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7.9.2026:

Frank Carulli: Prairie Meadows Iowa Oaks Night Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, July 10, 2026

In 26 runnings of the Iowa Oaks this decade, 21 jockeys and 22 trainers visited the winners’ circle. Another chapter will be added to the 1-1/16-mile race for 3-year-old fillies this Friday, July 10, at Prairie Meadows. The $225,000 Oaks is part of an All-Stakes Pick 4 wager. Here’s a closer look and a suggested $1 ticket that costs $30 to play:Prairie Meadows Park 5th Race (8:51 EST) GOOD CHEER (pictured) won three consecutive Grade 2 stakes at today’s distance before she won the G-1 Kentucky Oaks at 1-1/8 miles. Her class should prevail in the $100,000 Iowa Distaff as the shortest price in the Pick 4 sequence. If GOOD CHEER is scratched, use #1 QUEEN AZTECA in the leadoff leg.Prairie Meadows Park 6th Race (9:21 EST) Maiden Special Weight winners from five tracks unite in the $100,000 Prairie Golden Lassie, with all but one making their stakes debut. WILD VEKOMA, bet down to 2-to-5 in her debut at Prairie Meadows, was far back on the turn going 5F. But she lived up to the hype in the final quarter mile, blowing past her leg-weary stablemate “without really being asked,” according to announcer Bobby Neuman. She might be this good and the extra half furlong can only help. MY KID’S SAID NO blazed to the lead under strong urging in her debut at Gulfstream Park and left three rivals in the dust. The $70,000 sales buy returned to Canterbury Park, worked in :46-4/5 from the gate in her second of two bullet preps, now shows up here. VALKYRIE, the lone entrant with a stakes race on her resume, “held firm” on the lead in her MSW debut, holding off a pair of sub 2-to-1 favorites to win at Churchill Downs.Prairie Meadows 7th Race (9:53 p.m. EST) MIZUMI saved ground, tipped 3-wide at the top of the stretch and hit her best stride in mid-stretch while drawing away from maiden Wolf Hill in the Grade 3 Summertime Oaks at Santa Anita. She extended the margin quickly on the gallop out and could sit another dream stalking trip in the speed-laden Iowa Oaks at the same distance. GRACE IS FREE lost by double-digit lengths in her only two stakes races at 1-1/16 miles. But she served notice that the Iowa Oaks distance is well within reach as she sat a perfect stalking trip off a spirited pace and overpowered the field in the one-mile Panthers Stakes to go 2-for-2 locally.Prairie Meadows 8th Race (10:24 p.m. EST) On their best, the eight entrants in the $100,000 Saylorville Stakes range from an 83 to 88 Beyer speed figure. In addition, they are a combined 24-for-80 with six $200,000-plus earners. PARADISE CITY ran 6F for the first time in her career after seven months away, but she won going away despite awaiting room in early stretch on a day when off-the-pace runners fared well on the Churchill Downs dirt. THUNDERS ROCKNROLL toured four tracks and won her last four 6F stakes races by a combined 16-3/4 lengths. EVRADEAN has tactical speed, runs well fresh and is 14 of 17 in the money with a $338k bankroll at 6F. SILENT LAW won a Grade 3 stakes race through disqualification as a 3-year-old, made the lead from post 10 in the Grade 1 La Brea, now puts the blinkers back on for her second start as a 4-year-old for Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert. TAPIT QUICK fits on her best race, can be excused for a “bumpy” comeback and makes the ticket at 12-1 on the morning line.PrM 5th Race: 5 (If scratched, use #1)PrM 6th Race: 2, 6, 7PrM 7th Race: 1, 4PrM 8th Race: 3, 4, 5, 7, 8Cost for a $1 ticket: $30

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7.9.2026:

Jeremy Plonk: Bet $100, Get $10 Canterbury Key Plays | Thursday, July 9, 2026

Throughout July, Tuesdays and Thursdays heat up at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet with our Red, White & Bet promotion. Bet $100, Get $10 on select tracks this month. Next up Thursday will be Canterbury Park. Here’s how I’ll approach the card in Minnesota with an assist from the Betmix Angler database.Canterbury Race 7 | 9:22 pm ET#2 Hey River (5-2 morning line odds) appears to hold a significant early pace edge if able to outhustle #1 Eighty sixchevy, the 9-5 morning line chalk, at the start. Trainer Lynn Rarick’s runners are 6-10 in the exacta over the past few weeks and this is a pure, 7-furlong horse. Win bet #2. Daily Double 2-1. Picks: 2-1-8.Canterbury Race 8 | 9:52 pm ET#1 Levigata (4-1 morning line odds) tries 2 turns for the first time and the best time to do that is from the rail with the entire field outside of you to keep you honest when that first turn comes up quickly. Trainer Joel Berndt has won with 4 of his last 9 starters locally since June 28 (including $9 and $18 scores) and this likely will be his longer-priced of 2 entrants in this race. Win bet #1. Exacta key-box 1 with 6,7. Picks: 1-6-7Eligible tracks and days:• Thursday, July 9 // Canterbury Park• Tuesday, July 14 // Finger Lakes• Thursday, July 16 // Belterra Park• Tuesday, July 21 // Mountaineer• Thursday, July 23 // Penn National• Tuesday, July 28 // Horseshoe Indianapolis• Thursday, July 30 // Charles Town

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7.8.2026:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Wednesday, July 8, 2026

TOURNAMENT TIME$40 Horseshoe Indianapolis Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 5 | $118,588 | Parx | begins Race 1 | 12:40 pm ETPick 5 | $13,687 | Delaware Park | begins Race 3 | 1:24 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | $7,844 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Race 6 | 4:45 pm ETJackpot Pick 5 | $316,395 (CAN) | Assiniboia Downs | begins Race 3 | 9:25 pm ETLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXDelaware Park | Race 5 | 2:28 pm ETHorseshoe Indianapolis | Race 8 | 5:47 pm ETMountaineer | Race 3 | 7:50 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHJamie Ness | Delaware, Penn National | all 5 entrants 5-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Finger Lakes | favorites won 6 of 7 races on the cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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7.7.2026:

Race of the Week: Iowa Derby at Prairie Meadows | Saturday, July 11, 2026

The Lead:The headline races to Prairie Meadows’ Iowa Festival of Racing share the Saturday night marquee. The Cornhusker, Iowa Sprint and Iowa Derby are part of a 10-race card that gets underway at 7 pm ET. The $250,000 Iowa Derby goes as Race 7 and will be our focus. Horseplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet enjoy 10X 1/ST Rewards Points on all wagers for Prairie Meadows on Saturday.​​Field Depth:DESERT GATE is a Grade 3 winner and Grade 1-placed. He’s clearly held the best running lines over time. Stakes winners include CRUPPER and J J GREY, while THE HELL WE DID is Grade 3-placed.​Pace:DESERT GATE would be most committed to the front likely in a field of horses with pace versatility. Inside-drawn runners could be used for more speed, while the bulk of the lineup is made up of horses who want to be in the front third of the field early if possible. This track plays to speed and you rarely benefit from being far back, even with a hot pace.​Our Eyes:Here are my horse-by-horse notes.1-THE HELL WE DID: Talented brother to Senor Buscador disappointed in the Preakness when farther back than expected. That style won’t work at Prairie Meadows, and aggressive rider Ramon Vazquez likely puts him more into the race to secure the rail draw. Distance remains the question, however, but a top effort can land him in the exotics.2-CRUPPER: Similar pace versatility and Preakness disappointment as The Hell We Did, their stories don’t veer much. Capable on a flashback to his Oaklawn stakes victory of making some impact here. Best chance is to carve out a pressing trip from just off the leader. Not as busy on the post-Preakness workout tab as The Hell We Did, but sharpened Jun. 25 in Louisville.3-MAXIMUM EFFORT: Steve Asmussen’s record 5 Iowa Derby wins included Magnitude’s return score last summer as well as a 2017 victory with Hence when teamed with jockey Mike Smith. The veteran rider tries for the first time aboard this 7-race maiden who was third in the Texas Derby behind a pair of Iowa Derby return rivals. Maxfield colt loses ground to the leader in the final call each time, explaining his maiden status. Not for me.4-J J GREY: While a 9: 4-0-0 record might lead us to think he’s all-or-nothing, closer inspection sees the Kenny McPeek trainee as 3: 3-0-0 in 2-turn dirt routes like the Iowa Derby. Smashing 104 and 100 BRIS late pace figures in his last 2 starts, including a local prep win in the Prairie Mile, give a lot of confidence for backing this Fair Grounds and Oaklawn allowance winner. The pick.5-DESERT GATE: The 9-5 morning line favorite obviously is the most credentialed runner in the field and trainer Bob Baffert’s 4 Iowa Derby wins are second-most to Steve Asmussen’s 5. Owners Pegram, Watson & Weitman have taken the back roads this year to more than $300,000 in seasonal earnings via Santa Anita, Oaklawn, Lone Star, Thistledown and now Iowa. Back 3 weeks after tiring in the 9-furlong Ohio Derby, he’s been a modest finisher routing, even in victory in the Texas Derby not visually impressive or by the numbers (86 BRIS late pace figure). Inclined to try and beat him Saturday. Note: Cross-entered in the Indiana Derby at Horseshoe Indianapolis.6-OUTMATCH: Local sprinter gets the class and distance test in one deep dive. One-turn closer is difficult to project in the pace scenario under Elvin Gonzalez, who navigated Iowa Derby success in 2022 with local 11-1 upsetter Ain’t Life Grand. Pedigree doesn’t bed for the distance but finished well enough going shorter to have earned a shot. Prefer others.7-BRICKLIN: In 5 races around 2 turns, he’s lost margin to the winner in 4 of those, including disappointments at 6-5 and 2-1 odds in stakes company. Has some apparent talent but disheartening stamina leans more to his questionable damside pedigree than his classic-winning sire Nyquist. Note: Cross-entered in the Indiana Derby at Horseshoe Indianapolis and may fit better there as 1 of his 2 lifetime victories came over that surface last year. However, connections are leaning to Iowa trip, reportedly.8-CANNED HEAT: The Prairie Mile runner-up was second-best late to J J Grey last out over 110 yards shorter in distance. There’s no shortage of pedigree here to get the trip, though interestingly this one sprinted 9 times in 11 starts. J J Grey worked twice to his 1 drill since the Prairie Mile, but this horse historically hasn’t done much clockwork in the morning for Jesse Oberlander. Barn is 2-45 on the year coming into the week and difficult to project getting all the candy Saturday.9-CHAD ALLAN: The field’s likely only true closer around 2 turns, expect jockey Alfredo Triana, Jr. to take him back off the pace from the opening bell and try to save ground behind the field. Second to Crupper and Desert Gate in separate stakes bids, he’s also dropped different decisions to The Hell We Did and Bricklin in the overnight ranks. He’ll get 8-10 pounds in relief from recent starts and benefits if they go fast; but deeper closers rarely find success on this racetrack. Underneath at best.Most Likely Exotics Contender:J J GREY has a win over the track, the best finishing figures in the lineup and has yet to be beaten around 2 turns on dirt.Best Longshot Contender:CRUPPER at 8-1 morning line is the most appealing of the prices. He fits better here than the Preakness, obviously, and isn’t afraid to fight in a race loaded with similar styles.​​Sending it in ($100 bankroll):$80 win J J GREY. $10 exacta part-wheel J J GREY over THE HELL WE DID and CRUPPER ($20).

