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6.21.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, June 21, 2025

The Meadowlands has a 14-race card with the 0.50 Early Pick 4 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 6 (8:25 PM EDT) 3-Shesgotthejack (5/2)-Doesn't have the bankroll of the chalk, #2 Worklifebalance but has a chance to get some revenge starting inside, and right next door. The last 2 races have been better and has shown good gate speed at times. Should get a cozy trip tonight. My take is the chalk gets bet down and will control the mile while Tim Tetrick sits in the pocket and rolls by down the lane. Race 7 (8:50 PM EDT) 1-Sir Pinocchio (3-1)-Got the benefit of getting the top early on and Jason Bartlett provided a well-rated trip. This horse likes to win, capturing 11 of 17 last year. Can string wins together and this looks like a double up possibility. 3-Date Night Hanover (6-1)-Broke stride 2 back and wasn't handled aggressively early in the mile. But came home with a 26.1 last panel and finished 2nd by a neck. Scotty Z should work an efficient trip and be within reach of the leader at the 3/4's pole. 8-Gruesome Twosome (4-1)-Got the 2-hole off the gate and couldn't catch #1 on 6-13. That was the 1st start since shipping in from HoP and was off almost a month. The post makes the price and was bet down to even money in last. Should be better and may get the job done despite the outside draw. Race 8 (9:15 PM EDT) 6-Take All Comers (9/2)-Going to take a swing the Jim Campbell pupil will fire hot off the bench. Drew off by over 5-lengths in a qualifier on 6-7. Yonkers invader was in great form when put away in November, and this outfit wins 40% of the races off a layoff. 8-Ari Ferrari J (3-1)-Downed this kind at 3/5 in last leaving from post 7. Can fly when the wings fold and land no worse than in the pocket. Could win right back and should pay a better price. Race 9 (9:40 PM EDT) 2-Captain Luke (8-1)-Raced big to finish 3rd from post 8 in the 1st start since shipping in from Wbsb. Comes right back and gets some post relief. Could be better in the 2nd start here and will still offer a solid price. 3-Calicojack Hanover (5-1)-Was used hard off the gate from post 10 in the 1st race since arriving from up North. Did put in a strong try to lose by less than a length. The post relief could be a winning difference and has finished 2-2-1-1 in the last 4 races. 11-Chain Gang (20-1)-Will take a swing for a large price and the Noel Daly trainee could get a more efficient trip from the 2nd tier than it had last time. Was in 10th place at the half call and then rolled the 2nd half in .53. Could surprise if Andy McCarthy works a smoother trip this time and the fractions are lively. $1 Early Pick 4 3/1,3,8/6,8/2,3,11 Total Bet=$18 Check me out on Twitter!

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6.21.2025:

Johnny Burke | All My Bets | Sha Tin | Sunday, June 22, 2025

We’re back after a week off in Hong Kong and ready for a pair of Group Stakes races to cap off the weekend. Eleven races are on the card, the fields are full, and from the jump we have some potential prices that could pad up the bankroll. Let’s get into it! Helpful Resources Sha Tin – June 22 Past Performances Speed Pro Pace Projections Unique Bet Types SWINGER – Select at least two runners to finish in the top three in a race in any order, get paid for each correct combination QUINELLA – Select the top two runners in a race in any order, get paid for each correct combination TRIO – Select the top three runners in a race in any order, get paid for each correct combination DOUBLE TRIO – Select the top three runners in TWO races in any order Methodology Power ratings are calculated by a mix of runner performance versus historical average, quality of the field in each race, weight-based handicaps, and lengths beaten or won. I’ve also added in daily adjustments for track biases to try to normalize any outlandish times and create a more level figures system. Race 1 | 1000M | Class 4 Quinella Box – 1,3,4,5 Notes: A Class 4 five-furlong sprint opens the card on Sunday, and the Morning Line favorite is a first-time starter by a sire whose crop is only winning 9% of their sprints. #1 AURORA PATCH is making his debut for a barn winning 12% over sprint distances and gets apprentice jockey Britney Wong who has been impressive in her first Hong Kong season. #3 PERFECT GENERAL is the Prime Burke Rating favorite, and second choice on the Morning Line. #4 GRAND NOVA and #5 BOWSER are both strong contenders in good form for barns excelling in the sprint division and have more than a fair shot at hitting the wire first. With some solid prices behind us, let’s take a shot at the opening Quinella. Race 2 | 2000M | Class 5 Win – 2 ESCAPE ROUTE Exacta – 2 w/ 1,3 Notes: Dropping down to Class 5, 2 ESCAPE ROUTE tops the Prime Burke Ratings chart and was in impressive form before a twelve-length loss in his last start at Class 4. He gets an extra furlong, and the trainer/jockey combo of Hugh Bowman and John Size is one worth keeping an eye on. 1 HAKKA RADIANCE has been climbing back into form and is certainly capable of reaching deep for a big performance. 3 STORM RUNNER will pick up Zac Purton in his second try in Class 5 but has yet to put up consistent Prime Burke Ratings numbers and I’m not sold on Purton’s presence over-correcting that pattern. I like our top choice to win outright. Race 3 | 1200M | Class 4 Win – 14 CIRCUIT VICTORY Notes: Britney Wong is making her second appearance in Sunday’s forecast, and I like the apprentice at a ten-pound handicap to make a surprise in the third race. 14 CIRCUIT VICTORY seemed to find his stride a couple races back, getting to the lead and hanging on with Wong on board for his first career win. He came back in Class 4 and had a shaky start, got bumped, cut his leg, and missed over this course by just a length. Now he’s back, carrying only 107 pounds and looking like he could be alone on the lead. This son of PER INCANTO is 11/1 on the Morning Line for one of Hong Kong’s better sprint trainers. I’m in, let’s watch Britney guide this gelding to the Winner’s Circle. Race 6 | 1400M | Group 3 Win – 1 BEAUTY ETERNAL Exacta Box – 1 w/ 5 Notes: Backing Zac Purton in a Group Stakes race in Hong Kong is an easy sell, but this six-year-old gelding comes with a resume to put icing on the cake. Four of his last five runs have been at a mile where he has faded right around the 200M mark. Conveniently, on Sunday he gets the cut back to just 1400M where John Size has won three of six with this runner. His last run at seven furlongs was a two-length loss to international star KA YING RISING. This is a tough race with a deserving Morning Line favorite, but I can’t look past the 11/1 ML odds for BEAUTY ETERNAL. Let’s play to win and include in an Exacta. Race 7 | 1400M | Class 4 Win – 1 COURIER ALADDIN Quinella Box – 1,2,12 Notes: This is my “bombs away” longshot race of the day. 3 DO YOUR PART is 9/5 on the Morning Line but is 1-for-8 this year and hasn’t sold me with his Prime Burke Ratings. Instead, I like a trio of big prices to make a mess of the race. 1 COURIER ALADDIN has roared twice after winning on his debut. He picks up Britney Wong at a ten-pound handicap for trainer Manfred Kan after being ridden by Zac Purton for his first three career races. I think the connections have high hopes for this gelding, and this could be the spot to get back into the Winner’s Circle at a huge price. We’ll combine our 13/1 ML top choice with a pair of others who are looking capable, and if we’re in line to cash it will be for a sizable stack. Race 10 | 1600M | Class 3 Win/Place – 2 JUMBO LEGEND Notes: It’s time for my shortest analysis of the day. 2 JUMBO LEGEND is 22/1 on the Morning Line and is far and away the top choice according to the Prime Burke Ratings. Those odds, my figures, it’s a match made in gambling heaven. Let ‘er rip. Good luck!

