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6.23.2024:

Jeff Siegel: National Best Plays | Sunday, June 23, 2024

_____________________________________________________________________________ CHURCHILL DOWNS – FOURTH RACE – POST: 2:13 ET BEST PLAY: 10-FLOODLITES (3-1) Forecast: The first timer Floodlights looks intriguing in this four and one-half furlong main track juvenile dash, and in a wide open, unclassified field the son of City of Light looks like a live item, the extreme outside draw notwithstanding. He shows just two published works but the first one was a bullet half mile breeze at Keeneland (:47 flat from the gate) that was the fastest of 35 for the distance and the second a :51 2 half mile breeze that we’ll assume was nothing more than gallop. From the Wesley Ward barn, whose stats with debut runners always is outstanding, this promising colt gets to load last and hopefully breaks first and if can do that he’ll offer good wagering value at or near his morning line of 3-1. ______________________________________________________________________________ BELMONT AT THE BIG A – FOURTH RACE – POST: 2:35 ET BEST PLAY: 2-PIVOTAL MOMENT (7/2) Forecast: This maiden special weight turf sprint for juveniles is loaded with question marks, but here is what we do know: Pivotal Moment has trained like a stone runner and will be very difficult to outrun if he performs up to expectations. The son of Bolt d’Oro brought $330,000 at the OBS April sale after smoking a furlong in 9 3/5 seconds without much urging at all and has done everything right in recent weeks since joining the Christophe Clement barn. They could very well be others in the lineup that are equally talented (we haven’t seen most of them) but our top pick is a very good athlete with action that is quick and smooth, so if he breaks running it would not surprise us if he made the running and be long gone. Listed at 7/2 on the morning line and with the stable’s “go to” rider J. Rosario getting the call, let’s make him a win play and rolling exotic key. ______________________________________________________________________________

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6.23.2024:

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Sunday, June 23, 2024

Northfield Park begins the week with a 15-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool with a 14% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 11 (9:40 PM EST) 2-Nashing Hill (9/5)-The 5-year-old ships in from Scioto, doesn't make many starts at Nfld and hasn't taken a picture there (3-0-0-0). On paper should be the winner but doesn't have big gate speed and it might be best to not try to wire the field. Using but can't completely trust. 6-Back In My Day (5-1)-The Roegner trainee drops, but has won and cashed checks versus Open company at Nfld. Will respect chances as the pace could be lively. Needs a sharp steer, if so, can grind its way around and be in position to tackle the leader down the lane. Race 12 (10:02 PM EST) 1-Big Bad Caviar (5/2)-Has had limited success facing Open Handicap company and now drops. Will probably look to land on the point and not look back. That trip and outcome could happen but not might not be automatic at this class. 3-Son Of Sona (12-1)-Similar to #1, drops from facing Open Handicap competition but this veteran shows a recent win at that level. Best to respect, Keith Kash could work a cozy trip with this post draw and should be a healthy price. 4-Toes In The Water (9/2)-Davis Jr will do the steering, same as last time when she broke at the start. That's a positive in my view and also bumps up here. Stepping up after breaking stride and finishing last is not common. But instead of being suspicious, my play will be to use, as Tye Loy the conditioner, also owns a chunk. Race 13 (10:24 PM EST) 3-Risenshine Seaside (7/2)-This Burke 5-year-old hasn't had the same success as last year but should be a major player tonight. Ronnie Wrenn steers, he is batting 34% winners on Burke entries and should be forwardly placed off the gate. 5-Liteningonthebeach (5/2)-This trainer driver combo (Bercury-Merriman) is combining for 27% winners and the 4-year-old ships in from the Meadows. Should be player with this post draw and may not have to work too hard to land on the point. This was Merriman's choice over #2 and needs to conserve enough gas early on to be there at the wire. Race 14 (10:46 PM EST) 1-Incredible Man (1/1)-Finished 2nd at 6/5 and drops again in search of a win. Merriman gets the call and may have met a beatable field. Hard to leave off the ticket and will use despite a tiny price. 2-The Downtown Bus (7-1)-East coast invader had a needed start on 6-14 and put in a no-move mile from the 8-hole. Will take a swing the 9-year-old is here for a purpose and will look for an improved effort in the 2nd start in town. Should have enough gate speed for Kurt Sugg to work a cozy trip. 9-Record Machine (10-1)-This veteran has hit the board in 48% of its Nfld races and has taken 14 pictures. Drops and Chris Lems could get off the gate in good shape as the inside pair should be leaving. Could pop at a price if lands a close-up seat. $1.00 Late Pick 2,6/1,3,4/3,5/1,2,9 Total Bet=$36 Check me out on Twitter!

