By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVES10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Summer Sweep 5 | Gulfstream Park & Fort Erie1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Player's Pick 3 | Gulfstream Park$2,500 Exacta-Thon | Assiniboia Downs | tonight’s races1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Late Pick 4 | Assiniboia DownsSPECIAL WAGERSSummer Sweep Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 5-6-7, Fort Erie Races 6-7--$1 minimum, 15% takeout, no CAWTOURNAMENT TIME$500 Assiniboia Manitoba Derby Pegasus World Cup Betting Challenge Qualifier | details$40 Mountaineer Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSMandatory Payout Pick 6 | Gulfstream Park | $19,464 | begins Race 3 | 1:22 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | Thistledown | $105,379 | begins Race 3 | 1:50 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 5 | Assiniboia Downs | $476,656 (CAN) / $339,426 (US) | begins Race 3 | 9:25 pm ETKEY RACESPresque Isle Downs | Race 7 | 6:12 pm ET | Satin and Lace StakesAssiniboia Downs | Race 2 | 9:00 pm ET | Escape Clause StakesAssiniboia Downs | Race 5 | 10:15 pm ET | Manitoba MileAssiniboia Downs | Race 6 | 10:40 pm ET | Manitoba DerbyLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXFort Erie | Race 7 | 3:03 pm ETMountaineer | Race 1 | 7:00 pm ETLouisiana Downs | Race 7 | 7:53 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHSteve Keplin Jr. | Assiniboia Downs | 3 entrants 5-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Colonial/Woodbine | trainer Mark Casse | 4 wins, 1 second from 7 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Assiniboia Downs Full-Card Monday PicksBrian Nadeau: Gulfstream Park Full-Card Monday PicksFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Jeremy Plonk
Manitoba Derby Day shares the marquee at Assiniboia Downs tonight with a pick 5 carryover pool that has reached $476,656 (CAN) / $339,426 (US). In addition, horseplayers at Xpressbet can take part in the $500 Assiniboia Manitoba Derby Pegasus World Cup Betting Championship Qualifier tournament. When you bet with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet on tonight’s Assiniboia card, take advantage of a 1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split in the late pick 4 and consider the $2,500 Exacta-Thon promotion where winning $2 exactas on at least 3 races on the 7-race card will win you a share of the additional prize money.Let’s get to work.Assiniboia Downs: Race 1 | allowance/optional claiming#4 Spin the Breeze runs back first off the claim for an Elton Dickey barn that has 3 wins and a second from its last 9 starters (including a 20-1 winner and 52-1 runner-up). This after going 0-12 to start the meet. The 5-1 morning line price attracts on a card that could see shorter prices as it ensues. #7 Smoocherro, the 9-5 morning line chalk, has been beaten favorite twice in 3 local starts, but has run well in all 3 since arriving from Tampa. Picks 4-7-1.Assiniboia Downs: Race 2 | $50,000 Escape Clause StakesTrainer Steve Keplin won 6-13 (46%) in July and is hitting a whopping 44% at the meet. His #4 Mad About Marie registered 1 of those scores in the Canada Stakes July 14 once stretched back to the proper distance after a couple of sprints upon her local arrival. She handled #2 Dontgiveupthefight handily that night to snap that filly’s 3-race winning streak for high-octane trainer Robertino Diodoro. Difficult to see beyond this favored pair. Picks 4-2-3.Assiniboia Downs: Race 3 | claimingThe pick 5 and its massive jackpot begins here. Favorites have won 48% of the claiming races this meeting at Assiniboia Downs from more than 90 offered (71% of favorites in the exacta). Morning line chalk #9 Neighneigh could be a standout off a claim-and-drop by trainer Demetris Tapouzis, 3-for-6 at the meet with limited strikes. Despite sprint running lines that might suggest trouble at the distance, she’s had success this far in the past with slower tempos. The pace doesn’t look wicked to her inside and morning line second choice #8 Gallant Oak is just 1 for her last 14 and has 26 minor placings from 52 career starts. Picks 9-7-8.Assiniboia Downs: Race 4 | maiden special weightPerhaps the best price shot on the evening with a field of 10 and lack of a power-barn standout. #2 Ralph’s Gift improved in his second start and goes for a Elton Dickey barn that is going very well right now, but not one to garner attention with a 3-21 meet record. That 10-1 morning line price would be fantastic. The July 7 race in which #6 She’s My Uncle was second as the favorite, #4 Judge Oliver finished third at 7-2 and #8 American Witt ran fourth at 7-2, didn’t get flattered when the winner, Banker Matt, returned to Asd and ran a solidly-beaten fifth in his allowance bid. Give #10 Charlie’s Prize perhaps a stronger look than that trio for additional support. Picks 2-10-6.Assiniboia Downs: Race 5 | $50,000 Manitoba Mile#2 Judo has been an Asd beast, winning 6 of 9 locally and rolling here as the favorite by 3 lengths last summer in this race. She’s taken a similar prep path in recent months and hasn’t been touched in 2 local appearances at the meet for 44%-winning trainer Steve Keplin. Appears to be a single to this eye. Local newcomer #7 Go Go Boss will merit attention off fast speed figures in Texas and it's hard to dismiss Robertino Diodoro in races like this. Blinkers go on in hopes of sharpening several bridesmaid performances in winning just 1 of her last 8. Picks 2-7-1.Assiniboia Downs: Race 6 | $125,000 Manitoba DerbyThe expectation that class will show out over 9 furlongs makes Kentucky-experienced raiders like #2 Western Warrior, #4 Gethsemane and the maiden #5 Direct Strike the focus. Certainly fear the outside speed of #9 Forty Twenty, but there’s pace to challenge him from the locals and the final furlong may prove his tripping point. The aforementioned trio change barns for local appearances but have been stock of Mark Casse, Linda Rice and Brad Cox, underscoring their level of class. I like going to a top local jockey with a classy shipper, getting the quality of the horse with the track knowledge of the pilot. The only of these to do so is #4 Gethsemane, who lands Antonio Whitehall in the saddle. Despite maiden status, #5 Direct Strike looks best-equipped to handle the 9 furlongs on pedigree and running lines. I’ll focus on those 2. Picks 4-5-2.Assiniboia Downs: Race 7 | claimingFavorites have won 48% of the claiming races this meeting at Assiniboia Downs from more than 90 offered (71% of favorites in the exacta). Not sure what went wrong last out for #9 Jacks Spring Break, eased after back-to-back meet wins. But it’s about the only thing that went awry in July for redhot trainer Steve Keplin. Pace versatility helps with a 9-hole draw in this mile. Underneath #3 Ells is better than the last and trainer Wendy Anderson wins 35% first off the claim. Picks 9-3-1.Carryover Pick 5 Key Runners9 with 2,10 with 2 with 4,5 with 9.
By Al CImaglia
Yonkers Raceway has a 9-race card. The Spot Plays are in Race 2, Race 4, and Race 7. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 2 (7:05 PM EDT)1-None Better A (5/2)-The pedal was down in last as Jim Marohn Jr left hard from post 6 and got the top. Going the 27.2 opening panel to land on the point burned a lot of gas and then faded down the lane to finish 2nd. This time comes back in sequence, draws the 1-hole, and should get control in an easier fashion. Won't be 57-1 but looks like a main player and could offer a fair price.Playing #1 None Better A in a Win Bet1-4-5Race 4 (7:45 PM EDT)3-Soho Firestone A (8-1)-Has run into Sweet Beach Life and Mossdale Ben N, battled hard but couldn't solve that puzzle. Knows how to win and now tries Lasix for the 1st time. That's not an angle that is at the top of my list. But the morning line is probably too low, and if Lasix kicks in it could make a winning difference. Went off at 19-1 last time and lost by a neck and will look for another juicy price.Betting #3 Soho Firestone A to Win3-6-7Race 7 (8:45 PM EDT)3-Jumpingjackmac N 7/2-Drops to a level where Brent Holland should have choices. He may look to leave and get the top but if not could win coming off cover. This looks like a spot to cash the top check. Did win the last time in this cheap on 6-22 and should get another efficient trip.Will play #3 Jumpingjackmac N to Win3-1-6Check me out on X!
