Another Thursday in October means another chance to take advantage of 1/ST BET and Xpressbet’s “Bonus Boonanza” promotion. I am sure most of you have registered and taken part already, but for those that have not I recommend doing so because this is as easy as it gets. Just bet $100+ at a select track on Tuesdays and Thursdays this month and earn a $10 bonus. Later today Laurel Park takes center stage for the first time. Here are a few horses I will build my day around this afternoon in Maryland.Race 3:My first play of the day comes in this MSW for 2YO fillies at 1 1/16-miles over the grass where I expect a big effort from #1 Jespah. The Godolphin homebred makes her second career start after debuting in a two-turn turf race at Delaware Park last month for veteran conditioner Michael Stidham. The daughter of Medaglia d’Oro was floated ridiculously wide into the first turn and from there was never able to save an inch of ground despite fighting to the wire to earn third beaten less than two lengths. Now, Jespah travels the short distance to Laurel Park where she draws the far more favorable rail with jockey Jevian Toledo taking over riding duties. I expect Toledo to use the inside draw to his advantage and give this young filly a far shorter journey from start-to-finish than she had at first asking. This very well could lead to her first career victory at a playable ML offering.Plays: #1 Jespah (5-1)Picks: 1-3-4Race 5:This optional claimer for fillies and mares at 5.5-furlongs over the grass kicks off the early Pick 5 where I like the chances of #2 Sin Boldly. The Maryland-bred makes her second start of the form cycle for trainer Suzanne Stettinius after failing to fire in a race taken off the grass on September 25. This was not too much of a surprise though since the daughter of Holy Boss competed over the main track last Halloween for the first time and posted a career low number regardless of the speed figure/performance rating used. Sin Boldly should certainly appreciate getting back to her preferred surface where she draws favorably along the inside and gets some class relief over a turf course she has had already had success over. Look for jockey Jerion Barbosa to work out a perfect pocket trip aboard this Gerar Stable filly that should be sitting on her best in her eighth lifetime start.Plays: #2 Sin Boldly (7-2 ML)Picks: 2-7-11Race 6:My final spot play on the Thursday Laurel slate comes in a wide-open MSW event at one-mile over the main track where I will try first-time starter #6 Dr. Evans. The daughter of Kantharos debuts for trainer Brittany Russell. Russell sports strong numbers in most categories, but her record with 2YOs debuting over this one-turn mile configuration is incredibly strong. Not only has she won with 4 of the last 7 runners she started, but over a five-year sample has clicked with 5 of 14 juveniles for a $2.99 ROI. The Kentucky-bred meets a field of mostly fillies that have yet to show a ton in the afternoons and lack upside, so I am hopeful she is ready to fire big at first asking with Brittany’s husband Sheldon jumping aboard.Play: #6 Dr. Evans (5-1 ML)Picks: 6-9-4

Each day during the 17-day Keeneland Fall Meet, I’ll spotlight the double-digit morning line prices that you’ll want to consider for your exotics plays. These are based on my top-3 choices in each race and will only appear if they’re in my mix and of significant odds.They are OFF THE TURF today at Keeneland, so Races 4,7,9 move to the main track. The Keeneland Turf Pick 3 wager still will be offered. It’s been difficult to deliver longshots in recent days with very formful results, but we’ll take our chances on this card with several runners who could bust that pattern.Race 1:#3 Suited and Booted (12-1 ML) – 2 turns may be a question, but pedigree for it sure is not. Good draw for the first time stretching out and fits the conditions of a starter allowance $30,000 to a T.Race 3:#9 Damascus Steel (20-1 ML) – In a race where I don’t trust the early speed to sustain while battling, this outside-drawn sprinter appears to have some finishing ability. I like that the blinkers come off while returning from a July freshening at Ellis, a prep locale that’s outperformed expectations this meet. Good workout tab for a very good layoff barn in Andrew McKeever.Race 5:#12 Beach Vibe (30-1 ML) – The success of Omaha Beach offspring on this Kee main track make me take extra time with every one of his offspring before saying no. The sprint-route-sprint pattern intrigues from an outside draw going 7 furlongs and note this one has been in open maiden special weights, not the auction price-restricted ones like this and the ones most of the competition has faced.Race 8:#3 Excellent (20-1 ML) – Everything Rudy Brisset sends out has ran credibly and this Colonial debut winner comes out of a circuit that’s proven to deliver excellent value the past 2 Fall Meets at Keeneland. Yes, Caribbean Life merits 4-5 favoritism and is the most likely winner, but a 20-1 on the back end of the exacta wouldn’t be a worst-case scenario.

