut winner gives trainer Jose D'Angelo the first 2 in the starting gate Saturday (along with Khozalite) and maybe the first 2 across the wire. Miguel Vazquez has the return call on the 7-furlong winner who widened with every stride and earned an excellent 89 BRIS late pace figure for a pacemaker.#3-ROGER THAT DANA: 3-length debut winner was never headed Oct. 25 when bet to 5-2 favoritism. Trainer Luis Ramirez had a ready-made 2YO who cost $85K at Ocala despite his $4K sire Awesome Slew. Jockey Jonathan Ocasio hops saddles, however, to FSS Affirmed runner-up Squire and leaves this mount to Marcos Meneses.#4-HAWK: Maiden through 3 starts, this one was a flat-late fourth in the FSS Affirmed. Trainer Carlos David put another start into him since that Oct. 18 stakes, dropping back to the maiden ranks, when a disappointing second at even-money. Seemed to regress in that one and there's no obvious element of improvement expected. Joe Bravo picks up the mount for the first time.#5-STRATEGIC RISK: FSS Affirmed third-place finisher had no real excuse last out sprinting, but could be the candidate to improve most on Saturday. May be best-equipped in terms of pedigree for the stretch-out in distance, and is the only runner in the field to try 1-1/16 miles, albeit a tired sixth on turf at Saratoga vs. stronger competition. Mark Casse turns to Hall of Fame jockey Javier Castellano for the first time.#6-CAMIGOL: FSS series veteran was runner-up in the Dr. Fager in September before the wheels came off in October's Affirmed, where he was eased to the wire and walked off. Trainer Antonio Sano had him right back on the workout tab 14 days after and he's worked on cue 4 times since. The distance could suit if he's beyond the mysterious performance last out. Difficult read.#7-SQUIRE: Another veteran of the FSS Dr. Fager (fifth) and Affirmed (second), this April debut winner has been dancing all the stakes dances locally. Patrick Biancone trainee owns a couple of runners-up and couple of fifth-place finishes at the stakes level. While sire Leinster best known as a sprinter, this one's even running style is often successful around 2 turns. Pretty consistent late pace figures as well. Not illogical for a potential piece again.#8-GOLD MINER: First-time starter for Riley Mott makes an auspicious appearance for $300K. Churchill-based colt by St. Patrick's Day hasn't been flashy on the workout tab. Mott scores just 7% with rookies. The last 2YO debut stakes winner at 1-1/16 miles I can find in the Betmix database came in 2016 at Woodbine. Make him prove it.#9-SUPREME HONOR: Longshot, 4-race maiden has been well-beaten in his last pair. Trailed Khozalite by 14 lengths when they matched up in August in a 2-turn mile. No thanks.#10-THE TOWN: Keeneland debut runner-up rallied from the clouds as the 2-1 favorite and finished second-best to an even-stronger closer. Ready-made type cost $150K at Ocala despite $8,500 sire Win Win Win. Field-best 92 BRIS late pace figure in debut effort for a Brad Cox barn not frequent to the FSS series. Sent straight to Payson Park after the Keeneland runner-up with an eye on this and the Championship Meet. Jockey Emisael Jaramillo picks up the mount as debut pilot Irad Ortiz Jr. rides a stakes-heavy Churchill Downs card on Saturday. Factor, but must overcome difficult post, and the video study of the debut not quite as impressive as the running lines suggest.#11-TRELAWNY: Blinkers come off local stakes campaigner who was fourth in the Proud Man and then third in the FSS Dr. Fager and fifth in the FSS Affirmed. Regular pilot Jose Morelos must work out a trip from the far outside post, and this one's midpack style indicates a wide trip almost assured. Tough to back off last and the draw.Most Likely Exotics Contender:KHOZALITE is proven over the track, the class level and around 2 turns. Hard to see him giving away his inside advantage and not being in the mix Saturday.Best Longshot Contender:STRATEGIC RISK has a chance to turn the tables with additional distance. Consider him for a share if not convinced he can upset the entire cast.Sending it in ($100 bankroll):$40 exacta part-wheel KHOZALITE with PROST and ROGER THAT DANA ($80). $20 exacta KHOZALITE over STRATEGIC RISK.
