EXTRA INCENTIVESBC Bankroll Builder | Bet $25, Get $5 | California Distaff Handicap (Race 9 Santa Anita)10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Sunset 6 at Gulfstream/Santa AnitaSPECIAL WAGERSCoast-to-Coast Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 8-9, Santa Anita Races 3-4-5Sunset Pick 6 | Gulfstream Races 7-8-9, Santa Anita Races 8-9-10TOURNAMENT TIME$100 Santa Anita Feeder | details$100 Keeneland Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSPlace Pick 8 | $11,542 | Gulfstream | begins Race 2 | 12:50 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 6 | $25,324 | Gulfstream | begins Race 4 | 1:50 pm ETPick 6 | $121,890 | Belmont | begins Race 4 | 2:49 pm ETSunset 6 | $7,624 | Gulfstream/Santa Anita | begins GP Race 7 | 3:30 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $100,924 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 10 | 6:00 pm ETPick 6 | $99,295 | Santa Anita | begins Race 5 | 6:09 pm ETKEY RACESWoodbine | Race 7 | 4:22 pm ET | Display StakesKeeneland | Race 8 | 4:44 pm ET | Franklin StakesWoodbine | Race 8 | 4:57 pm ET | Glorious Song StakesSanta Anita | Race 9 | 8:09 pm ET | California DistaffLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXWoodbine | Race 6 | 3:49 pm ETSanta Anita | Race 1 | 4:00 pm ETKeeneland | Race 9 | 5:16 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHKevin Attard | Woodbine | 4 of 6 entrants 5-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Woodbine | jockey Pietro Moran | 4 wins ($3, $7, $10, $12)PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMBrian Nadeau: Gulfstream Mandatory Payout Full-Card Sunday PicksJeremy Plonk: Keeneland Longshot Plays for SundayScott Shapiro: Breeders’ Cup Bankroll Builder Play for Santa Anita SundayBrian W. Spencer: best bets today in the Xpressbet member’s section

‍Some great October promotions have been a theme for my writing the last few days and that continues Sunday when the second week of our Breeders’ Cup Bankroll Builder concludes later this afternoon. The promo allows 1/ST BET and Xpressbet customers to earn a $5 bonus for betting $25+ on select races leading up to the World Championships at the end of the month. Head to the promotional landing page to register if you have yet to do so and for more details.Today's race is the California Distaff from Santa Anita, where a $99,295 pick 6 carryover begins in Race 5. This stakes is also part of a $7,624 Sunset 6 carryover matching the final 3 races on the card from sister tracks Gulfstream & Santa Anita.Sunday, California Distaff, Santa Anita Race 9The final crack this week at the BC Bankroll Builder is in yet another race for Cal-breds down the beautiful Hillside Turf Course. This time it is for the ladies where I will try #10 Liberation. The 3YO takes on older runners for the first time, which is always a big challenge, but trainer John Sadler is having a strong meet and this gal should sit a stress-free trip in the clear a few lengths off an honest early pace. Her lone turf effort came in late August when she went two turns at Del Mar against open company foes and went far too fast early from her inside draw. Hopefully, she is able to relax on the cutback in distance and move to an outside draw.Play: #10 LiberationPicks: 10-4-7‍

