By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15-race card with the $1.00 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 11 (9:40 PM EST) 2-Johnny Sack (7/5)-Johnny gets a positive driver change in Ronnie Wrenn and drops to spot where a picture looks like a distinct possibility. That said, the short price isn't very appetizing but does need to be used and could be in control as the wings fold. 4-Sawyers Desire (7/2)-If the morning line choice is in the mood to burn big money the Presto trainee could benefit with a pocket trip. Should be right on the back of the chalk and then take its chances down the lane. Race 12 (10:02 PM EST) 2-Meadowbranch Noble (4-1)-Was used off the gate to get on the point and faded down the lane on 1-5. Gets a new pilot in Simon Allard and he has steered before. Should be forwardly placed throughout and can be in the hunt with a smooth trip. 3-Get In And Go (9/2)-Doesn't leave in a hurry but gets post relief and should be able to stay close to the top. The race has some early speed for an honest pace. The faster the fractions the better for the Miller trainee. 4-Nothingbutadreamer (2-1)-The Bill Rhoades entry likes to win and has enough gate speed to be no worse than in the pocket off the gate. Comes back in sequence, Aaron Merriman is at the controls and has 5 wins in 12 Nfld starts. Race 13 (10:24 PM EST) 2-Native's Filou (3-1)-Camera shy 7-year-old should be a player but doesn't like to win. Posted only 2 wins in 34 starts in 2024 and has 1 picture in 15 races at Nfld. Will use from the inside and Wrenn could work a very cozy trip. 4-Jim Blue (8-1)-Started slowly in last, but rolled the back half in .56 flat and could offer a nice return. Will look for Kody Massey to not be 10 lengths behind at the 1st call. 9-Zanetti (8/5)-Winner of 3 in row has been an odds-on choice each time and looked the part. Started from the 9-hole in last and Merriman can do it again. Race 14 (10:46 PM EST) 4-Live And Let Di (7/2)-Usual pilot Hunter Myers will be back in the bike after Tyler Angus was hung the mile back on 12-14. Has missed time but draws well and can land on the point off the gate. Won the races 2 and 3 back taking charge early on and lands in a spot tonight to return to winning ways. 6-Wheres My Phone (8-1)-Ships in from the Mea and makes its Nfld debut. Merriman steers for the Presto barn, and when that duo combines they post 23% winners. Has the gate speed to be forwardly placed and has a pilot that likes to be aggressive. $1 Late Pick 4 2,4/2,3,4/2,4,9/4,6 Total Bet=$36 Check me out on Twitter!
By Xpressbet
TOURNAMENT TIME $100 Gulfstream Feeder | details SCHEDULE NOTE Oaklawn, Santa Anita, Turfway, Coast to Coast Pick 5 | cancelled NOTABLE CARRYOVERS Jackpot Pick 6 | $66,056 | Gulfstream Park | begins Race 5 | 2:19 pm ET Pick 6 | $21,315 | Fair Grounds | begins Race 3 | 2:45 pm ET 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY GULFSTREAM PARK WINNER Gulfstream Park | Race 9 | 4:20 pm ET | #6 Suncroft (30%) LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Tampa Bay Downs | Race 3 | 1:26 pm ET Tampa Bay Downs | Race 9 | 4:28 pm ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Saffie Joseph Jr. | Gulfstream Park | 4 of 5 entrants 9-2 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Aqueduct, Gulfstream | trainer Todd Pletcher | 4 wins, 1 second from 7 starters PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Sunday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVES 2 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Tampa Bay Downs | Late Pick 4 TOURNAMENT TIME Beat the Host Week 2 | vs. Millie Ball | Gulfstream Races 2-11 *update* | details $1,000 Gulfstream PWCBC Super Low Ratio Qualifier | detailsSCHEDULE NOTE Oaklawn, Turfway, Santa Anita | cancelled due to weather, air quality NOTABLE CARRYOVERS Pick 6 | $22,199 | Aqueduct | begins Race 4 | 1:40 pm ET1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY TAMPA BAY DOWNS STAKES WINNER Tampa Bay Downs | Race 7 | 3:28 pm ET | #1 Peignor (31%) KEY RACES Aqueduct | Race 2 | 12:40 pm ET | Ladies Stakes Tampa Bay Downs | Race 4 | 1:58 pm ET | Pasco Stakes Gulfstream Park | Race 5 | 2:19 pm ET | Sunshine Filly & Mare Turf Stakes Tampa Bay Downs | Race 5 | 2:28 pm ET | Gasparilla Stakes Tampa Bay Downs | Race 7 | 3:28 pm ET | Wayward Lass Stakes Fair Grounds | Race 5 | 4:15 pm ET | Wright Memorial Stakes Gulfstream Park | Race 10 | 4:48 pm ET | Sunshine Classic Stakes Fair Grounds | Race 8 | 6:25 pm ET | Palmisano Memorial Stakes LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Gulfstream Park | Race 8 | 3:47 pm ET Tampa Bay Downs | Race 10 | 4:58 pm ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Jose D’Angelo | Gulfstream Park | 4 of 5 entrants 9-2 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Aqueduct | jockey Manny Franco | 3 wins, 3 seconds, 1 third from 9 mounts PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Jeremy Plonk: Race of the Week – Sunshine Classic at Gulfstream Scott Shapiro: Tampa Pick 4 Hit & Split Analysis | Saturday, January 11, 2025 Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Saturday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Al Cimaglia
