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12.14.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Sunday, December 14, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVESBet $100, Get $10 | Woodbine (TB) | today’s races1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Los Alamitos (TB) | today’s racesTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Park Feeder | details$300 Los Alamitos Challenge | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $177,390 | Gulfstream | begins Race 4 | 1:47 pm ETPick 6 | $22,375 | Oaklawn | begins Race 5 | 3:24 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 6 | $60,612 (CAN) | Woodbine | begins Race 7 | 4:04 pm ETKEY RACESOaklawn | Race 9 | 5:20 pm ET | Astral Spa StakesWoodbine | Race 10 | 5:39 pm ET | Steady Growth StakesLos Alamitos | Race 10 | 7:30 pm ET | King Glorious StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXOaklawn | Race 1 | 1:30 pm ETOaklawn | Race 6 | 3:53 pm ETWoodbine | Race 12 | 6:39 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHGeorge Papaprodromou | Los Alamitos | 4 of 5 entrants 9-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Fair Grounds | favorites won 6 of 12 races on the cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Gulfstream Spot Plays for SundayBrian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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12.14.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, December 14, 2025

Woodbine Mohawk Park begins the week with an 11-race card. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 3, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 3 (7:31 PM EST)3-Wilcat Rocky (5-1)-Evidently had issues this year only making 13 starts and has taken 1 picture. The last line is better than it looks, showed some early speed and was blocked down the lane. Finished gamely and will use and fade the program chalk #1 Mr Ibiza N and hope the 1-hole doesn't do him any favors.4-Catfish Jack (10-1)-Could get a suck along trip and does have the speed to win but needs some lively fractions. This is the 3rd try on Lasix and rolled the back half in 56.2 in last but was too far back early on. Will look for an aggressive start, the fractions should be honest and could offer a big price.6-Tricky McWicky (5/2)-Left from post 8, raced close to the lead and the fractions were quick. Hung in until late in the mile and lost by a 1/2 of length. Gets post relief, draws the choice slot, and should be a main player.Race 4 (7:54 PM EST)4-Devils Arch (2-1)-Made the most of a pocket ride and drew off down the lane. Went off as the chalk and acted like it. Recent form has been sharp, likes to win (26-7-1-2) and could benefit from a similar trip again.9-Ghostly Casper (5/2)-Came with a good try from post 10 in the 2nd race in town. Got on the engine but faded down the lane. This is only the 3rd race since 10-23 but does appear to be rounding into form and should be better tonight.Race 5 (8:17 PM EST)5-State One Smiley (6-1)-Has won 3 straight all against this kind. The streak will stop at some point but has a post edge on others with gate speed. Draws well and is too sharp to leave off the ticket, especially at this price.7-Ginger Tree Finny (9/5)-Got on the engine, took control, and drew off winning by 5 lengths. That was the 2nd straight against this kind and is a logical play but will offer no value.Race 6 (8:40 PM EST)1-Classic Magic (10-1)-Won at this level from the rail 2 back. Then bumped up and was badly beaten in both races. Should be a nice price and could get sucked around. JMac sticks and will look for an aggressive start.2-Bella Cavalla (5/2)-Had a wide trip 2 back and was dull in the last start. Now takes a meaningful drop and should get an aggressive drive from Doug McNair.$1 Early Pick 43,4,6/4,9/5,7/1,2Total Bet=$24Check me out on Twitter!

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12.14.2025:

Scott Shapiro: Gulfstream Park Spot Plays | Sunday, December 14, 2025

The racing week at Gulfstream Park concludes this afternoon with a nine-race card that gets started at 12:20 PM eastern. The card is headlined by a trio of allowance races over the back half of the day. Here are a few horses I will be building my Sunday around in Hallandale Beach.Race 6:This non-winners of two event at one-mile over the grass lacks runners with legitimate early speed. This should give the pace advantage to #1 Bal de Mar. The daughter of Brazilian champion Bal a Bali makes her third start off the claim for trainer Barry Croft. Croft claimed the 4YO filly out of a similar condition in early October. She has competed over the all-weather in 11 of her 15 starts, but did race over the grass back on October 25 when she set the pace from her outside draw at this same level before yielding late to finish third. She very well could lack the stamina to seal the deal late once again, but hopefully the inside draw and a softer first half-mile can lead her to the winner’s circle for the second time in her career.Play: #1 Bal de Mar (6-1 ML)Race 8:This first-level allowance at 7.5-furlongs over the Gulfstream lawn goes through #2 Zo Zucchera. The daughter of Collected has won 5 of 16 to start her career, including 3 of 5 over this course. The issue is she is going to be a short price. Plus, she lacks early speed in a race where that could seriously hinder her chances. I prefer #5 Turino. The Kantharos filly moves back to the sod for Saffie Joseph Jr. after a stalk and fade a couple of weeks ago over the all-weather. Two-back in her lone turf start of 2025, she was off a bit slow and was keen early costing her any real chance. That was off a near two-year layoff, so I am forgiving that she was unable to relax in the early stages. With the lack of speed signed on, Turino should find herself in a perfect stalking position early, allowing her to get the jump on Zo Zucchera. Hopefully, she has what it takes to hold on late under jockey Micah Husbands.Play: #5 Turino (3-1 ML)Race 9:The Sunday card concludes with this first-level allowance at one-mile over the main track where #8 Accelerize is likely to be a heavy favorite. The son of Omaha Beach debuted at Tampa Bay Downs in early March and won for fun against a full field of MSW foes. After the start, Accelerize was moved into Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher’s barn where he was given time until November 16 when he returned in a first-level allowance event here at Gulfstream Park as the prohibitive 3-5-favorite. Accelerize did not embarrass himself off the bench that day putting away the other speed easily before tiring late, but his effort does make a short price difficult to swallow this afternoon. I will try to beat him with #3 Captain Danny. The Mendelssohn colt has not raced since the Fourth of July for trainer Victor Barboza Jr, but has been working regularly in preparation for his return. He should be fit and could get overlooked against a group he fits quite well against. I will take a swing on the Dona Licha Stables runner assuming he is 9-2-or higher.Play: #3 Captain Danny (5-1 ML)

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12.13.2025:

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, December 13, 2025

Northfield Park has a 15-race card and the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 11 (9:40 PM EST)1-Plays Pro (7-1)-The Kerry Merriman trainee hits the board in over half her starts and could be overlooked. Jason Thompson needs honest fractions and to be in range at the top of the lane.4-Expresso Beans (4-1)-Has been stuck with the 10-hole in the last 2 that were at DTN. Aaron Merriman gets the call from the MacDonald barn for the 1st time, and this is the 1st start at Nfld. Does have 1/2-mile track experience at Flmd and should fit nicely.6-Rising Fire (5-1)-Was way back last time and cashed a small check. But was engaged against the NW4 with Dan Noble steering and went gate to wire 2 back. Using the Cory Kreiser entry at this price and does good work at Nfld (14-4-1-1).Race 12 (10:02 PM EST)4-She Comes And Goes (7/5)-No one was beating Smoothastenesewisky last week, got the jump and drew off easily. But this mare was a clear-cut 2nd and probably no one in this field is going to stop the clock in 154.2 tonight. Not loving the short price but need to use.5-Morning Miracle (15-1)-Should be a large number and tries. Braiden Rhoades needs to provide a sharp steer and to be in the picture late in the mile. Likes to roll late and could be in the hunt with an efficient trip.Race 13 (10:24 PM EST)4-Princess Stella (2-1)-Started from the 8-hole and worked to get on the engine but faded and that broke a 4-race win streak. Steps up to face Open company, this isn't a very deep field and shouldn't have an issue taking control early on.5-Marlo Hanover (5-1)-Has been in the hunt with this kind on a regular basis. My take is Justine Irvine could be sitting the pocket all the way around.9-Soft Shot (5/2)-This will be 2nd time for Lasix and raced well last week off not a great trip. Should be better here and if gets a good early seat could finish off this mile in winning fashion.Race 14 (10:46 PM EST)5-Maggie Time (3/2)-Finished 2nd in the 1st start for the Kreiser barn last week and missed a race before the last outing. Maggie was the 8/5 chalk and could reward backers this time. Should get a smooth steer from Merriman and get on the point without burning much gas.$1 Late Pick 41,4,6/4,5/4,5,9/5Total Bet=$18Check me out on Twitter!