The Lead:Saturday’s Woodbine card puts 3-year-olds in the spotlight with the Ontario Fashion for the fillies and the Grade 3 $175,000 Ontario Derby for the colts and geldings. They’ll go in back-to-back races, the Derby in Race 9 and the Fashion following suit. Horseplayers at Xpressbet and 1/ST BET be sure to register for an take part in a $4,000 Exacta-Thon for Saturday’s Woodbine card. Earn your share of $4,000 in bonus cash when you hit winning $2 minimum exactas in at least 4 races on the program.​​Field Depth:FINAL SCORE is a Grade 2 winner in the US, while BULL BY THE HORNS is Grade 3-placed stateside as well. It’s a pretty evenly matched group in terms of class, but BULL BY THE HORNS certainly has the strength of schedule ranking ahead of the rest.​Pace:There’s no run-off speed in this race, but expect FIRE AND WINE, TELEPORT, and FINAL SCORE to be interested early. Over 1-1/8 miles on synthetic, the pace should be fair to all styles.Our Eyes:Here are my horse-by-horse notes.1-FINAL SCORE: Keeneland’s Grade 2 Bourbon Stakes winner was a top turf runner in the US last year among the freshman class. But since missing the Breeders’ Cup and nearly all the spring, he’s been well-beaten in both the American Turf at Churchill, a wild Grade 1 comeback spot considering, as well as Woodbine’s grassy Toronto Cup in August. Blinkers go off, Lasix goes in and he remains shrouded in mystery if he’ll ever regain that early spark. Would need a big price to take that leap and gamble.2-TREVALLY: Stakes debut for rank outsider who has won maiden claiming and $25,000-level claiming races in his last 2 starts. Hard to recommend usage but his impact on the race depends on if he’s fast enough to track the leaders and help push the pace.3-FIRE AND WINE: Wire-to-wire upset winner of the Breeders Stakes to wrap the Triple Crown on turf. His 2 prior wins both were on synthetic so the surface switch here isn’t as big of a deal as is the likelihood this pace goes much faster than the sundial slow trip last out. Need-the-lead type will be hard-pressed to scoot clear this time and likely seals his fate.4-WESTERN WARRIOR: Manitoba Derby winner ran off 3 wins this spring at Oaklawn when with Mark Casse. Didn’t do much running last out from a wide draw when hung out in the Canadian Derby at Century Mile and has yet to try a synthetic surface. All-or-nothing record at 11: 4-0-0 and this feels more latter (nothing) than former (all).5-TELEPORT: Second of 2 Kevin Attard entrants with Pietro Moran named on a double call. This one has yet to go this far. Despite a long-distance European turf pedigree, he’s been flat late at middle distances. Blinkers are added which should sharpen him early, a style too similar to others here for me to embrace.6-BULL BY THE HORNS: Well-traveled Saffie Joseph Jr. trainee hit the regional Derby circuit in the US after a midpack attempt at the Preakness. He lacks early speed and needs things to go his way. His turn of foot on Tapeta at Turfway in the Rushaway looked better than his grinding dirt style, so I like the spot they picked. Consistency issues make him a tough trust.7-BRACHETTO: Marine winner didn’t fire at all when wide in the King’s Plate but acquitted himself with a rallying second in the Price of Wales. May be a touch better going shorter than the 9 furlongs here but isn’t without a chance and should offer value. He was an overlooked 13-1 when winning the Marine.8-CHAOS AGENT: Highly thought of Independence Hall colt was thrown into the Jeff Ruby after his debut win and a light, 3-for-4 campaign since February leaves him with ceiling still at this later stage of the year. Late-runner gets pace to close into and could catch some of these on the south side of their season objectives with a chance to score.9-MILITARY TIME: Prince of Wales winner on dirt has won 2 of 6 on the Woodbine Tapeta, so it’s a comfortable surface in which he’s had some success. The blinkers-on when second in the King’s Plate seem to have advanced his game and this Gun Runner colt is more than equipped for the distance. Major contender.Most Likely Exotics Contender:MILITARY TIME can handle the track and distance and doesn't have any noticeable downtick approaching.Best Longshot Contender:BULL BY THE HORNS was a double-digit price when third in the WV Derby and could impact the exotics off the pace.​​Sending it in ($100 bankroll):$80 win CHAOS AGENT. $10 exacta box CHAOS AGENT and MILITARY TIME.