It's a mandatory payout Sunday in the Rainbow 6 with a carryover at Gulfstream Park of $25,324. Track officials estimate a $500,000 pool for the sequence, which goes as Races 4-9. Sunday's Place Pick 8 has an $11,542 carryover. And also note Gulfstream's Sunset 6 with Santa Anita (final 3 races at each track) has a Sunday carryover of $7,624.Race 1:Can’t get by 9 NOAHS PRIDE off the-claim for Barboza (32%), as he’s the best horse, drew well to be outside a world of speed, and has two sharp works to help negate any worry about a 7/19 layoff. An expected wild pace hints this could fall apart late, so let’s use stalker 4 VALUE IN THE CLOUDS at a big price underneath. The main danger to the chalk is 8 MAXIMUS CAT, who drops after a speed-and-tire against tougher on the turf, but he still may get fried as part of the pace. SELECTIONS: 9-4-8-1Race 2: Start of the Place Pick 8The D’Angelo pair of 1 BABY MASHA and 2 PHILIPINA A look best here, with the latter getting the call on the stretch and turf try, as Reyes lands here and this filly may be able to clear her ‘mate, who tired while walking on the lead in a turf route but is now OTC, a 23% angle for the barn. The gap to the rest may be a bit too much, though 7 GUSTAVIA offers some appeal, in what is her route and turf debut. SELECTIONS: 2-1-7-3Race 3:It’s Best Bet time with 6 AUTHENTIC GUITAR, who was a chasing 2nd off a 15 month layoff, has worked huge since, and has more upside than the rest of these combined. A hot pace will aid the late chances of 7 STARSHIP SPECTACLE, though she always runs out of room, while 3 ENGLISH HARBOUR ran well to just-miss last time, but looks in a pace sandwich. SELECTIONS: 6-7-3-1Race 4: Start of the Mandatory Payout Pick 6It’s doubtful 7 GRIM REAPER is the best horse here, but today he gets a lot his way, as he’s outside in a race with a lot of speed, and catches a (potentially) vulnerable ML favorite, which could be enough to get it done on the class rise. If they are going to beat the aforementioned ML favorite 1 BLAST RADIUS, it would be today, as he hasn’t been out since 1/30 and may need this, not to mention he drew poorly and could get caught up in the pace as well, though anything close to his win when last seen crushes these. It sure looks like 5 PIONEER PRINCE is feeling good OTC for Wilensky, as that 10/3 bullet here was huge, but he was going two turns at Dmr, and now faces a good group on the cross country trip, so there are hurdles. SELECTIONS: 7-1-5-4Race 5:Expecting a move forward from 6 NEW FRIEND, who tries turf, a route, and is a first-time gelding, not to mention he drops in class, and gets plenty of grass pedigree on his damside (American Pharoah). The only time 5 FIGHT AND PRAY tried turf was in an MSW on debut behind a subsequent stakes winner, so now with two Tapeta routes under his belt, he has every right to make a dent here. The best of the proven runners at the level is 8 BANDARI, who is OTC for Gutierrez after a tiring 2nd last time, but this group is tougher. SELECTIONS: 6-5-8-2Race 6:A trainer switch to Narvaez and a big work since says 6 MISS VALENTINA is ready to finally deliver after disappointing twice at short odds of late, as she worked big 10/4 for a 19% barn with newcomers. If she does falter, then 5 SOMERSET MIA will be tough off her recent 2nd, while noting she has a big tactical edge on the pick too. Maybe blinkers wake up 1 PRETTY GEISHA, though at 24-1-2-7, you know where she wants to finish, underneath. SELECTIONS: 6-5-1-7Race 7: Start of the Sunset 6If 1 TITANS EDGE can work out a trip from the rail, he can surprise OTC for Gonzalez, who has been live with limited starters, and this two-time winner caught a very yielding course at Cnl in his only turf try. A hot pace will again flatter the late run of 5 ZEVI’S ZONE, who won here the last time he was in with this kind, and is clearly the one to fear late. Can’t play 1 STICKY MCSHNICKERS on top at 23-1-8-7 lifetime, but he’ll rally for a piece, as always. SELECTIONS: 1-5-7-3Race 8:It’s Longshot time with 3 OTHER LEVEL in his Tapeta debut, as he enters off a solid 2nd on the main track when sent two turns, has a stalking style to sit off what looks like plenty of speed, and has just one rival to fear. Which leads us to 4 FULL NELSON, who was up in time to win OTC for Barboza, has