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6.23.2024:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Sunday, June 23, 2024

NOTABLE CARRYOVERS Jackpot Pick 6 | $261,130 | Churchill Downs | begins Race 4 | 2:13 pm ET Jackpot Pick 6 | $153,096 | Monmouth Park | begins Race 5 | 2:50 pm ET Super Hi 5 | $11,216 | Gulfstream Park | Race 11 | 6:03 pm ET Mandatory Payout Super Hi 5 | $347,852 | Woodbine | Race 10 | 6:12 pm ET Pick 6 | $13,328 | Los Alamitos (AQHA) | begins Race 3 | 10:01 pm ET 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY LAUREL PARK WINNER Laurel Park | Race 9 | 4:06 pm ET | #10 Stressed (29%) KEY RACES Belmont at the Big A | Race 8 | 4:42 pm ET | Dancing Renee Stakes Monmouth | Race 9 | 4:53 pm ET | Tale of the Cat Stakes Hawthorne | Race 5 | 7:02 pm ET | Buck’s Boy Stakes Emerald Downs | Race 8 | 8:10 pm ET | Budweiser Stakes LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Laurel Park | Race 1 | 12:25 pm ET Belmont at the Big A | Race 3 | 2:03 pm ET Woodbine | Race 10 | 6:12 pm ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Justin Evans | Emerald Downs | 7 of 9 entrants 9-2 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Churchill Downs | jockey Jose Ortiz | 3 wins, 1 second, 1 third from 10 mounts PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Jeff Siegel: National Best Plays | Sunday, June 23, 2024 Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Sunday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section

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6.22.2024:

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis | Saturday, June 22, 2024

Hoosier Park has a 12-race card, and the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9. The sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 9 (9:56PM ET) 5-Adashious Hanover (3-1)-Went to the half in 53.4 and the hot pace took its toll. Trace Tetrick is back and fits with this crew. Does have some gaps between starts but should be a main player if brings a top effort. 7-Elektra A (9/2)-Has enough gate speed to get a good early seat and the pace should be lively. If this mare is in striking range Atlee Bender can use one nice move to roll by down the lane. Race 10 (10:18PM ET) 4-Swingforthefences (4-1)-Comes off a dull try at this class but now comes back in sequence and Tetrick gets the call. Will look for a strong try and the Cullipher barn is posting 23% winners over the last 30 days. 7-Niko Man (7/2)-Niko hasn't had a great year, not as successful as 2024. Will use anticipating the price to be better than the morning line. Has beaten this kind before and does win its share at HoP (16-5-2-0). Looking for a wake-up call at a solid price. Race 11 (10:40PM ET) 2-Utopia Blue Chip (3-1)-Jumps up after drawing off by 4 lengths in 150.3. Went the back half in 55.1 and made every call a winning one. Looked great in the 3rd start since 10-29. Will look for another strong try and could double up with a smooth trip. 3-Maybemabel (12-1)-Mabel has won 9 of 32 at HoP, came a close 3rd last week and stopped the clock in 151.3. Brandon Bates knows this mare and she can fly late in the mile. Looking for a good price and to be in striking range at the top of the lane. Race 12 >(11:02PM ET) 1-It's Corona Time (9/2)-Simply put this Burke trainee needs to improve, and that is possible versus this bunch. Tetrick can work a suck-around trip and be in the mix at the wire. 6-Bombay Parkway (6-1)-Hasn't won at HoP in 9 tries. Now, gets class relief and post relief plus Bates sticks. Could surprise at a price if within reach of the leaders at the top of the stretch. My $1.00 Late Pick 4 Ticket: 5,7/4,7/2,3/1,6 Total Bet=$16 Check me out on Twitter!

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6.22.2024:

Jeff Siegel’s National Best Plays | Saturday, June 22, 2024

CHURCHILL DOWNS – SECOND RACE – POST: 1:14PM ET BEST PLAY: 1-NEVEERWALKALONE (BRZ) (10-1) Forecast: The multiple Group-1 winning South American invader Neverwalkalone (Brz) makes her U.S. debut in this third level allowance event over a mile on grass in what appears to be an ideal spot to verify the strength of her Southern Hemisphere credentials. The Brazilian-bred filly, foaled in August of 2020 and therefore not actually four yet, should have no issue facing older foes under the assumption that her Argentine form can be taken at face value. A versatile and talented granddaughter of Sunday Silence, she has won quality races on both dirt and turf while showcasing a devasting late kick, and as a first time Lasix user from a favorable rail post, the Paulo Lobo-trained import looks good to go in her first outing since last September. A series of sharp workouts (three of her last four drills have been “bullets”) should have her fit and ready, so at or near her morning line of 10-1 she offers extreme value in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics. THISTLEDOWN – THIRTEENTH RACE – POST: 6:30PM ET BEST PLAY: 9-BATTEN DOWN (6-1) Forecast: His connections toyed with the idea of moving Batten Down all the way up to the Belmont Stakes-G1 following a dominating, mile and one quarter maiden win at Churchill Downs in late April but ultimately decided on to take one step at a time, and this year’s edition of the $500,000 Ohio Derby-G3 indeed fits the timeline perfectly. The full brother to Wood Memorial S.-G2 winner and twice Classic-placed Tacitus produced a career top 93 Beyer Speed Figure in his nearly nine length romp, and with another forward move today he should take this class jump in stride. The son of Tapit has shown he can win on the lead or from a pressing position, so depending upon the race flow regular rider J. Alvarado can pick a spot and choose his strategy. What he may lack in experience he certainly should make up for in talent, so at a juicy 8-1 on the morning line the Bill Mott-trained colt presents a superior wagering opportunity. CANTERBURY PARK – EIGHTH RACE – POST 8:40PM CT BEST PLAY: 6-BAXLEY (3-1) Forecast: An impressive series of recent workouts provides strong indication that the quick sprinter Baxley has retained all of his juvenile speed for high percentage connections and therefore is the one to beat in this entry level allowance abbreviated dash. A facile first out maiden winner last summer at Hawthorne by more than five lengths, the son of KIimt then performed better than looked (a troubled fifth) facing a much stronger field in Kentucky in his next outing, so in his first start since October the Larry Rivelli-trained sophomore should simply outclass today’s field. In that Keeneland allowance race, the expensive ($235,000) OBS April sale graduate missed the break, raced in a box just off the very quick pace and then stayed on as best he could behind stakes quality performers Normandy Hero and Valentine Candy in a much better than looked outing. Based on his numbers from last year, he’s simply faster than this group, so if you can get close to his morning line of 3-1, you should probably take it.

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6.22.2024:

1/ST POST: Why Play Today? Saturday, June 22, 2024

EXTRA INCENTIVES 20% Exacta Boost at Royal Ascot 2M Point Hit & Split for Canterbury’s ‘Northern Stars’ Turf Festival Bet $100+, Get a $10 Bonus on Ohio Derby Day TOURNAMENT TIME SAT//JUN 22 | $300 Canterbury “Northern Stars Turf Festival” Challenge | Register Now NOTABLE CARRYOVERS MANDATORY PAYOUT | Pick 6 | $520,102 | Gulfstream Park | Begins in Race 5 | 2:55PM ET 1/ST BET AI MOST LIKELY WINNER Laurel | Race 8 | 4:06PM ET | #4 WORKISLIFE (30%) KEY RACES Royal Ascot | Race 1 | 9:30AM ET | Chesham S. Royal Ascot | Race 2 | 10:05AM ET | Hardwicke S. (G2) Royal Ascot | Race 3 | 10:45AM ET | The Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee S. (G1) Royal Ascot | Race 4 | 11:25AM ET | Jersey S. (G3) Royal Ascot | Race 5 | 12:05PM ET | Workingham H. Royal Ascot | Race 6 | 12:40PM ET | Golden Gates H. Royal Ascot | Race 7 | 1:15PM ET | Queen Alexandra S. LONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIX Laurel Park | Race 2 | 12:59PM ET Belmont at the Big A | Race 11 | 5:44PM ET Hawthorne | Race 8 | 6:26PM ET TRAINERS TO WATCH Mark Casse | 12 of 20 entrants 5-1 or less morning line DID YOU SEE? Yesterday | Woodbine | Superfecta in Race 6 paid $26,648.10 PUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAM Scott Shapiro: Chicago Stakes Day Pick 5 | Saturday, June 22, 2024 Scott Shapiro: $100 Ohio Derby Day Wagering Strategy Canterbury ‘Northern Stars’ Turf Festival Late Pick 5 Ticket Jeff Siegel’s Race of the Week: Lady Canterbury Stakes Royal Ascot Tips & Preview | Saturday, June 22, 2024 Frank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer Saturday best bets available in Xpressbet.com member’s section.