EXTRA INCENTIVES20% Win Boost up to $20 | Keeneland | today’s win betsTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Keeneland Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSPick 6 | $20,386 | Keeneland | begins Race 3 | 2:04 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | $7,511 | Keeneland | Race 8 | 4:44 pm ETLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXKeeneland | Race 8 | 4:44 pm ETHorseshoe Indy | Race 8 | 5:55 pm ETDelta Downs | Race 8 | 7:56 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHTim Kreiser | Penn National | 5 of 6 entrants 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Presque Isle | trainer Brandon Kulp | 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third from 4 startersPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Keeneland 20% Win Boost Spot PlaysJeremy Plonk: Keeneland Daily Longshots to WatchFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer: best bets today in the Xpressbet member’s section

Racing returns later today for the final five-day week of the year at beautiful Keeneland Race Course. The eight-race card that kicks off at 1PM eastern not only includes a $20,386 carryover in the Pick 6, but also offers horseplayers another crack at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet’s Keeneland “Wins-Day” promotion. The no-brainer promo rewards our customers with a 20% bonus on Win bet payouts at Keeneland on Wednesday’s up to $20. Check out the promotional landing page for details and be sure to register if you have yet to do so. Here are a few horses I like most later today in the Lexington area.Race 3:The Pick 6 kicks off with this open $16k claimer at six-furlongs over the main track where there is a lot of early speed signed on. #4 Decatur Street, #5 Machine Gun Man, #6 West Coast Bull, #7 Eli’s Promise, and #9 Lucky Shot all like to find a favorable forward position. This should set things up perfectly for class dropping favorite #8 Show Time. The son of Into Mischief takes a huge drop-in class for trainer David Jacobson after failing badly as the 3-5-public choice in a starter allowance at Churchill Downs in late September. The effort was somewhat puzzling, but still would have been good enough to dispose of this modest bunch. The 7YO gelding has run well in both starts over this surface and has shown a nose for the wire evidenced by his 10 for 31-career record. He will be a short price, but should be very tough to deny assuming he does not regress even further off his last run. A single to kick off a very challenging Pick 6 sequence.Play: #8 Show Time (3-2 ML)Picks: 8-7-3Race 5:This MSW event for 2YO fillies at 6.5-furlongs over the main track is filled with mostly first-time starters and appears relatively wide-open. 7-2-ML favorite #8 Psalm Beauty makes some sense in her second career start after a late running runner-up effort at Saratoga to kick off her career, but there is a solid chance one of the debut runners is more talented and faster than this daughter of Jackie’s Warrior. I am hopeful it is #11 Maranello. The $2M Keeneland September ’25 purchase did not draw too favorably with the far outside in her first start since there is the chance she breaks outward towards the open space instead of sharply, but if not appears live at first asking. Trainer Brendan Walsh sports a 3-19-record with a $3.59 ROI with 2YO debut runners over the Keeneland dirt over the last five years. I am looking forward to seeing the pricey filly’s debut later this afternoon.Play: #11 Maranello (6-1 ML)Picks: 11-8-4Race 6:The pace should be contentious in this second-level allowance event at 1 1/16-miles over the Keeneland sod. This should bode well for #9 Ironsides. The son of Midshipman gets a class test after rattling off three wins in a row this summer for trainer Fausto Gutierrez. The class hike is always a question, but this guy is battle tested with 40-starts under his belt and victories at three different venues before heading west to the Blue Grass State for his third try over this surface. Gutierrez lures Jose Oritz on this 6YO gelding that lacks speed, but has been the most consistent off-the-pace runner in the field. Hopefully, the out-of-town form translates to Kentucky where there is no doubt that the competition gets tougher. The 8-1-ML offering seems fair though against a solid, but non-spectacular bunch.Play: #9 Ironsides (8-1 ML)Picks: 9-2-8