by far the best form, and looks a short price as he goes for his third straight. The pace will also help 9 DIMANCHE GRAS, as he was rolling last time before running out of room at the line. SELECTIONS: 3-4-9-1Race 9:Can’t see anyone running early with 1 REDLAND REBELS, which means can’t see anyone catching him late either, as he’s the speed, looked good wiring in his last on the turf two-back, and still seems on the improve while catching a field that has hit a plateau. It’s the class test for 2 NAME IT, who looked good beating lesser and now rises, though admittedly this isn’t the toughest OC/N1X you’ll ever see. A wide draw won’t help 8 SARATOGA FLASH, though he is a four-time turf winner who was facing better the last time he was over the course when a close 5th in April. SELECTIONS: 1-2-8-5Best Bet: R3: #6 Authentic Guitar (5-2)* Strong 2nd off 15-month layoff* Big 10/5 work says to look out* Well-drawn outside the speedLongshot: R8: #3 Other Level (15-1)* Makes first start over Tapeta* Woke up at two turns last time* Stalker can sit just off the speed

Each day during the 17-day Keeneland Fall Meet, I’ll spotlight the double-digit morning line prices that you’ll want to consider for your exotics plays. These are based on my top-3 choices in each race and will only appear if they’re in my mix and of significant odds.Race 2:#5 Jem’s Hershey Kiss (15-1 ML) – Ellis runners have outperformed expectations this meet and we saw the Greg Foley barn pop a very sharp-looking winner earlier this week. First Kee run for this son of Dialed In, a sire whose offspring have been outstanding here in recent meets.#1 Soho Jimmy (30-1 ML) – Maiden effort here over the track in Spring Meet fits well at this class level and like the sprint-to-route / turf-to-dirt move in the same swoop from a cozy rail draw.Race 9:#3 Colossus (12-1 ML) – Been away a year but Brendan Walsh’s barn can get this kind ready. Well-meant 2YO last year had obvious physical issues but bullet gate drill Sept. 25 indicates he may show why he fetched that $975K purchase price.

Northfield Park has a 15-race card, and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a low 14% takeout. The Spot Plays are in Race 8, Race 11, and Race 12. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 8 (8:34 PM EDT)4-Windsong Patriot (15-1)-The last 3 starts were against Open Handicap company and did finish a beaten 2nd two back. Left from the 8-hole last week, the trip was bumpy, and had excuses 3 back as well. Drops to a level where a win could happen, and at the program price will use on top and in gimmicks. Has the gate speed to land on the point or in the 2-hole off the gate. Could be right there at the wire if pilot Case Bateson works a smooth steer.4-7-1Race 11 (9:40 PM EDT)2-Neptune N (5/2)-Took advantage of hot fractions and rolled off cover with Dan Noble between the pipes 2 back. Then put in a no-move mile versus the $22,500 claimers leaving from post 7. Now faces a beatable field and Braiden Rhoades taking the lines shouldn't hurt the price. Has the speed to win, will need a cozy trip and that could happen with this post draw. Has done good work on this oval (30-7-4-5) and the post relief should help put the veteran in play early on.2-3-1Race 12 (10:02 PM EDT)2-Ten ToThe Dozen A (4-1)-Comes off an even effort at Mea on a sloppy track. Takes a double drop in class considering the last time here 2 back. In that race and the one before was stuck outside (posts 8-7). Aaron Merriman gets the assignment, and he posts 20% winners when he steers for trainer Randy Bendis. This is an opportunity to take control when the wings fold and not look back at a square price. That plan was followed leaving from post 4 back on 8-9 against tougher with tonight's pilot at the controls.2-3-5Check me out on X!