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6.21.2024:

Royal Ascot Tips & Preview | Saturday, June 22, 2024

Lineup 9:30AM ET | Chesham S. 10:05AM ET | Hardwicke S. (Gr II) 10:45AM ET | Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee S. (Gr I) 11:25AM ET | Jersey S. (Gr III) 12:05PM ET | Wokingham S. 12:40PM ET | Golden Gates S. 1:15PM ET | Queen Alexandra S. Picks Royal Ascot Day 5 Preview & Pick Sheet from UK’s At the Races Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Video Preview Wokingham Stakes Video Preview Setting the Scene Royal Ascot comes to a close Saturday morning in the States, with one more seven-race card. The day’s feature is the Gr I Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee (Race 3), which attracted a star field of sprinters. #4 KINROSS (4/1) is a familiar face in America, having finished third in the ’22 BC Mile behind Modern Games. He’s been off since last October and this distance may not be his best. #3 KHAADEM (20/1) was a shocking 80/1 winner of this race last year, but he is winless since and would be similarly shocking this year. In other news, America’s final hope of the meet comes in the Gr II Hardwicke (Race 2) – read more about that below – and the meeting wraps up with the 2 3/4-mile Queen Alexandra, where #2 DAWN RISING (2/1) goes for back-to-back victories after taking last year’s edition at 2/1 odds. American Runners America is down to its final hope at Royal Ascot, with #9 MISSED THE CUT (7/1) taking a swing in the Gr II Hardwicke for trainer John Sadler. MISSED THE CUT, a son of Quality Road, began his career in the UK but has been US-based since last spring. His marquee victories include the Gr III San Marcos and Gr III San Luis Rey at Santa Anita, and he was most recently second in the Gr II Elkhorn at Keeneland. He should relish this distance, but in order to achieve Ascot glory he’ll need to defeat Aidan O’Brien’s Gr I winner, #2 CONTINUOUS (3/2), and John Gosden’s recent Gr III hero, #8 MIDDLE EARTH (5/2). The Hardwicke is Race 2, at 10:05AM ET. 20% Exacta Winnings Boost Xpressbet and 1/ST BET customers receive a 20% Exacta Winnings Boost throughout the five days of Royal Ascot. To participate, simply log in, register for free and you’ll earn a 20% Boost on your Exacta winnings throughout the meet, up to $50 per player, per day. More information .

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6.21.2024:

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis | Friday, June 21, 2024

Yonkers Raceway has a 12-race card featuring Eliminations for the Yonkers Trot and Messenger Pace. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track. Race 9 (9:40PM ET) 1-Beach Cowgirl (5/2)-Comes off a good try at this level after being off 3 weeks. George Brennan steers again for the Burke barn and should have enough gate speed to be no worse than in the pocket off the gate. 4-Mandon'tforget Me(7/2)-Winner of 3 straight, the last at this level off a cozy trip. Gets a new set of hands in Matt Kakaley, and he can provide another efficient trip. 5-Silk Cloud A (6-1)-Had an even effort on an off-track and Jordan Stratton returns tonight. That pilot has had success with the mare. Should offer a solid price, could stalk, and then tackle the leader. Race 10 (10:00PM ET) 4-True Blue Hanover (5/2)-Had an even effort leaving from post 6 on an off-track The previous 2 races were sharp efforts, and took a picture on 5-24. Holland should have the pedal down and could be no worse than in the pocket when the wings fold. 5-Rockn Philly (8-1)-Gets needed class relief, might be overlooked and Tyler Buter needs to find a live cover flow. If that happens, the veteran mare could win for the 4th time in 13 starts this year. Race 11 (10:20PM ET) 3-Tesla Power (8-1)-Ships in from M1 and appears to be a fit with this crew. Has 1/2-mile track experience and did well at Fhld. Has some gate speed and should look to race at the top of the stack. Will take a swing in a race without a standout. 7-Commander Cathy (9/2)-Cathy is 0-18 and normally that is reason to avoid. But this field has 2 others that are winless, and the rest usually avoid cameras. Most of the losses are versus tougher and did race better last week versus this kind, so will look for the upswing to continue. Race 12 (10:40PM ET) 2-Late For Dinner (7/2)-Raced evenly versus better and now drops. This will be the 2nd start on Lasix and was off 3-weeks between races. Looking for a better effort in the 2nd start at Yonkers. 3-My Red Sea (9/5)-Kakaley steers the Jenn B entry and raced better than the line looked in last. Went the back-half in 55.4 and is another who could improve as this is the 3rd start off the bench. My $1.00 Late Pick 4 Ticket: 1,4,5/4,5/3,7/2,3 Total Bet=$24 Check me out on Twitter!

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