The Breeders’ Cup is just a few weeks away, and most of the expected participants have completed their final prep races. Many year-end championships will be decided on October 30 and 31 at Keeneland Race Course, largely due to what takes place in these marquee events.Below you’ll find my rankings for 13 of the Breeders Cup divisions, with the top four contenders listed in chronological order. Any changes made, whether they be additions / subtractions or new comments, are italicized.(NOTE: The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint will be omitted from the rankings. The division is constantly in flux and there are too many who will be cross-entered to make that list worthwhile.)CLASSIC1 - Forever Young (last week: 1)• Some may have been underwhelmed by his victory in the Jockey Club Gold Cup…but what else did you want from him? A 105 Beyer going 10F off a six-month layoff would seem to be a great jumping off point for a Classic defense.2 - Magnitude (last week: 2)• If you forgive his Saratoga form he’s done nothing wrong; ticks all the boxes at what’s likely a reasonable price assuming you can get past the dud in the Whitney3 - Sovereignty (last week: 3)• Has logged a couple of lackluster workouts at Saratoga…vibes don’t seem particularly high at the moment; would think a decision regarding his participation is imminent4 - Knightsbridge (last week: 4)• Devastated the G1 Pacific Classic, a field that was a G1 in name only; hard to find anyone to dispute his brilliance, but the question remains - can he reproduce that brilliance against the cream of the crop?DISTAFF1 - Nitrogen (last week: 1)• May not have been visually exceptional but plenty fast enough winning the Beldame; strictly the horse to beat in the Distaff2 - Fully Subscribed (last week: 2)• Secured her first career G1 in the Personal Ensign and followed it up with a decisive win in the G1 Spinster…peaking at the right time and may have what it takes to defeat Nitrogen in the Distaff3 - Splendora (last week: 3)• The wide margins of victory around two turns would lead you to believe she may well fit the Distaff configuration; have always wondered if she’s better around one turn, though, so maybe a defense of the FM Sprint is the better path? To be determined…4 - Regaled (last week: 4)• Probably a notch below the best in the division but finished third in the Distaff last year and enters this year off another blowout win in the Delaware Handicap; maybe underneathSPRINT1 - Englishman (last week: 1)• Looked no worse for wear in most recent half-mile workout at Keeneland, finishing in :47.4; assuming he continues to train forwardly he’ll be the shortest-priced favorite of the BC meet2 - T O Elvis (last week: 2)• Lost in the late odds hoopla on Derby Day was just how emphatic his win in the Churchill Downs was; may need to find a bit if Englishman holds his form - but may not need to find much3 - Built (last week: 3)• Always seemed like a one turn horse and has shown that to be the case in 2026; not much to knock about him given his recent form other than the obvious - his figs are miles behind those of Englishman…back on the work tab on 10/13 for the first time since 9/254 - Liam Smith (last week: 4)• Not often does a $50k claimer immediately become a Breeders’ Cup contender, but here we are…back-to-back 107 Beyers make him too fast to ignore - especially given his early pace; seems unlikely he can run with Englishman, but could be worst case scenario for the heavy chalk in terms of race shapeFM SPRINT1 - Kilwin (last week: 1)• Perhaps being a bit stubborn keeping her #1…didn’t think