EXTRA INCENTIVESBC Bankroll Builder | Bet $25, Get $5 | California Flag Stakes (Race 9 Santa Anita)$2,500 Hit & Split | Charles Town | late pick 4 and late pick 5 (each)10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Sunset 6 at Gulfstream/Santa AnitaSPECIAL WAGERSCoast-to-Coast Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 9-10, Santa Anita Races 3-4-5Sunset Pick 6 | Gulfstream Races 8-9-10, Santa Anita Races 8-9-10TOURNAMENT TIME$3500 Keeneland Fall BCBC-NHC Challenge | details$500 Charles Town PWCBC Qualifier | details$100 Santa Anita Feeder | details$100 Keeneland Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSPick 6 | $22,681 | Belmont | begins Race 6 | 2:50 pm ETPick 6 | $26,971 | Keeneland | begins Race 5 | 3:08 pm ETSunset 6 | $2,672 | Gulfstream/Santa Anita | begins GP 8 | 4:03 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | $17,670 | Keeneland | Race 10 | 5:48 pm ETPick 6 | $18,458 | Santa Anita | begins Race 5 | 6:00 pm ETJackpot Super Hi 5 | $88,506 (CAN) | Woodbine | Race 11 | 6:27 pm ETKEY RACESBelmont | Race 8 | 3:56 pm ET | Bricks and Mortar StakesBelmont | Race 10 | 5:02 pm ET | Hill Prince StakesKeeneland | Race 9 | 5:16 pm ET | Queen Elizabeth II Challenge CupWoodbine | Race 9 | 5:26 pm ET | Ontario Damsel StakesWoodbine | Race 10 | 5:57 pm ET | Silver Creek StakesCharles Town | Race 1 | 7:00 pm ET | first of 10 WV Breeders Classic stakesSanta Anita | Race 9 | 8:00 pm ET | California Flag StakesDelta Downs | Race 8 | 8:56 pm ET | Gold CupAlbuquerque | Race 5 | 9:45 pm ET | Downs at Albuquerque HandicapCharles Town | Race 7 | 10:02 pm ET | 1/ST BET WV Breeders ClassicCharles Town | Race 9 | 11:02 pm ET | Sam Huff WV Breeders ClassicLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXKeeneland | Race 5 | 3:08 pm ETLaurel | Race 11 | 5:22 pm ETBelmont Park | Race 11 | 5:35 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHJamie Ness | Laurel Park | all 10 entrants 4-1 or less odds (9 at 3-1 or less)DID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Remington Park | Steve and Erik Asmussen | won 5 races in trainer-jockey tandemPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMMatt Bernier: Keeneland’s Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup AnalysisJeremy Plonk: Keeneland Longshot Plays for SaturdayScott Shapiro: Belmont Spot Plays for SaturdayFrank Carulli: WV Breeders Classics Late Pick 5 Hit & Split AnalysisJeremy Plonk: Race of the Week – Charles Town’s Sam Huff WV Breeders ClassicScott Shapiro: Breeders’ Cup Bankroll Builder Bets - California Flag at Santa AnitaFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer: best bets today in the Xpressbet member’s section

Racing at newly renovated Belmont Park continues this afternoon in Long Island with an 11-race card that gets started at 12:05 PM eastern. The slate is headlined by a pair of stakes races on the lawn, including the Hill Prince (G3) for 3YOs. The card boasts a pick 6 carryover of $22,681 beginning in Race 6. Here are few horses I plan to wager on later today in New York, including my thoughts on both features.Race 5:I like a big price a bit in this six-furlong sprint for state-bred MSW foes over the main track since the runners expected to take the most public support are far from intimidating. I know #2 Themistocles was completely empty late in his debut at Saratoga in late August, but there is a case to be made that he can take a big step forward in career start number two. Firstly, he broke sharp from his inside draw, but just did not have the speed to go with the top few. Improved speed could have him in a favorable forward position early on. Plus, a much shorter-priced runner made the lead at the Spa, took the inside, and also had nothing left late when the real running started making me wonder if the rail was not the place to be at that point that afternoon. This colt gets a rider upgrade to Ricardo Santana Jr. for a barn that is not known for winning with first-time starters. A bit more speed from the gate and we could be in business at a big price.Play: #2 Themistocles (15-1 ML)Picks: 2-6-5Race 8: Bricks and MortarThe first of the aforementioned two turf stakes on the Saturday agenda is this seven-furlong dash for 3YOs named for the 2019 Horse of the Year. The race goes through 8-5-ML favorite #1 Two Out Hero. The son of War Front enters the spot after a runner-up effort at 26-1 in last month’s Franklin-Simpson (G2) at Kentucky Downs. The rail draw, his lack of speed, and expected regression make him tough to back as the chalk, so I took a shot against with Virginia-bred #8 Doubting Thomas. The son of Caravaggio stalked the slow pace of the eventual wire-to-wire winner of the Gio Ponti last out in his first start going long before tiring in the end, but should relish getting back to one-turn events since he has thrived at them throughout the early stages of his career. The outside draw should allow jockey Jorge Ruiz to stalk in the clear early and come up with a strong run late.Play: #8 Doubting Thomas (6-1 ML)Picks: 8-7-1Race 10: Hill Prince (G3)My top play of the day comes in this long-distance event for 3YOs over the Inner Turf where Nashville Derby (G2) winner #6 Caroline St. Beat was made the understandable 7-5-ML favorite by oddsmaker David Aragona. The New York-bred had a very strong summer, but ran big twice in a short time span. Regression in this spot is certainly within the range of outcomes. I will try to beat the Tiz the Law colt with #2 Protect and Defend. Trainer Shug McGaughey is off to a great start at the new Belmont Park and this colt’s form was better than it looks prior to his two recent starts at Aqueduct and Saratoga. He won over a yielding course against a modest group of MSW foes on September 2, but it felt like a moment where the half-brother to Limited Liability put it altogether. The class hike is a real thing, but might be overstated by some horseplayers. Instead, I will rely on the fresher horse that draws well along the inside for a barn that has everything moving in the right direction recently. Hopefully, Protect and Defend continues to use his tactical speed to find a favorable forward position early. This would give him a big shot to get to the wire first.Play #2 Protect and Defend (8-1 ML)Picks: 2-6-4

Northfield Park has a 15-race card featuring Ohio Fairs Championships. The Spot Plays are in Race 8, Race 9, and Race 12. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 8 (8:34 PM EDT)2-Lynn Range (9/2)-Faced some tough customers in the Buckeye Stallion Series Finals at Dayton on 10-3. That was the 1st start on Lasix and was stuck with post 9. Went off at a large price and nothing went right in race where a $102 horse took top honors. Tyler Smith tried to leave hard and was caught wide into the opening turn. Appeared rough gated, and came to almost a stop at the 1/2 pole. That was the only time Lynn didn't hit the board in 4 races at Nfld and has taken 2 pictures. Comes right back, gets a positive driver change in Dan Noble and will look for a bounce back effort at a solid price.2-7-3Race 9 (8:56 PM EDT)6-Liberty Biberty (9-1)-Price shot should offer a nice return despite being 1st time Aaron Merriman. The Jessica McCowen 3-year-old will likely be out and rolling. Appears to have enough gate speed to be forwardly placed. This will be a test, but is a competitive filly that could pop at a price with a smooth journey. Expecting Merriman to be well placed turning for the wire and to top the tough foes that start inside.6-2-3Race 12 (10:02 PM EDT)6-Be Perfect BG (7/2)-The Anthony Beaton pupil has earned over $389,000 this year and didn't ship in from M1 to sight see. The post draw can help the price, and Dexter Dunn should do his part to put the Perfect Sting filly in play once the wings fold and comes off a strong win. Has raced at PcD and Mea and will bank on the connections knowing that the turns on the 1/2-mile Nfld oval will not be a problem. Gets a post edge on #8 Loua Dipa and can land on top or in the pocket behind #3 Sangria Summer the tepid 3-1 chalk. Dunn should be able to turn either trip into a picture.6-8-3Check me out on X!