Cal Expo has a 9-race card to wrap up the weekend. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 rolls in Race 6. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 6 (8:15 PM PST) 1-Daniel's Son (3-1)-Drops to a comfortable level, has hit the board versus better and was somewhat pace compromised last week. The program chalk may look to go gate to wire tonight. 7-Cut A Rug (5-1)-Out raced its odds last time and didn't get the best of drives. Won't be 24-1 on the drop but fits well and could benefit from a sharp steer. 8-Hoo Nien A (12-1)-Has had excuses, broken equipment and not the best trips starting outside. Starts outside again but beat this kind 3 back and that effort could win here. Jerry Longo needs to have in play by the 3/4's pole, if so, could pop at a big price. Race 7 (8:35 PM PST) 1-Fiftyshadesofcray (12-1)-Will look for some value and fade the program chalk #7 in this leg. This mare should be a big number and has been racing from the back. Gets class relief and Nick Roland could be aggressive in the 4th start in his barn. 2-Princessofthedawn (4-1)-This will be the 3rd straight start at CalX after coming off the bench. This mare has won 9 of 28 races at CalX and Renee Goulet could work a cozy trip. Should be in the mix and might go off higher than the morning line odds. 3-Made Of Miscchief (4-1)-Gets a positive driver change in James Kennedy and has hit the board in 10 of 15 at CalX with 5 pictures. Races well at the top of stack and should be racing with the leaders this time. Race 8 (8:35 PM PST) 3-Divine Art (3-1)-Has been racing evenly versus better and now takes a meaningful drop. If Longo can be within reach of the leaders at the top of the lane the 6-year-old could finish fastest of all. 6-Midnight Zen (7/2)-Left, was hung the mile last week and faded down the lane to finish 4th. Lemoyne Svendsen should be out and rolling when the wings fold. But this time may get a 2-hole trip and look to be the best down the lane. Race 9 (9:15 PM PST) 2-Miso Classy (7/2)-A dry track could help and was able to pass foes down the stretch in the last 2 races on a "good' track. Is only 1 for 10 on a wet surface, and should be in line for a smoother trip this time. 7-Lickcreek Speedway (3-1)-Luke Plano will likely look to leave and there isn't much gate speed inside. Does good work at CalX (91-19-18-5) and this race could set up nicely for the veteran mare. 0.40 Late Pick 4 1,7,8/1,2,3/3,6/2,7 Total Bet=$14.40 Check me out on Twitter!
By Al Cimaglia
Cal Expo kicks-off the weekend with a 9-race card. The 0.20 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 6 (8:25 PM PST) 1-Cenalta Token (8-1)-Willing to take a swing in race with some question marks. Trainer Rene Goulet hands the lines to Lemoyne Svendsen and that move might be the winning difference. Could cash the top check with a suck-around trip and pop at a solid number. 2-Maggie Time (4-1)-Put up strong effort and bottomed out the field to take the Funicello final. Hasn't raced since 12-20 but Luke Plano should be out and rolling and could be tough to tackle. Race 7 (8:45 PM PST) 6-All Champy (5/2)-Hate to go chalk-chalk but barring a bumpy trip these 2 should be battling down the lane. Nick Roland has the gate speed to take control early and the beaten favorite could get revenge tonight. 7-Lous Lancelot (9/5)-This 6-year-old has won 3 of 4 with the only blemish happening after breaking stride 2 back when leading down the lane. Luke Plano knows how to get the most out of the Lackey trainee and could take another picture even though starting from post 7. Race 8 (9:05 PM PST) 1-Ak Up N Attem (9/5)-Willing to fade the 8/5 choice #5 Winwood Jack who does drop but recent form has been dull. This is the 4th start off the bench for the Schneider entry. Did go gate to wire to down the $4k claimers in last and this field is not too salty. Svendsen could look to follow the same plan, and if he can steal a quarter it should be picture time again. Race 9 (9:25 PM PST) 2-Jericho Willie (5/2)-Drew off by >4 lengths on a "good" track leaving from post 7 and now faces better. Does good work on large ovals and John MacDonald should have in play when the wings fold. 5-Outlawnothnbutsmrt (4-1)-Comes off a nice try at this level. Rallied hard and could seal the deal tonight. Should have a better start and Rene Goulet could work a more efficient trip leaving less work to do down the lane. $2 Late Pick 4 1,2/6,7/1/2,5 Total Bet=$16 Check me out on Twitter!