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7.7.2026:

Scott Shapiro: Saratoga Spot Plays | Thursday, July 9, 2026

The second week of summer racing at Saratoga is upon us beginning on Thursday afternoon with a nine-race card that gets rolling at 1:10 PM eastern. The card is headlined by four races over the grass, including a second-level allowance event that kicks off the late Pick 4. Here are a few horses I plan to build my day around to start the first four-day week in Saratoga Springs.Race 2:This 5.5-furlong dash over the grass for 2YOs drew a field of eight, including a quartet of first-time starters. Of those that have experience, #6 Generational is expected to take the most money, but I prefer #5 Beach Sandals. The Omaha Beach colt never got into things in his Saratoga debut during the Belmont Racing Festival, but showed strong speed in his runner-up finish at Churchill Downs in May. I like first-time starter #8 Pirate Ship most though. The Three Diamonds Farm colt was sent east from Keeneland by trainer Joe Sharp. Sharp sent four 2YOs to Saratoga last year to debut in a turf sprint. None went off at lower than 7-2. One won and only one finished out of the money. This son of Midshipman is out of a More Than Ready mare and draws favorably to the outside in the clear. I am willing to bet he is a runner.Play: #8 Pirate Ship (4-1 ML)Picks: 8-5-6Race 6:The Thursday feature is this $125k allowance event for fillies and mares run at one-mile over the Inner Turf. Trainer Chad Brown holds a strong hand in this one with 3-1-ML favorite #2 Play With Fire and 7-2-ML second choice #7 Opulent Restraint. Opulent Restraint does not interest me much, but is dangerous if they let John Velazquez set a moderate early tempo. Play With Fire is easier to like in a vacuum, but returns off a long break and takes on older gals for the first time. Trainer Phil Antonacci also has a two-filly entry with both making their first start in the States. Antonacci’s two runners to race last week both finished off the board, but he is a high percentage trainer that spots his horses to win. I will try the bigger price of his two on the ML #9 Ashikidah. The 4YO also makes her first start as a 4YO with just one try prior against older runners, but is likely to be double the price. She comes in off a steady series of works and should offer solid bang for the buck with Tyler Gaffalione jumping aboard.Play: #9 Ashikidah (6-1 ML)Picks: 9-1-7Race 9:Speaking of trainer Phil Antonacci, let’s take a swing in the finale with a first-time starter he sends out in this MSW event for 3YOs+ over the Inner Turf. A look around at those that have raced thus far shows a field that lacks early speed. Obviously, it takes projecting to get #6 Point Guard to be sharp enough to break well and the plan to be to see how far he can take them on the engine, but Antonacci legs up Ricardo Santana Jr. Santana is not a true one-trick pony in terms of his riding skills, but certainly has most often been at his best getting horses into the race early on. He takes the call on this Street Sense colt that should be fit and a big price. Hopefully, we can find a prominent spot early and beat this modest bunch of non-winners full of runners that come from bigger barns and are likely to take far more public support.Play: #6 Point Guard (15-1 ML)Picks: 6-5-1