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6.21.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Saturday, June 21, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVES 15% Win Boost at Royal Ascot | up to $25 total per day NOTABLE CARRYOVERS Jackpot Pick 6 | $875,505 | Churchill Downs | begins race 6 | 8:30pm ET KEY RACES Royal Ascot | Race 1 | 9:30AM ET | Chesham Stakes Royal Ascot | Race 2 | 10:05AM ET | G2 Hardwicke Stakes Royal Ascot | Race 3 | 10:40AM ET | G1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes Royal Ascot | Race 4 | 11:20AM ET | G3 Jersey Stakes Laurel Park | Race 6 | 2:43PM ET | Ben’s Cat Stakes Thistledown | Race 8 | 3:18PM ET | George Lewis Memorial Stakes Monmouth | Race 6 | 3:25PM ET | Goldwood Stakes Belmont at Aqueduct | Race 6 | 3:38M ET | New York Stallion Stakes Laurel Park | Race 8 | 3:47PM ET | Jameela Stakes Thistledown | Race 9 | 3:57PM ET | Daniel Stearns Cleveland Gold Cup Woodbine | Race 7 | 4:26PM ET | Alywow Overnight Stakes Thistledown | Race 10 | 4:48PM ET | Dr. T. F. Classen Memorial Stakes Thistledown | Race 11 | 5:35PM ET | Lady Jacqueline Stakes Thistledown | Race 12 | 6:20PM ET | G3 Ohio Derby Canterbury Park | Race 3 | 7:10PM ET | Brooks Fields Mile Stakes Los Alamitos | Race 8 | 7:40PM ET | Bertrando Stakes Canterbury Park | Race 5 | 8:10PM ET | Lady Canterbury Stakes Canterbury Park | Race 6 | 8:40PM ET | Canterbury Derby Churchill Downs | Race 9 | 10:11PM ET | Chicago Stakes Prairie Meadows | Race 9 | 10:26PM ET | John Wayne Stakes 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY CHURCHILL DOWNS PICK 6 WINNER Churchill Downs | Race 8 | 9:39PM ET | #6 Lolo Le Plume (27%) LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Delaware Park | Race 3 | 1:35PM ET Laurel Park | Race 6 | 2:43PM ET Belmont at Aqueduct | Race 8 | 4:43PM ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Brittany Rusell | Laurel Park | 7 of 8 entrants 5-1 or less morning line odds DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Charles Town | Race 5 superfecta paid $15,422.80 PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Saturday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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6.20.2025:

Royal Ascot Betting Primer | Saturday, June 21, 2025

Today’s Skinny: It’s closing day of the 5-day Royal Ascot festival as the meeting’s final Group 1 race will be the featured Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee. French raider Lazzat is 7-for-7 sprinting has been a globetrotter to Hong Kong and Australia. The finale saves the longest for last as Royal Ascot’s 2-3/4 miles swansong closes things out in the Queen Alexandra. Free Wagering Guide: Download the free Sky Sports Racing Royal Ascot Wager Guide for today’s full card. ACCESS THE GUIDE Extra Incentives: Horseplayers with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can enjoy a 15% boost on successful win bets – up to $25 total per day per player – during each race of the Royal Ascot meeting. VIEW OFFER Today’s Lineup: 9:30AM ET | Chesham Stakes | 7 furlongs 10:05AM ET | Group 2 Hardwicke | 1-1/2 miles 10:40AM ET | Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee | 6 furlongs 11:20AM ET | Group 3 Jersey | 7 furlongs 12:00 PM ET | Wokingham Stakes | 6 furlongs 12:35PM ET | Golden Gates Stakes | 1-1/4 miles 1:10PM ET | Queen Alexandra Stakes | 2-3/4 miles Wagering Particulars | Commingled World Pool 17.5% takeout Win & Place 17.5% takeout Quinella 17.5% takeout Omni (2 of 3 must finish top 3) 19.5% takeout Exacta 25% takeout Trifecta 25% takeout Pick 3 26% takeout Place Pick 4 27% takeout Place Pick 6

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6.20.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis - Friday, June 20, 2025

Yonkers Raceway has a 10-race card featuring the Eliminations for the Messenger Stakes. The $2.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 7, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 7 (8:45 PM EDT) 1-Thirsty Thursday (2-1)-Oakes pupil towers over the field in career earnings and the 3-year-old is 1 for 2 this year. Does well on smaller ovals and can get the top without issue here. Favors getting on the point and making every call a winning one. That could happen, will respect but not single and look to another with more value. 5-World Of Wishes (6-1)-Didn't have the smoothest journey on 6-10 and Dexter Dunn gets the call. Should offer a solid price, has gate speed and a 2-hole trip is a possibility. Race 8 (9:05 PM EDT) 3-Chulo (2-1)-Comes off even efforts against better and did cash small checks. From this post and at this level Jason Bartlett should get away close to the leader. Its typical plan is to come off cover, unless the trip is bumpy, that will happen and a picture will follow. Race 9 (9:25 PM EDT) 3-Kat (6-1)-This is a taffy pull, and the entire 8-horse field have combined for 7-wins this year. Kat has won 3 of 11 at Yonkers and against this kind should be in the hunt at the wire. Comes off a dull effort after dropping to this level but did come off a sick scratch. This time comes right back instead of 27 days and will look for a big try against a suspect bunch. 6-Mc Angel (3-1)-This year has been rough after winning 9 of 24 races in 2024. Was facing $50k claimers in April, and this will be the 2nd start since 4-22. Brent Holland could be aggressive off the gate and try to make every call a winning one. Race 10 (9:45 PM EDT) 2-Jimmy Connor B (3-1)-This is another race without much form. Stayed inside last time versus this kind and cashed a 3rd place check. Did go the back half in 55.4, tonight George Brennan should land on top or in the 2-hole when the wings fold. Camera shy DiDomenico trainee is a trip-out win candidate. 3-Warrior For Truth (4-1)-The Mark Ford barn doesn't win often but when teamed with Jason Bartlett they post 25% winners. Ships in from Pocono and this is the 3rd start off a sick scratch. Can post the 3rd win this year if racing near the leader turning for the wire. $2 Late Pick 4 1,5/3/3,6/2,3 Total Bet=$16 Check me out on Twitter!