her second in the Ballerina was a bad effort, just ran into a horse for course and found herself way too far back early despite the hot pace; absolutely needs a step forward but hopefully that is still to come at Keeneland2 - Ways and Means (last week: 2)• Disrespectful to have her this far down after a blowout win in a G1 at Saratoga? Maybe…still think she’s a different animal at the Spa v. Other venues; likely goes as the favorite for the FM Sprint off the 104 Beyer in the Ballerina3 - Explora (last week: 4)• Came up just short as part of a three-horse photo in the Dogwood at CD; the figs aren’t quite there for her to be considered a top contender - but that can be said for most in this division aside from Ways and Means4 - R Disaster (last week: unranked)• Not convinced her best is as good as others, however the pace that she brings to the party is always dangerous; know her early but will she be able to put away other heat and still find late?TURF1 - Tiffany (last week: 1)• Devastating victory in the KYD Turf Cup in her U.S. debut; 107 Beyer earned in that race has been the benchmark for BC Turf success over the past decade - a likely win candidate at Keeneland2 - Ombudsman (last week: 2)• Serious horse and a real possibility to run here if the weather goes sideways for Champions Day at Ascot according to John Gosden via Nick Luck Daily…Gosden has kept him at 10F for majority of career in Europe but the 12F in the United States should be well within his scope; the likely favorite for the Turf assuming he comes for the party3 - Diamond Necklace (last week: 3)• Gave a good account of herself in the Arc when stepping up in trip; with the distance a non-issue, a trip to the BC Turf has been mentioned by Aidan O’Brien for the 3YO filly4 - Ethical Diamond (last week: 4)• Credible second behind the filly on top in the KYD Turf Cup; connections seem very pleased with the run as a means to an end heading to Keeneland - a legit threat to repeat in the BC TurfMILE1 - Blue Bolt (last week: 1)• Another race, another G1 victory for the fantastic filly - this one at Newmarket in the Sun Chariot; already qualified for the FM Turf and it sounds like a run at Keeneland is in the cards…the question is: the FM Turf or the Mile against the males?2 - Notable Speech (last week: 2)• Another G1 victory to his resume in the Woodbine Mile, running down Deterministic - who had everything his way; a major threat to repeat in the BC Mile, even if his WO Mile “only” earned a 101 Beyer3 - Lake Forest (last week: 3)• Second in the Coolmore Turf Mile at Keeneland behind Rhetorical but had a no-win trip given the lack of pace / lack of running room; should get a more favorable setup in the BC Mile for trainer William Haggas4 - Rhetorical (last week: 4)• Winner of the Coolmore Turf Mile for the second consecutive year; took advantage of glacial pace but kicked home like a good thing…proven over the Keeneland turf and versatile running style should give him a good chanceFM TURF1 - Precise (last week: 1)• Big effort when second in the Prix de l’Opera at 10F at Longchamp behind Miss Scott; winner doesn’t sound likely to come, so runner-up on the cutback to 9.5F would be a handful for Aidan O’Brien2 - Stellify (last week: 3)• An all or nothing type at this point in her career…when she’s part of the early running, she’s very good; decimated a field in the Ladies Marathon at KYD, a course which she’s 3-for-3 over3 - Kathynmarissa (last week: 4)• Added another graded stakes victory to the resume in the Flower Bowl at 10F; 9.5F distance of this race hits her right between the eyes and trainer Chad Brown has had success in this event on numerous occasions…too sharp to ignore4 - Pink Panthera (last week: unranked)• Winless since May but a string of second and third-place efforts behind quality fillies and mares makes her a contender against this bunch; no real excuse when third behind Precise in the l’Opera but still only a length behind herTURF SPRINT1 - Cy Fair (last week: 1)• Nothing to