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12.13.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Saturday, December 13, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVES$2,500 Hit & Split | Fair Grounds | both late pick 4 and pick 510X 1/ST Rewards Points | Woodbine | today’s racesBet $100, Get $20 | Los Alamitos | $50 TB card, $50 AQHA card today10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Sha Tin (Hong Kong) | today’s racesTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Park Feeder | details$40 Los Alamitos Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $135,675 | Gulfstream | begins Race 6 | 2:47 pm ETMandatory Payout Super Hi 5 | $194,725 (US) | Woodbine | Race 10 | 5:40 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 6 | $76,948 | Charles Town | begins Race 4 | 8:32 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 5 | $30,988 | Charles Town | begins Race 5 | 9:02 pm ETKEY RACESFair Grounds | Race 2 | 2:15 pm ET | first of 7 LA Champions Day stakesAqueduct | Race 7 | 3:10 pm ET | Go For Wand StakesGulfstream Park | Race 8 | 3:47 pm ET | Tropical Park OaksOaklawn | Race 8 | 4:52 pm ET | Ring the Bell StakesWoodbine | Race 9 | 5:09 pm ET | La Prevoyante StakesGulfstream Park | Race 11 | 5:17 pm ET | Tropical Park DerbyLos Alamitos | Race 8 | 7:00 pm ET | Los Alamitos FuturityLos Alamitos (AQHA) | Race 8 | 12:01 am ET | Champion of Champions StakesSha Tin | Race 4 | 1:10 am ET | Hong Kong VaseSha Tin | Race 5 | 1:50 am ET | Hong Kong Sprint | featuring Ka Ying RisingSha Tin | Race 7 | 3:00 am ET | Hong Kong MileSha Tin | Race 8 | 3:40 am ET | Hong Kong Cup | featuring Romantic WarriorLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXOaklawn | Race 4 | 2:55 pm ETGulfstream | Race 8 | 3:47 pm ETFair Grounds | Race 9 | 5:45 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHKevin Attard | Woodbine | all 7 entrants 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Gulfstream Park | favorites won 6 of 8 races on the cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMJeremy Plonk: Race of the Week – Tropical Park Derby from GulfstreamJeremy Plonk: Los Alamitos Bet $100, Get $20 PicksScott Shapiro: FG’s Louisiana Champions Day Hit & Split AnalysisJeremy Plonk: Woodbine $149K Carryover Super Hi 5 Analysis for SaturdayJohnny Burke: Hong Kong International Races AnalysisFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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12.13.2025:

Jeremy Plonk: $194K Carryover / Mandatory Payout Woodbine Super Hi 5 Play | Saturday, December 13, 2025

Woodbine offers a mandatory payout in Saturday’s Race 10 super high 5 wager, which brings a $194,728 (US) carryover to the party. Pick the top-5 finishers in order on the 20-cent base wager to collect. Note that 1/ST BET and Xpressbet players will earn 10X 1/ST Rewards Points on all wagers Saturday at Woodbine.Like most any wager type, even a super high 5 begins with an opinion on the winner. From there, I’ll feather out.#10 Bit of Music is 15-1 morning line, but won’t scare me from making her the top key. Trainer Dale Desruisseaux has been finishing the Woodbine season strongest of all. He’s won 31% since the start of November (5-16) and twice paired with jockey Rafael Hernandez with stakes winners during that streak. Hernandez rides this one back after adding blinkers for a November 2 return turf dash – and should appreciate more distance and finally getting into a form cycle after a stop-and-go, brief career to date.Immediate under the top pick are a series of very reliable sorts who just haven’t been knockout artists on the win end. #6 Sincelairity, #2 Why Em Sea Ay and #8 Home for a Rest are consistently right there, but each lost last time out at 2-1 or less odds while runners-up. I’ll trust them in the 2-3 slots to deliver in some fashion.That leaves the 4-5 slots, where the same trio apply in addition to #5 Just Follow Me (9 of her last 10 in the top-5), #7 Give Me the Boots (5 of her last 7 in the top 4) and #9 Spirit Bear (7 of her last 8 in the top-5).While it might seem like a lot of horses, the 20-cent base bet and top-key horse make this quite affordable. Barring scratches, here’s the play:106,2,86,2,86,2,8,5,7,96,2,8,5,7,9Ticket cost: $24 for 20 cents

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12.12.2025:

Johnny Burke: Hong Kong International Races: Group 1 Previews

Three Group 1’s and a roster of international Group Stakes talent make Sunday one of the biggest days in the Hong Kong Jockey Club’s racing calendar. Contingencies representing champions across the Americas, Asia and Europe will descend on Sha Tin to compete for glory and plentiful purses. Let’s look at the three Group 1’s on the card and get a lay of the land before plotting our attack on this loaded card.Race 4 | G1 Hong Kong VaseThe LeadThis 1-1/2 mile test puts championship distance to the test over the Sha Tin turf course. Historically, this race lends itself to European shippers and has become a major target for Japanese barns. GIAVELLOTTO will seek to defend his title against the other invaders.Field DepthGroup 1 winners include LOS ANGELES, AL RIFFA, GIAVELLOTTO, GOLIATCH, SOSIE, and URBAN CHIC. Three of this year’s runners were featured in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, with SOSIE and GIAVELOTTO having the best outcomes and finishing within a quarter-length of each other.PaceMOMENTS IN TIME is expected to set the pace but should have plenty of company with GOLIATH drawing the fourth post, ENSUED in the seventh gate, and early tactical speed from LOS ANGELES, EYDON, and KA YING GENERATION.Most Likely Exotics ContendersGOLIATH has finished in the exacta in eight of twelve tries going this distance and gets a favorable draw towards the rail to pair with his early pressing style of pace. GIAVELLOTTO is defending his title and is a perfect one-for-one on the Sha Tin turf course but comes tagged with a low morning line price.Best Longshot ContendersGOLIATH seems to be tainted by a poor outing in the Breeders’ Cup Turf, but his resume paints a picture worth better than his 17/1 morning line. The post is favorable for him, and this isn’t his first time in Hong Kong. While his only other run at Sha Tin was a seven-length loss in the QEII Cup, I’d expect the barn to have a better idea of how to prep him for his return visit.Sending It In ($100 Bankroll)$50 Quinella | 4 w/ 10Playing for a massive price to start the Group 1 action, I think GOLIATH is the price to play in this race coming right off the lead. However, one of the few deep closers is local contender BUNDLE AWARD who has been running short of the 2400-meter distance lately and seems eager to get the extra distance. I like the idea of playing him in the quinella in case he gets a lane for a big late run.$25 Exacta | 4 w/ 2,3Keying my top longshot on top, the two most logical choices on paper are AL RIFFA and GIAVELLOTTO in my opinion. I don’t think they are getting the setup they hoped for but based on raw talent alone these two areworthy of playing underneath if we get our big price home.//Race 5 | G1 Hong Kong SprintThe LeadHong Kong legend and international superstar, KA YING RISING, gets the rail draw for the first time in his career as he looks to defend his Hong Kong Sprint title against a talented group of hopefuls.Field DepthKA YING RISING is the resume to beat, no doubt about it. SATONO REVE has been close on his tail over this course before, and LUCKY SWEYNESSE will join HELIOS EXPRESS on the list of locals hoping KA YING RISING takes a Michael Jordan break so they can take home a trophy.PaceWIN CARNELIAN will take a shot at the lead from the eleventh gate just outside of BEAUTY WAVES in the ninth post who will also be fighting for that lead. Tucked away on the rail, KA YING RISING tends to sit off the lead, but his draw may force his hand and send him out early to defend ground.Most Likely Exotics ContendersTOMODACHI KOKOROE was my choice to finish second to KA YING RISING in his last race. He came up short of that projection but has been in his best form over the last year or so. SATONO REVE, LUCKY SWEYNESSE, and HELIOS EXPRESS are all likely to be battling for the bulk of the dollars in the price pool.Best Longshot ContendersEvery horse not named KA YING RISING is a longshot in this race, but if I had to pick any of the field I’d land on SATONO REVEN out of Japan. He has lost to KA YING RISING twice, by two lengths and one length respectively. He hasn’t been more than two lengths out of the winner’s circle in more than a select few of his Group 1 races and picks up Ryan Moore for this try.Sending It In ($100 Bankroll)$50 Exacta – 1 w/ 3,11I don’t have any doubts about KA YING RISING’s ability to win from the rail, and the exacta pool should be diluted when compared to the win odds for some of the most logical on-paper contenders. For that reason, I’m leaning towards the two biggest prices of the horses I like underneath KA YING RISING, and that gets me to TOMODACHI KOKOROE at 63/1 and LUCKY SWEYNESSE at 42/1.