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6.20.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Friday, June 20, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVES 15% Win Boost at Royal Ascot | up to $25 total per day Get up to $10 back on select races at Gulfstream Park Earn 10x 1/ST Rewards Points on ALL wagers at Hastings NOTABLE CARRYOVERS GROWING JACKPOT | Pick 6 | $854,231 | Churchill Downs | Begins in Race 4 | 2:13PM ET 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY WINNER Hastings Park | Race 4 | #1 NU BLEND | 30% Win Probability KEY RACES Royal Ascot | Race 1 | 9:30AM ET | Albany S. (G3) Royal Ascot | Race 2 | 10:05AM ET | Commonwealth Cup S. (G1) Royal Ascot | Race 3 | 10:45AM ET | Duke of Edinburgh H. Royal Ascot | Race 4 | 11:25AM ET | Coronation S. (G1) Royal Ascot | Race 5 | 12:05PM ET | Sandringham H. Royal Ascot | Race 6 | 12:40PM ET | King Edward VII S. (G2) Royal Ascot | Race 7 | 1:10PM ET | Palace of Holyroodhouse S. LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Laurel Park | Race 6 | 2:40PM ET Churchill Downs | Race 8 | 4:22PM ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Jamie Ness | 8 of 10 entrants 5-1 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Gulfstream Park | Superfecta in Race 7 paid $2,818.60 PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Frank Carulli: Monmouth Park Late Pick 3 | Friday, June 20, 2025 Scott Shapiro: Gulfstream Park Spot Plays – Friday, June 20, 2025 Race of the Week: Ohio Derby (G3) at Thistledown Northern Stars Turf Festival Analysis: Saturday, June 21, 2025 Royal Ascot Tips & Preview | Friday, June 20, 2025 Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Friday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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6.20.2025:

Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs After Dark Spot Plays - Saturday, June 21, 2025

Churchill Downs has their final Downs After Dark card of the spring this Saturday instead of racing in their normal afternoon slot. That means a 6PM eastern start time in Louisville for an 11-race card headlined by a strong edition of the Chicago (G2). The Chicago goes as Race 9 and starts after 10PM local time, so I will need a daytime nap, but it should be well worth it. Here are a few horses I will lean on throughout the evening. Race 1:: The card kicks off with a competitive second-level allowance event over the Churchill Downs sod where the two morning line favorites both exit a similar spot on May 26. #2 Vive Veuve put in a solid late run to earn second while #6 Mo Fox Givin was an underwhelming fourth as my top choice. Both fit fine, but are tough to get excited about at their likely off odds. #1 Proctor Street should offer better value. The Patricia Mosley homebred is out of a Ghostzapper mare that was the first stakes winner I ever touted on a simulcast feed, Proctor’s Ledge. Proctor’s Ledge was represented by the same connections and won 5 of 18 over her career, including a trio of graded stakes events. I doubt her daughter is as talented as her, but she has not done much wrong thus far, draws favorably along the inside, and could have a pace advantage with Ben Curtis aboard. The Street Sense filly is in with a big shot if she is ready to fire fresh. I will take my chances at her morning line offering. Play: #1 Proctor Street (8-1 ML) Race 9: Chicago (G2): The Saturday evening feature is for fillies and mares at 7-furlongs over the main track and came up about as salty as one could expect. I prefer 5-2-ML favorite #1 Emery to 3-1-second choice #5 Vahva even though the pace should be contentious and Emery is down on the rail, but neither will get my money. Instead, I will hope for a fast pace and #11 Zeitlos to take advantage. The Curlin mare has quietly won 9 of 18 over her career, including 4 of 6 under the twin spires. The Steve Asmussen trainee had a perfect comeback race in the Skipat at Pimlico in mid-May and attracts the services of Flavien Prat. A career best performance is not out of the question. Play: #11 Zeitlos (8-1 ML) Race 10: Guess what? I am willing to take on the morning line favorites once again in this first-level allowance for 3YOs at the tricky 6.5-furlong distance.#8 Invictus is bred to be a star, but was flat at 1-2-odds in the Sir Barton on the Preakness Day undercard. His lone win came against a soft group at Keeneland, but the Brad Cox trainee is likely to get over bet once again with Prat back aboard for these high- profile connections. Invictus beat #11 Camp Hale in that maiden score in early April. Camp Hale has always been highly regarded, but struggled to seal the deal until besting a soft group on May 18. The light bulb may have come on, but at 7-2 he will have to prove it to me. I like #2 Amor Patriae most. The Munnings colt has been a better horse since trainer Jimmy DiVito cut him back to one-turn in early May. He had a troubled voyage over the off going on May 2 in Arkansas, but ran huge to lose by just a neck to heavy favorite Furio three weeks later. He should get a favorable ground saving voyage under jockey Edgar Morales. Play: #2 Amor Patriae (6-1 ML) Best of luck on the Downs After Dark card!