be gleaned from her off the board effort at KYD; buried on the rail for duration of the run…draw a line through the race - her best is still elite2 - Bacio (last week: 2)• Devastating winning the G1 Nunthorpe at York for Wesley Ward over a highly-accomplished group; no fault with anyone saying he’s clearly tops, just still believe in the filly at #1’s ability3 - Joe Shiesty (last week: 3)• Razor-sharp sprinter is also as gutsy as they come, as seen by his win in the Woodford at Keeneland; other pace will be a concern for him since he’s one-way speed, but he loves a fight4 - Shisospicy (last week: 4)• Difficult to say what to expect from her with the nonexistent campaign but know her best is as good as anyone’sDIRT MILE1 - Knightsbridge (last week: 1)• Sounds as though it’s as simple as: if Sovereignty runs in the Classic, Knightsbridge to the Dirt Mile…no Sovereignty in the Classic - Knightsbridge to the Classic2 - Napoleon Solo (last week: 2)• Loses nothing in defeat finishing a gallant second in the Travers; Classic remains an option for the connections, especially after flashy drill at Belmont Park3 - The Puma (last week: 3)• Connections probably wanting to give the Classic a go but not sure his best is good enough to run with the big boys just yet; blinkers certainly did the trick and the middle move he unleashed would play wonderfully in a truly run mile at Keeneland4 - Further Ado (last week: 4)• Kicked on well at the end of the PA Derby but couldn’t run down The Puma; the record at Keeneland sticks out like a sore thumb - in a good way; can’t imagine the connections are in a rush to try the Classic with him but another who would fit wonderfully in the Dirt MileJUVENILE1 - Hughes (last week: 1)• Hard to knock a horse who is 4-for-4 with winning margins of 6L, 7+L, 4+L, and 6L at distances of 5F, 6F, 7F, and 8.5F; took a meaningful step forward on the fig scale and establishes himself as the favorite for this race with the absence of U.S.S. Valor2 - Salahudin (last week: 2)• Almost the antithesis of a typical Baffert 2YO - sluggish out of the gate, settles before finding stride and finishing while still showing greenness; may be more of a 3YO prospect but continues to improve…as good a 2YO male crop as we’ve seen in a while3 - American History (last week: 3)• Took advantage of pace setup to win Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland; not the most visually impressive but seems like he’s learning on the job…needs a meaningful step forward to get the job done in the Breeders’ Cup (or another obscene pace setup)4 - Coach Pope (last week: 4)• Caught up in a wicked pace in the Breeders’ Futurity; finished willingly, albeit slowly, at the end of two-turn debut…dynamics almost certainly did him in but he’s likely to catch another swift pace in the Breeders’ CupJUVENILE FILLIES1 - Emphatic (last week: 1)• Exceptional in G1 Alcibiades victory at Keeneland for Brendan Walsh; distance is her friend and she’s already defeated a serious filly in Summer Starlet…the one to beat on BC Friday2 - Summer Starlet (last week: 2)• Ran giant in Alcibiades defeat; nothing to knock other than she’s going to run into the Alcibiades winner again in the BC Juvenile Fillies3 - Domain Expansion (last week: 3)• Visually awesome winning the Oak Leaf at Santa Anita in dirt debut for Leonard Powell; may not have beaten the best company but could not have looked more impressive…should be a square price in the BC given the other outfits involved in this race, too4 - Miss Monica (last week: 4)• Paired up 87 Beyers winning G1 DMR Debutante for Baffert; geared down for final 100 yards and still galloped out with interest…think she’ll improve around two-turns, tooJUVENILE TURF1 - How’s Al Today (last week: 1)• Ran twice at the Kentucky Downs meeting, including a stakes score which resulted in a 94 Beyer Speed Figure; division historically dominated by Euros but this one looks like he may be the goods…form flattered when 3rd place finisher in KYD Juvenile Mile (who