//Race 7 | G1 Hong Kong MileThe LeadHong Kong Triple Crown Winner, VOYAGE BUBBLE, looks to defend his title against a mix of familiar foes and shippers looking to topple the seven-year-old. A field full of champions will go toe-to-toe for the opening leg of the Hong Kong Triple Crown.Field DepthGroup 1 winners include SOUL RUSH, VOYAGE BUBBLE, DOCKLANDS, RED LION, and EMBROIDERY. SOUL RUSH, coming in from Japan, and the local VOYAGE BUBBLE are certainly the most decorated of the runners.PaceCOPARTNER PRANCE and THE LION IN WINTER both seem most likely to go for the lead, with THE LION IN WINTER being more willing to concede a position out front.Most Likely Exotics ContendersEMBROIDERY has only run on a dry turf course, but at just three years old she has been outstanding in most of her starts in Japan. She’ll get a handicap and run with only 121 pounds in the irons, I think this horse on the rise is primed for a big run that could place her in the money at a decent price.Best Longshot ContendersTHE LION IN WINTER was one of my top choices in the Breeders’ Cup Mile, and I think he’s going to take to a bit more moisture in the track in Hong Kong better than he did at Del Mar in November. This is a talented colt that hasn’t quite put it together in his six Group 1 tries, but if he ships well to Hong Kong, I won’t put it past him with Ryan Moore jumping back on board for Aiden O’Brien. RED LION has toppled VOYAGE BUBBLE once with Hugh Bowman in the irons. It would be a tall task for the six-year-old who has been declining in form as of late, but at 99/1 it’s well worth taking a shot.Sending It In ($100 Bankroll)$25 Win – 13I think this is VOYAGE BUBBLE’s race to lose, at least on paper, but I don’t think we have seen the best from THE LION IN WINTER and if the Win odds are anything close to his 34/1 morning line, I’ll be taking a big swing.$25 Quinella – 2 w/ 8,13,14If, indeed, VOYAGE BUBBLE is coming into this race at his best, I want to be able to capitalize on his success. RED LION has beaten him before but will need to dig deep for a form he hasn’t seen in quite some time. At 99/1, the quinella is a great spot to tuck him for a longshot run. THE LION IN WINTER is still on my radar as a horse rising and I think this could be an opening for him to put it all together. EMBROIDERY is the filly to watch taking on the boys, but this three-year-old filly has a trajectory I love and just finds a way to get to the wire.//Race 8 | G1 Hong Kong CupThe LeadROMANTIC WARRIOR makes his second start back in Hong Kong after a big stint in the Middle East. At 1/5 on the morning line, this is his race to lose in a short field.Field DepthROMANTIC WARRIOR is ten of sixteen in Group 1 tries. BELLAGIO OPERA and QUISISANA are the only two other runners with a win at this level.PaceGALEN should be out in front of this field with a steady group right off his pace. ROUSHAM PARK and STRAIGHT ARRON look like your most likely off-pace closers.Most Likely Exotics ContendersROUSHAM PARK and GALEN are my choices to find their way in the money. Some of the more talented on-paper runners in this field go boom or bust at this distance, and since I’m not choosing them to win, I am banking on them going bust and opening things up for a bigger price to sneak into those 2nd and 3rd spots.Best Longshot ContendersNone. I hate to say it, but I don’t think there are any longshots that are legitimate contenders here, just playing for positions underneath ROMANTIC WARRIOR.Sending It In ($100 Bankroll)$50 Exacta – 1 w/ 3,4This is ROMANTIC WARRIOR’S race to lose coming off a victorious return to Hong Kong in the G1 Hong Kong Cup. The horse is 19-for-26 lifetime, 14-for-18 on the Sha Tin turf course and has seemed to find yet another gear deep in his seven-year-old season. However, I do think there’s a great chance some of the other potential contenders can’t hang on for all ten furlongs and open things up for ROUSHAM PARK and GALEN to find their way to the tote board. I’ll stake my bankroll on ROMANTIC WARRIOR taking home the glory and getting a big run out of either GALEN or ROUSHAM PARK.

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12.12.2025:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Friday, December 12, 2025

EXTRA INCENTIVES10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Woodbine | today’s racesTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Gulfstream Park Feeder | details$40 Los Alamitos Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | $122,499 | Gulfstream | begins Race 3 | 1:18 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $57,227 | Fair Grounds | begins Race 3 | 2:45 pm ETJackpot Pick 6 | $71,163 | Charles Town | begins Race 4 | 8:32 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | $22,565 | Turfway | Race 10 | 10:25 pm ET--Woodbine has frozen $194K (US) Super Hi 5 carryover until Saturday’s mandatory payout--Charles Town has mandatory payout on SaturdayKEY RACESFair Grounds | Race 6 | 4:15 pm ET | Magic City ClassicOaklawn | Race 8 | 4:52 pm ET | Advent StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXFair Grounds | Race 7 | 4:45 pm ETOaklawn | Race 9 | 5:20 pm ETTurfway Park | Race 2 | 6:25 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHMark Casse | Oaklawn, Woodbine | 6 of 7 entrants 9-2 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Remington Park | trainer Steve Asmussen | 4 wins, 1 second, 1 third from 7 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMFrank Carulli: Oaklawn Opening Day Pick 3 Analysis for FridayFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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