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6.19.2025:

Frank Carulli: Monmouth Park Late Pick 3 analysis for Friday, June 20, 2025

You have to do some work to get there, but Monmouth Park’s late Pick 3 this Friday, June 20, will be the final step to unlocking the Jackpot Pick 6 and Pick 5 wagers that start earlier on the card and feature carryover pools in excess of $10,000. Here’s a closer look: MTH 6th race (4:20PM ET) -- SHEZA BERNARDINI loomed boldly with a 3-wide bid alongside the favored entry-mates two starts back, but she tired badly in the Aqueduct stretch on a day when five long-distance races were won from on or near the lead. She gets another upgrade after the race produced two next-out winners and an allowance runner-up with average 62 Beyers. She was no threat in a fast-paced follow-up but like her chances today on the class drop for new connections. It’s “go on” or “go bust” with today’s Pick 3 solo play. MTH 7 race (4:45PM ET) -- Go deep in this turf allowance route, with several fillies and mares arriving from various venues in good form. Maryland invader CHANTILLY ROAD rallied to finish a ‘game’ second off a nine-month layoff at one mile. OBEISSANTE rallied past two next-out winners despite not changing leads while 7-wide in the stretch two back at Gulfstream Park. She then tested stakes company but was bumped into the first turn and did not factor. MADAME MISCHIEF awaited running room while tracking a slow pace and just missed at one mile. She is 10 of 14 in the money on turf but 0-8 at 1-1/16 miles. Leading trainer Chad Brown sends out COMPETITIVE MARKET, a wire-to-wire maiden breaker with first-time Lasix, for her seasonal debut and KADENA, who won first out at Tampa Bay Downs, then chased fast fractions while wide in a $50,000 optional claimer at 6-1/2F on the main track. KADENA’S dam was a stakes-winning grass sprinter. Don’t forget to use ANY PORT if she draws in off the also-eligible list. MTH 8th race (5:15PM ET) -- GET LIKE MIKE ‘dug in’ to earn the place spot and the top speed figure of his career while no match for class plunging, 1-to-5 winner English Painter (16/5-4-0), who surpassed $100,000 in earnings with a next-out romp in an open $6,250 claiming route race. INBOUND, first or second in 4 of 6 starts at this distance, ran second to English Painter at 29-1 odds after he steadied on the first turn and rallied in mid-stretch. GAMBLIN CZAR rallied behind the dueling favorites and got up to finish second in a four-horse field at this distance. He is eligible for this easier condition by less than two weeks and gets ample pace flow to win off the claim. Use longshot CRAFTY DON on the ticket despite his dull recent form. He enters a new barn and has two good route races to summon on a fast track at Monmouth last summer. Suggested $1 Ticket MTH 6th Race: 4 MTH 7th Race: 1, 2, 3, 8, 9 (Use #11 Any Port if she draws in) MTH 8th Race: 4, 5, 6, 7 Cost: $20

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