was 5+L behind Al) came back to win Bourbon at Keeneland2 - Folsom Blues (last week: 2)• Beaten at odds-on in Jean-Luc Lagard�re at Longchamp over 7F; didn’t seem to be shortening at the end…simply beaten by a better runner on the day - would be an obvious threat in the BC Juvenile Turf should he come3 - Al Hudaiba (last week: 4)• Better than the final margin in the G1 Summer would suggest given he took a right-hand turn down the stretch; Charlie Appleby / Godolphin have played this tune successfully in the past, would be no surprise to see them do it again4 - Haffner (last week: unranked)• Still a bit green but showcased his talent when winning the Royal Lodge at Newmarket; for what it’s worth…was beaten a country mile in the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes by Folsom Blues in SeptemberJUVENILE FILLIES TURF1 - Sun Goddess (last week: 1)• Must be special if Aidan O’Brien is referring to her as a “freak”; smashed in the Moyglare, and post race comments would suggest a run in the Cheveley Park followed by a try in the Breeders’ Cup could be on offer…also worth noting she thumped Folsom Blues at The Curragh in August2 - Amusingly (last week: unranked)• Clearly best when winning the Jean-Luc Lagard�re at Longchamp over Folsom Blues; her participation could set the stage for a heavyweight showdown with Sun Goddess3 - Domestic Agenda (last week: 2)• Devastating win in the Miss Grillo at Belmont Park; wide trip in the clear and lengthened down the lane, all while swapping leads and showing a bit of greenness…Chad Brown has won this race six times4 - Vanta (last week: 4)• Another impressive win, this time in the Surfer Girl at Santa Anita; as mentioned before - the waters get considerably deeper taking on international competition + Chad’s filly

Each day during the 17-day Keeneland Fall Meet, I’ll spotlight the double-digit morning line prices that you’ll want to consider for your exotics plays. These are based on my top-3 choices in each race and will only appear if they’re in my mix and of significant odds.Week 3 of the Fall Meet gets underway with an 8-race card. Get up to $20 in bonus money with a 20% Win Bet Boost payout at Keeneland on Wednesdays with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet.Race 2:#4 Irish Pub (20-1 ML) – Perfectly spaced workout tab for the return from a long break. Trainer Ed Moger Jr. is highly profitable in these long return ventures like this and with second career starts. She’ll get Lasix for the first time vs. a field with an 0-8 favorite and debuting second choice in the morning line.Race 4:#6 Princess Em Too (10-1 ML) – The Del Mar, Santa Anita and Churchill turf form isn’t bad for this 4-year-old who faces several 3-year-olds in maiden company. Her recent form is soiled by Kentucky Downs and dirt tries. Always give these Not This Time offspring a long look on the Keeneland turf given success of their brethren.Race 7:#2 Susan’s Boy (20-1 ML) – Want to see Luis Saez aggressive from the inside in this 1-1/16 miles stretch-out for a Churchill 1-turn miler. Blinkers go on for the first try at Keeneland and the Candy Rides long have shown affinity for this surface.

EXTRA INCENTIVESBet $100, Get $10 | Finger Lakes | today’s racesNOTABLE CARRYOVERSMandatory Payout Pick 5 | $62,991 | Parx | begins Race 6 | 2:55 pm ETKEY RACESParx | Race 9 | 4:16 pm ET | Commonwealth Sire StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXFort Erie | Race 7 | 3:03 pm ETHorseshoe Indy | Race 8 | 5:47 pm ETMountaineer | Race 1 | 7:00 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHJay Bernardini | Mountaineer | 6 of 7 entrants 5-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Santa Anita | trainer Doug O’Neill | 3 wins from 7 startersYesterday | Sanita Anita | left $54,223 pick 6 carryover for Friday's cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Finger Lakes Bet $100, Get $10 Key PlaysFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer: best bets today in the Xpressbet member’s section