By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVES10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Summer Sweep 5 | Gulfstream/WoodbineWoodbine Mile Flyaway Sweepstakes | earn up to 4 entries todaySPECIAL WAGERSSummer Sweep Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 5-6-7, Woodbine Races 5-6--$1 minimum, 15% takeout, no CAWTOURNAMENT TIME$800 Del Mar Pacific Classic Qualifier | details$100 Saratoga Feeder | details$80 Del Mar Feeder | details$40 Canterbury Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSPick 5 | Monmouth Park | $49,347 | begins Race 1 | 12:50 pm ETKEY RACESCanterbury | Race 3 | 3:10 pm ET | Victor Myers StakesEllis Park | Race 6 | 3:12 pm ET | Pucker Up StakesColonial Downs | Race 7 | 3:30 pm ET | Hickory Tree StakesEllis Park | Race 7 | 3:42 pm ET | Water Tower StakesColonial Downs | Race 8 | 3:58 pm ET | Keswick StakesEllis Park | Race 8 | 4:12 pm ET | Tri-State Turf Sprint StakesCanterbury | Race 4 | 4:24 pm ET | Frances Genter StakesEllis Park | Race 9 | 4:42 pm ET | Sunkissed StakesSaratoga | Race 8 | 5:09 pm ET | Glens Falls StakesEllis Park | Race 10 | 5:12 pm ET | Green River Island StakesSaratoga | Race 9 | 5:44 pm ET | Curlin StakesSaratoga | Race 10 | 6:19 pm ET | Adirondack StakesDel Mar | Race 9 | 9:10 pm ET | CTBA StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXSaratoga | Race 5 | 3:26 pm ETEllis Park | Race 9 | 4:42 pm ETMountaineer | Race 4 | 8:15 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHMiguel Clement | Saratoga, Monmouth | 8 of 9 entrants 3-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Saratoga | trainer Todd Pletcher | 5 wins from 8 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Saratoga Full-Card Sunday PicksJeremy Plonk: Del Mar Full-Card Sunday PicksBrian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Jeremy Plonk
The third week of the Del Mar summer stand wraps with 2-year-olds spotlighted in the $100,000 CTBA Stakes. No strong opinion in that one, but the poor gate exits for the morning line favorite Free Closer open up the upset discussion. First post for Sunday’s 10-race card is 5 pm ET / 2 pm PT.Each day this summer at Del Mar, I’ll be handicapping the action with my top plays on the card – including full-card selections for a featured program each week (this week’s full-card was Saturday).Del Mar: Race 2 | 5:32 pm ET#1 Honky Tonk Girl (8-1 morning line odds) showed a bit of early life in her Churchill debut before tiring in May. She’s had a series of works since, including a gate drill over the track July 27. This ship-and-win bonus play while dropping 2YOs from maiden special to maiden claiming has been a hot spot for trainer Peter Miller. He’s done it 5 times since 2021 with 3 wins ($7, $9, $18) and a second (at 11-1 odds) among those. Win bet #1. Picks 1-5-2-8Del Mar: Race 3 | 6:04 pm ET#3 Miss Mandalay (8-1 morning line odds) has been rock-solid in Del Mar turf sprints and should get a dynamite trip here just off a hot pace while saving ground. Just missed at 8-1 last summer in a very similar spot and pace situation from an inside draw. Joel Rosario hasn’t been on his game of late, but he’s one of the best turf sprint jockeys in the game when focused. Win bet #3. Picks 3-5-1Del Mar: Race 5 | 7:10 pm ET#6 One Smokin Dude (4-1 morning line odds) could get trainer George Papaprodomou over the hump at the Del Mar summer meet. He’s had a wild 16 second and third-place finishers (3 wins) from his first 30 starters and knocking on the door. These bottom-level claimers have been a haven for the barn with 27% wins and a $1.37 ROI for every $1 bet at Del Mar during summer the past 5 seasons. He’s 34% first off the claim overall and picked up this Del Mar course winner for a $8,000 song at Los Al last time and gets to run for a winner’s share more than double that here. Win bet #6. Picks 6-8-9
By Scott Shapiro