By Scott Shapiro
January marches on as does 1/ST BET and Xpressbet’s 2 Million Rewards Points Late Pick 4 Hit & Split Saturdays. For those new to the promo, just register on the promotional landing page, hit the late Pick 4 at the select track, and split those points amongst only 1/ST BET and Xpressbet customers that connect as well. This week we head to Tampa Bay Downs where the Late Pick 4 kicks off in Race 7 with the $100k Wayward Lass and concludes with a full field open claimer on the lawn. Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play. Race 7: Wayward Lass Grade: B- Main Ticket: 1 Peignoir Backups: None Forecast: I have no desire to try to beat 2-1-favorite #1 Peignoir in this 1 1/16-mile event for fillies and mares over the main track. The Rodolphe Brisset trainee took on better when we saw her last in the Falls City (G3) at Churchill Downs to end her 3YO campaign. In that Grade 3 event, the Mendelssohn filly broke well and set the pace into the first turn before settling into an inside stalking trip on the backstretch, but had nothing to offer when the real running started. Perhaps it was regression off of two career best efforts prior to it or the off track, but either way Brisset brings her to Tampa Bay Downs off of four 4-furlong drills over the Keeneland main track. Peignoir should be poised for her best with Irad Ortiz Jr. making the trip west to ride. Race 8: Grade: B- Main Ticket: 4 Dreaming of Abba; 7 Mama Bella; 5 Atmidnight Backups: None Forecast: #9 Singalong Kayla nearly stole a pair of races on the front end at this level to end 2024, but is unlikely to have things easy this time with #6 Goddess Minerva drawn to her inside. This should ensure an honest pace at the very least. #3 Shade of Pale is the obvious off the pace filly evidenced by her 7-5-morning line offering. The Peter Brant owned daughter of Demarchelier surprisingly has never taken significant public support for a Chad Brown trainee, but has shown the ability to finish with energy. That said, her lack of early speed has left her with too much to do late more often than not through 4 lifetime starts. So, while she is the class of the field coming in, it might be a touch overstated. In her lone start against graded stakes foes, she did little running after a slow start and finished last. There is no doubt Brown can be tough to beat when he ships into Tampa, but I am willing to take a swing here, especially since I am singling the favorite in the first leg. I will try to beat Shade of Pale with a trio of others that also are likely to appreciate a contentious early pace. #4 Dreaming of Abba was caught wide throughout in the December 14 race Singalong Kayla almost stole on the front end. The move inside is an obvious positive. #5 Atmidnight moves up in class for trainer Michael Campbell and retains Junior Alvarado. She may not want to go this far, but should be a huge price making her worth including. #7 Mama Bella won from off the pace two-back at Gulfstream Park to break her maiden. She could be the one making the final move under Sonny Leon. Race 9: Grade: B- Main Ticket: 7 Chrome Ghost Backups: 4 Nutella Fella Forecast: This second-level allowance event marks the return of 2023 Hopeful (G1) winner #4 Nutella Fella. The Runhappy colt has only raced once since his upset victory at Saratoga as a 2YO and it came off a 9-month layoff in the Woody Stephens (G1). Once again, the Gary Contessa trainee got off to a slow start that afternoon, but outran his odds finishing third beaten less than two lengths at 20-1. Obviously, the 4YO has soundness concerns and this is an underwhelming spot to return in after coming back in a Grade 1 off the bench last June, but he is the obvious one to beat. That said, he is equally hard to fully trust as a 4-5-morning line favorite. I will try to beat him with #7 Chrome Ghost. The 5YO gelding has won 2 of 3 over this course with his lone loss coming last out when he finished an off the pace third at the same level. He holds the recency edge and should get the jump on the chalk under jockey Samy Camacho. Race 10: Grade: B- Main Ticket: 4 Denying; 5 A Western Yarn Backups: 1 Harpoon Harry Forecast: #10 Justintimeforwine is the likely pacesetter in this $16k claimer to close the card, but he draws outside and is likely to at least have to work a little in the early stages. #5 Western Yarn should find himself in a perfect stalking spot on the backstretch, much like he did last out against better for trainer Arnaud Delacour. He came under a ride early and was out-finished in that December 6 run over this course, but did encounter some traffic issues that cost him a placement. He gets some significant class relief here for a barn that is 28 for their last 86 for an ROI of $2.60 when dropping horses in for a tag for the initial time. He makes obvious sense. Hopefully less obvious to the public is #4 Denying. The Derek Ryan trainee has failed to hit the board in two starts at this level to kick off the meet, but 2 of his 3 career wins have come over this course. Plus, he should be set for his best third off the bench. #1 Harpoon Harry has seen better days, but clearly moved too early in a starter to close his 6YO season. He should find favorable forward position with jockey Edwin Gonzalez jumping back aboard. Gonzalez was aboard his most recent victory when he took the field gate-to-wire in a similar spot at Gulfstream Park last May. I will use him as a backup. Good luck in this week’s promo!