By Xpressbet
NOTABLE CARRYOVERSSuper Hi 5 | $11,117 | Churchill Downs | Race 1 | 1:00 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 5 | $145,980 | Parx | begins Race 6 | 2:20 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $350,907 | Churchill Downs | begins Race 5 | 2:57 pm ET--Churchill has a mandatory pick 6 payout SundayKEY RACESDelta Downs | Race 7 | 4:42 pm ET | Jean Lafitte StakesPenn National | Race 4 | 7:12 pm ET | Blue Mountain StakesPenn National | Race 5 | 7:41 pm ET | South Mountain StakesParx | Race 6 | 2:20 pm ET | PA Nursery StakesParx | Race 7 | 2:47 pm ET | Cornucopia StakesParx | Race 8 | 3:14 pm ET | Turkey Trot StakesParx | Race 9 | 3:41 pm ET | Shamrock Rose StakesParx | Race 10 | 4:08 pm ET | Let’s Give Thanks StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXDelta Downs | Race 2 | 2:23 pm ETChurchill Downs | Race 8 | 4:25 pm ETTampa Bay Downs | Race 9 | 4:42 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHRobert “Butch” Reid | Parx | 4 of 5 entrants 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Zia Park | jockey Ramon Vazquez | 4 wins, 1 third from 7 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Parx $145K Carryover / Mandatory Payout AnalysisFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Jeremy Plonk
Parx will have a $145,980 carryover in its Philly Big 5 (late pick 5) wager Wednesday, featuring a mandatory payout provision. The all-stakes sequence starts in Race 6 with the Pennsylvania Nursery with an approximate post of 2:20 pm ET. Overnight rains in greater Philadelphia should be considered when handicapping the card.Parx: Race 6 (2:20 pm ET) | $100,000 Pennsylvania NurseryTrainer Butch Reid has a pair of strong options om #4 Flyin Hawaiian and #7 Mailata, neither of which is among the top-2 favorites in the morning line. Flyin Hawaiian smashed a dash cast in late July in his only local appearance before pressing and fading to expected 2YO champion Ted Noffey in Saratoga’s Grade 1 Hopeful. He’s got 6 well-spaced drills for the return and should factor on the front. #7 Mailata wired maidens around 2 turns last out, but showed ability to rally in 2 sprints prior and should be perfectly suited for 7 furlongs under ace local pilot Mychel Sanchez (this combo wins 33% together at Parx).Parx: Race 7 (2:47 pm ET) | $75,000 Cornucopia StakesDefending race champ #5 Beach Daze is 15-1 morning line off a series of lackluster no-fires from off the pace, but note a stellar mark on wet tracks and that he was 10-1 and not in any sort of predictive form when upsetting this a year ago. #9 Nature’s Candy has been in a groove of late and her best would be effective here, albeit she has a penchant for some misfires. #10 Doctor Abbie has moved up noticeably in 2 starts since coming to Penn National-based Tim Kresier’s barn. She will be cooking late and loves a wet track. #1 Alani is about as consistent rail speed and awfully reliable. #6 Takethemoneyhoney ran Saturday at Laurel and would be expected to scratch.Parx: Race 8 (3:14 pm ET) | $75,000 Turkey Trot StakesNone of the favorites – #4 Adero, #6 Irish Cork or #8 Ninetyprcentmaddie – will be mistaken for a win machine over the past year, often finding 1 or 2 better. Let’s gamble on that continuing while buying the remainder of the lineup, all likely to be prices. The most likely of that 5-pack would be #3 Call Me Fast off a blitzing win vs. lesser for the dangerous Ness-Sanchez combo.Parx: Race 9 (3:41 pm ET) | $100,000 Shamrock Rose StakesSeveral of these are cross-entered tonight in Penn National’s Blue Mountain Stakes, and given regular rider Angel Cruz is named at Penn Nat and not at Parx, I’d expect morning line favorite Keystone State to scratch from this spot. #10 River Escape was fantastic after a troubled break in winning her debut like a good thing, spread-eagling the field November 5. I’d prefer to see a workout since for the Kate DeMasi trainee, but she’s a $120,000 Essential Quality 2-year-old buy who looks like a good one at this level. Single.Parx: Race 10 (4:08 pm ET) | $75,000 Let’s Give Thanks Stakes#8 Maximus Meridius looks aimed for this spot and has run big over the track and on off going. He should be right in the mix throughout, but there’s a tiny pause of concern with a 3-week gap in the workout tab in the past month or so. I wouldn’t expect #4 Twisted Ride back on 4 days’ rest even if trainer Michael Moore has had some success on rapid turnarounds. #1 Howgreatisnate would be an inclusion in the event the track is dry, but has struggled on wet surfaces. It’s likely a second single here with Maximus Meridius.The Ticket:7,4 with 5,9,10,1 with 3,1,2,5,7 with 10 with 8 = $20 for 50 cents
By Jeremy Plonk
While the New Mexico-bred runners had center stage Monday at Zia Park, the Tuesday card boasts 7 stakes in open company.Zia Park: Race 8 (5:14 pm ET) | $100,000 Zia Park Championship#11 Track Phantom (4-1 morning line odds) got back on the beam at Remington Park last out with a commanding allowance win. He looks wisely spotted here for Steve Asmussen with a chance to get back to his Gun Runner and Lecomte Stakes-winning credentials. I’ll use him in exactas with #6 Woodcourt, #4 Holiday Pay and defending race champ #10 Heroic Move. Win bet #11. Exacta key-box 11 with 6,4,10.Zia Park: Race 10 (6:08 pm ET) | $300,000 Zia Park Derby#7 Mister Omaha (3-1 morning line odds) has really come to hand in recent starts for veteran trainer Joe Offolter. He’s best when making the front, but not pace dependent, which could be important given the sprint speed of #8 McKinzie Street in the starting gate. Expect him to get the tactical jump on favorite #3 Brotha Kenny. Win bet #7.
By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVESBet $100, Get $10 | Finger Lakes | today’s races10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Zia Park | today’s racesNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 5 | $118,691 | Parx | begins Race 1 | 12:05 pm ET--Parx will have a mandatory payout on Wednesday this weekKEY RACESZia Park | Race 4 | 3:26 pm ET | Zia Park SprintZia Park | Race 5 | 3:53 pm ET | Zia Park JuvenileZia Park | Race 6 | 4:20 pm ET | Zia Park PrincessDelta Downs | Race 7 | 4:43 pm ET | My Trusty Cat StakesZia Park | Race 7 | 4:47 pm ET | Zia Park DistaffZia Park | Race 8 | 5:14 pm ET | Zia Park ChampionshipZia Park | Race 9 | 5:41 pm ET | Zia Park OaksZia Park | Race 10 | 6:08 pm ET | Zia Park DerbyLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXDelta Downs | Race 4 | 3:19 pm ETFinger Lakes | Race 5 | 2:02 pm ETMountaineer | Race 2 | 7:25 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHJonathan Buckley | Finger Lakes | 5 of 6 entrants 7-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Mahoning Valley | trainer Tim Hamm | 4 wins, 1 second, 1 third from 7 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Finger Lakes Bet $100, Get $10 Spot Plays for TuesdayFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section