The racing week concludes in Saratoga Springs, NY later this afternoon after Renegade stole the headlines yesterday with his late run to get the best of Commandment in the Jim Dandy (G2). The win gave trainer Todd Pletcher five on the day and sets the Repole Stable runner up to try to seek revenge on Kentucky Derby (G1) and Belmont Stakes (G1) victor Golden Tempo in the Travers (G1) after being out finished in the two Triple Crown races this spring.We shift gears to a Sunday 11-race card that includes a pair of rescheduled graded stakes races from earlier this week and the Adirondack (G3) for 2YO fillies. Here are a few horses I like on the slate.Race 7:My first play of the day comes in this 5.5-furlong turf sprint for allowance foes where I will try to spring the upset with #5 Keewaydin. The Instagrand colt tried the grass for the first time on June 20 at Aqueduct where he took command early and finished well to earn his third lifetime victory. He is unlikely to have things his own on the front end given the speed to his inside, but I am not convinced he needs things all his way on the engine to have a good chance in this spot. He might just be better over the grass. Manny Franco is back from Virginia to ride the 4YO colt he was aboard in his last win. The Oxo Equine runner should offer solid value on the class rise.Play: #5 Keewaydin (6-1 ML)Picks: 5-8-4Race 9: CurlinThis restricted 1 1/8-stakes event for 3YOs which have not won a graded stakes race was originally scheduled for Wednesday, but was rescheduled for today due to torrential rains. The $150k race marks the return of 4-5-ML favorite #6 Chief Wallabee. The Bill Mott trainee was highly regarded throughout the winter and spring after a stylish victory at Gulfstream Park on debut. He disappointed though from there in the Florida Derby (G1), Kentucky Derby, and Belmont Stakes, but gets some class relief later today. The Constitution colt is obviously capable of winning, but hard for me to trust at this point at a short price.I like #7 Blackout Time. The son of Not This Time did little wrong as a 2YO, including a runner-up effort to Ted Noffey in the Breeders Futurity (G1). He was forced to the sidelines from there and disappointed in his attempts at Arkansas to be a factor on the Derby Trail. Trainer Kenny McPeek opted to give him a few months off and brought him back in late June in a solid first-level allowance event over the sloppy going in Louisville. The $210k FTK October ’24 purchase surprised me with a dominant off-the-pace win going away, which sets him up for a big run later today. Jose Ortiz remains aboard a colt that I had a futures bet on for this year’s “Run for the Roses.” Hopefully, he makes a better than late delivery.Play: #7 Blackout Time (3-1 ML)Picks: 7-6-1Race 10: Adirondack (G3)This 6.5-furlong affair for 2YO fillies over the main track appears extremely competitive and wide-open with a number of impressive first out winners and the lone two-time victor #3 Pierette. The Mark Casse trainee rattled off back-to-back wins to kick off her career in Louisville, including a victory last out in the $225k Debutante. She is the horse to beat, but I will take a shot with Texas-bred #2 Caroline’s Girl. The daughter of Maximus Mischief did not get off to a good start in her debut against fellow state-breds on June 14, but made an eye-catching middle move while extremely wide on the turn and into the lane at Lone Star Park. She apparently was privately purchased after the race and now is in the hands of trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. It has been a slow meet thus far for Joseph, but this gal looks to have talent. She has one local drill and gets Flavien Prat. Hopefully, she handles the class hike.Play: #2 Caroline’s Girl (9-2 ML)Picks: 2-3-6
By Al CImaglia
Running Aces has a big 12-race card. The feature rolls in Race 8 The Dan Patch Free For All Final with a $50,000 purse. There is a forced payout in the 0.20 Pick 5 that also starts in Race 8. The sequence has a carryover of $49,844.95. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 4 (7:06 Pm EDT)4-Imoutthedoor (4-1)-Beat better on 6-12 with a sharp effort but was DQ'd and placed 7th. That was unfortunate but now is able to land in a soft spot. Nick Roland should be leaving again and could have its way with this field if comes with another strong try.Playing #4 Imoutthefrontdoor to Win4-2-8Race 9 (8:56 PM EDT)3-Banker's Grace (6-1)-Likes to compete and fits with this group but needs to be in put play early in the mile. Gets post relief, and this group isn't loaded with gate speed. This race could set up for Scott Cisco who posts 21% winners for the Dan Roland barn. Could get the jump on this group and will look for an aggressive drive at a square price.Will play #3 Banker's Grace to Win3-5-4Race 11 (9:40 PM EDT)4-Gandalf (9/2)-Has been facing tougher and now takes a meaningful drop to a level where a win can happen. The last time in versus similar was in May, took a picture and then came 2nd. Both times raced near the top of the stack and will look for that same plan tonight.Using #4 Gandalf in a Win Bet4-6-3Check me out on X!