By Xpressbet
TOURNAMENT TIME $100 Gulfstream Feeder | details SCHEDULE NOTE Oaklawn, Santa Anita, Turfway | cancelled due to weather, air quality LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Fair Grounds | Race 3 | 2:45 pm ET Charles Town | Race 8 | 10:32 pm ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Jamie Ness | Aqueduct | 4 of 5 entrants 4-1 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Gulfstream Park | jockey Dylan Davis | 3 wins, 2 thirds from 9 mounts PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Frank Carulli: Gulfstream Park Pick 3 Play | Friday, January 10, 2025 Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Friday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Frank Carulli
The weather forecast calls for partly sunny skies with temperatures around 70 for this Friday’s card at Gulfstream Park. That’s comforting news for horseplayers, who have endured several track cancellations throughout the country since the start of the New Year. Warm to the task by playing the $1 Bet 3 on races 7-9. GP 7th race (3:35 p.m. EST) -- JUSTDENY is the lone entrant to win at 1-3/8 miles on the turf and holds a class and tactical edge over this entry-level allowance field. She swung 5-wide in upper stretch in the Grade 3 Jockey Club Oaks two back at Aqueduct but was no match for the closing kick of Beautiful Love, who got beat a length in the Breeders’ Cup Fillies & Mares Turf next out. She figures up close from the rail in a field that lacks quality speed and will carry the hopes of the Bet 3 ticket as a solo play. GP 8th race (4:05 p.m. EST) -- DENVER’S ALLEY dueled hard and drifted 5-wide before a trio of closers passed by in the stretch in a shorter sprint on the all-weather track. But the race came up gangbusters with three next-out winners, two runners-up and three 75-plus Beyer speed figures. She is a must use in her first start on conventional dirt, but she must avoid a battle with rail-sitting favorite STORMY MITOLE, who class drops and shortens up for leading trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. If the pace falls apart, BAH HUMBUG should be poised for a winning rally. She repelled a bid by recent allowance runner-up Quiet Confidence to win a $50,000 maiden claimer in her first start on dirt. She was no threat in a pair of follow-up allowances but fits well in here. GP 9th race (4:37 p.m. EST) -- LUSH LIPS was well-beaten in her U.S. debut on turf, but she returned 2-1/2 months later with a smashing victory on Gulfstream’s all-weather track, wearing blinkers for the first time. She broke sharply from post 11 to secure 2-path position, tracked the pace-setting favorite under a snug hold and simply took over on the far turn en route to a 7-length win. The only knock is that the runners she defeated were 8/0-0-0 in their next start. The good news is that she posted two bullet workouts on the lawn since then, the latest at 5F in 1:01, more than a second faster than 10 of 12 others that worked at Palm Meadows that day. Her uncoupled stablemate, SASHAY AWAY, starts fresh and gets Lasix after a dull allowance effort in which she was forced to check early and raced 7-wide at the top of the stretch. But she was made the favorite off a decent try in a Grade 2 stakes, when she rallied on the rail into stretch traffic and got beat 3 lengths by millionaire May Day Ready, the eventual runner-up in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. RAMSAY POND beat LUSH LIPS by 18-3/4 lengths to break her maiden, then rallied 3-wide on the turn and finished third to Grade 3-placed Civeta at 7-1/2F. CHEESE got up in the closing yards to break her maiden against Florida breds and reward her loyal backers in start number six. Her sire was a stakes-winning router and her dam was 2-3 in turf route races, so she should handle the added ground. Her trainer, Mark Casse, won five turf races at Gulfstream since Dec. 7 at odds of 7-1 or higher. ORIGAMI earned favoritism with a bumpy trip and 3-wide rally for third in her U.S. debut against speedy, Grade 2-placed winner Clock Tower and next-out Maiden Special Weight winner Scipio. Suggested $1 Ticket GP 7th Race: 1 GP 8th Race: 1, 2, 8 GP 9th Race: 3, 4, 5, 7, 8 Cost: $15