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7.7.2026:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Tuesday, July 7, 2026

EXTRA INCENTIVESBet $100, Get $10 | Thistledown | today’s races20% Exacta Winnings Boost | Assiniboia Downs | today's racesTOURNAMENT TIME$40 Horseshoe Indianapolis Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 5 | $107,244 | Parx | begins Race 1 | 12:40 pm ETJackpot Pick 5 | $290,737 (CAN) | Assiniboia Downs | begins Race 3 | 9:25 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | $8,230 (CAN) | Assiniboia Downs | Race 7 | 11:05 pm ETLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXFairmount Park | Race 8 | 5:25 pm ETHorseshoe Indianapolis | Race 9 | 6:18 pm ETMountaineer | Race 2 | 7:25 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHJamie Ness | Parx | all 8 entrants 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Saturday’s 13-race (8 stakes) Indiana Derby Day card drawnPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Thistledown Bet $100, Get $10 Key PlaysFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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7.7.2026:

Jeremy Plonk: Bet $100, Get $10 Thistledown Key Plays | Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Throughout July, Tuesdays and Thursdays heat up at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet with our Red, White & Bet promotion. Bet $100, Get $10 on select tracks this month. Next up Tuesday will be Thistledown. Here’s how I’ll approach the card in Ohio with an assist from the Betmix Angler database.Thistledown Race 1 | 12:50 pm ET#4 The Pink Z (5-1 morning line odds) could be a buying price today after finishing third last out at 1-5 odds. The upsetter last out returned right back to win as an odds-on favorite, so this veteran’s effort might be better than it looks. Trainer Robert Cline has been going very well in recent weeks at Thistledown. Win bet #4. Exacta box 4-1. Picks: 4-1-5Thistledown Race 3 | 1:50 pm ET#2 Battle Ready (6-1 morning line odds) is a first-time starter for a Robert Gorham barn that’s already won with 2 of his first 3 juvenile starters at the meet ($8, $18). Gorham has been particularly hot even by his Tdn standards over the past few weeks. Sire Army Mule’s 2YO debut runners have a wild $1.52 ROI for every $1 bet from nearly 150 starters. Win bet #2. Picks: 2-4-1Eligible tracks and days:• Tuesday, July 7 // Thistledown• Thursday, July 9 // Canterbury Park• Tuesday, July 14 // Finger Lakes• Thursday, July 16 // Belterra Park• Tuesday, July 21 // Mountaineer• Thursday, July 23 // Penn National• Tuesday, July 28 // Horseshoe Indianapolis• Thursday, July 30 // Charles Town

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7.6.2026:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Monday, July 6, 2026

EXTRA INCENTIVESKing’s Plate Flyaway Sweepstakes | Woodbine | earn up to 4 entries todaySCHEDULE NOTESColonial Downs | early first post 10:45 am ETEllis Park | makeup day | first post 12:50 pm ETWoodbine | makeup day | first post 1:00 pm ETTOURNAMENT TIME$40 Horseshoe Indianapolis Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 5 | $97,011 | Parx | begins Race 1 | 12:40 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $68,425 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 10 | 5:34 pm ETJackpot Pick 5 | $130,977 | Prairie Meadows | begins Race 6 | 7:07 pm ETLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXEllis Park | Race 2 | 1:19 pm ETHorseshoe Indianapolis | Race 6 | 4:45 pm ETMountaineer | Race 1 | 7:00 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHDavid Jacobson | Ellis, Horseshoe Indy | 5 of 6 entrants 5-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Woodbine | favorites won 1 of 12 on the cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Ellis Park Monday Spot PlaysFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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