By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVESBet $200, Get $20 | Saratoga ($100+) & Del Mar ($100+) | today’s races$5,000 Hit & Split | Colonial Downs | late pick 4 ($2500) & pick 5 ($2500)10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Summer Sweep 5 | Gulfstream/WoodbineWoodbine Mile Flyaway Sweepstakes | earn up to 4 entries todaySPECIAL WAGERSSummer Sweep Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 6-7-8, Woodbine Races 6-7--$1 minimum, 15% takeout, no CAWTOURNAMENT TIME$1,000 Saratoga / Jim Dandy BCBC Qualifier | details$125 Fun in the Sun (Saratoga & Del Mar) | details$80 Del Mar Feeder | details$40 Canterbury Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSSuper Hi 5 | Ellis Park | $7,238 | Race 1 | 12:50 pm ETPick 5 | Delaware Park | $6,667 | begins Race 3 | 1:24 pm ETPick 6 | Colonial Downs | $13,564 | begins Race 6 | 2:27 pm ETPick 6 | Saratoga | $143,193 | begins Race 7 | 3:54 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | Charles Town | $57,871 | begins Race 3 | 8:02 pm ETPick 6 | Los Alamitos (AQHA) | $57,724 | begins Race 3 | 11:15 pm ETKEY RACESColonial Downs | Race 4 | 1:26 pm ET | Guest StakesColonial Downs | Race 5 | 1:55 pm ET | Petramalo Mile StakesColonial Downs | Race 6 | 2:27 pm ET | Gilpin StakesMonmouth | Race 5 | 2:57 pm ET | Incredible Revenge StakesColonial Downs | Race 7 | 2:59 pm ET | Reigh Count StakesSaratoga | Race 6 | 3:20 pm ET | Saratoga Special StakesDelaware Park | Race 7 | 3:32 pm ET | Sussex HandicapColonial Downs | Race 8 | 3:35 pm ET | Van Clief StakesColonial Downs | Race 9 | 4:22 pm ET | Secretariat StakesEllis | Race 9 | 4:42 pm ET | Riverside Rush StakesColonial Downs | Race 10 | 5:03 pm ET | Beverly D StakesSaratoga | Race 9 | 5:06 pm ET | Lake George StakesEllis | Race 10 | 5:12 pm ET | Hummingbird StakesWoodbine | Race 9 | 5:25 pm ET | Seagram CupSaratoga | Race 10 | 5:44 pm ET | Jim Dandy StakesColonial Downs | Race 11 | 5:52 pm ET | Arlington MillionDel Mar | Race 5 | 7:10 pm ET | California Dreamin’ StakesDel Mar | Race 10 | 9:40 pm ET | Clement Hirsch StakesEvangeline Downs | Race 8 | 9:40 pm ET | Shine Young FuturityLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXEllis Park | Race 7 | 3:42 pm ETSaratoga | Race 8 | 4:28 pm ETColonial Downs | Race 10 | 5:03 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHSteve Asmussen | Saratoga | 5 of 6 entrants 9-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Saratoga | jockey Jose Ortiz | 3 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds from 6 mountsYesterday | Colonial Downs | trainer Brittany Russell | 3 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds from 8 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Saratoga Full-Card Saturday PicksJeremy Plonk: Del Mar Full-Card Saturday PicksScott Shapiro: Colonial Downs $5,000 Hit & Split AnalysisJeremy Plonk: Race of the Week – Arlington Million at Colonial DownsFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section