By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVES10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Summer Sweep 5 (Gulfstream/Horseshoe Indy)1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Gulfstream | $3 Players Late Pick 31 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Assiniboia Downs | late pick 4SPECIAL WAGERSSummer Sweep Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 6-7-8, Horseshoe Indy Races 3-4--$1 minimum, 15% takeout, no CAWNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 6 | Thistledown | $222,725 | begins Race 3 | 1:50 pm ETJackpot Pick 5 | Assiniboia Downs | $142,427 | begins Race 3 | 9:25 pm ETKEY RACESAssiniboia Downs | Race 1 | 8:30 pm ET | Anderson StakesLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXGulfstream | Race 6 | 2:54 pm ETPresque Isle Downs | Race 8 | 6:39 pm ETFort Erie | Race 7 | 7:18 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHSaffie Joseph Jr. | Gulfstream | 4 of 5 entrants 3-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Saratoga | field of 10 drawn for Saturday’s Travers, led by Golden Tempo, Renegade, Napoleon SoloPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Al CImaglia
Yonkers Raceway starts the week with a 10-race card. The $1.00 Pick 5 rolls in Race 5, and it has a $10,000 guaranteed pool. The Spot Plays could be played to win or in gimmicks and they are in Race 3, Race 4, and Race 6. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 3 (7:25 PM EDT)6-Ever Hoping A (3-1)-Beat this kind going gate to wire leaving from post 3 at 4/5. Should offer a better price here starting further out. Will look for a fair price with Jason Bartlett at the controls and he posts 36% winners for the Dilloian barn. Will respect chances to double up, the pedal will be down and has the gate speed to land on the point.Race 4 (7:45 PM EDT)3-Captinhammerhead A (9/2)-Sweet Beach Life (7) has owned this kind with 6 wins, plus snagged one a step below making it 7 straight. But someone has to end the spell and will lean toward the Scott Blackler veteran who ships in from M1. Raced well to finish 2nd in last and has hit the board in 4 of 5 at Yonkers with 2 pictures. Bartlett takes the lines and that shouldn't hurt. Has the gate speed to land a pocket ride behind the favorite. That trip could be good enough to win this at a square price.Race 6 (8:25 PM EDT)7-Effingham (6-1)-M1 shipper gets a ++ DC with Bartlett getting the nod. Makes its YR debut and should offer a solid price. Will use on the change in pilots and hopefully won't be bet hard. Bartlett does good work for the Aaron Lambert barn winning 5 of 8.Check me out on X!
By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVES10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Summer Sweep 5 (Gulfstream/Woodbine)SCHEDULE NOTESEllis Park | closing day of meetSPECIAL WAGERSSummer Sweep Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 6-7-8, Woodbine Races 6-7--$1 minimum, 15% takeout, no CAWTOURNAMENT TIME$100 Saratoga Feeder | details$80 Del Mar Feeder | details$40 Canterbury Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSSuper Hi 5 | Ellis Park | $7,820 | Race 1 | 12:50 pm ETPick 6 | Colonial Downs | $8,140 | Race 3 | 1:28 pm ETMandatory Payout Pick 6 | Ellis Park | $57,317 | begins Race 4 | 2:16 pm ETSuper Hi 5 | Gulfstream Park | $10,507 | Race 9 | 4:43 pm ETJackpot Pick 5 | Prairie Meadows | $67,512 | begins Race 7 | 7:33 pm ETPick 6 | Los Alamitos | $9,987 | begins Race 4 | 11:04 pm ETKEY RACESMonmouth | Race 3 | 1:52 pm ET | NJ Breeders HandicapMonmouth | Race 5 | 2:48 pm ET | Charles Hesse HandicapEllis Park | Race 8 | 4:12 pm ET | Ellis Park Turf StakesMonmouth | Race 8 | 4:22 pm ET | Elven North HandicapSaratoga | Race 9 | 5:55 pm ET | Albany StakesDel Mar | Race 7 | 8:18 pm ET | Del Mar DerbyLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXEllis Park | Race 7 | 3:42 pm ETSaratoga | Race 10 | 6:30 pm ETDel Mar | Race 9 | 9:24 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHPeter Miller | Del Mar| 4 of 6 entrants 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Colonial Downs | favorites won 7 of 11 races on the cardPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Saratoga Spot PlaysJeremy Plonk: Del Mar Spot PlaysJeremy Plonk: Race of the Week - Del Mar DerbyBrian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Scott Shapiro
The racing week at Saratoga concludes later this afternoon with a ten-race card that gets rolling at 1:10 PM eastern. The card is led by the $200k Albany Stakes for NY-bred 3YOs at 1 1/8-miles over the main track. Here are the horses I like most over the course of the day.Race 2:My first play comes in this MSW event for 2YOs traveling 1 1/16-miles over the Inner Turf where trainer Mark Casse holds a strong 1-2-punch with 8-5-ML favorite #2 And the Runner Is and 5-2-second choice #1 Harbaugh. Both ran second in their first two-turn turf test last month. Of the duo, I prefer Harbaugh. The Not This Time colt loved the move to the grass on July 26 after debuting in a dirt sprint just 15 days earlier. He ran well that day to finish second, but was a bit too close in a race where the eventual winner was able to come from behind and out finish this D J Stable colt. I do not expect the $450k OBS April 26 purchase to get caught in the lane later this afternoon.Play: #1 Harbaugh (5-2 ML)Picks: 1-3-2Race 3:Up next is this first-level allowance at six-furlongs over the main track where there almost has to be a contentious pace in the early stages since most runners in this spot want to be forwardly placed. I am expecting Flavien Prat to take advantage with the lightly-raced #7 Tennessee Belle. The daughter of Yaupon has not raced since a 2YO when she made three starts under the care of trainer John Ortiz, including a dominant win over this surface in her second start after a runner-up finish to Tommy Jo to kick off her career. Her best races have been on the front end, but the outside draw and the presence of Prat lead to me believe she will do her best to play the break and probably end up finding a favorable tracking position from her outside draw. She has to prove herself again off the layoff, but should improve under the care of Hall of Famer Todd Pletcher. Tennessee Belle comes in off a steady series of local drills since returning to the work tab in early July. Hopefully, she is ready to fire big off the bench.Play: #7 Tennessee Belle (2-1 ML)Picks: 7-3-1Race 9: AlbanyWithers winner #6 Talk to Me Jimmy was made the understandable 8-5-ML favorite by oddsmaker David Aragona after his win last out in the New York Derby at Finger Lakes. The son of Modernist is likely to make the lead under jockey Manny Franco, but whether he finishes the deal is the question. I will hope he gets leg-weary late in his first start over the Saratoga main track and it is undefeated #4 Onebigbeautifulbill that handles his first two-turn test and runs him down late. The son of Tiz the Law has had a great start to his career at the Spa rattling off two wins in one-turn races for trainer Brad Cox. Last time out, he took advantage of a perfect pocket trip to run down #1 Tricky Business in the final strides, but I expect him to get another good trip and relish the stretch out to nine-furlongs.Play: #4 Onebigbeautifulbill (3-1 ML)Picks: 4-6-7
By Jeremy Plonk
Del Mar Derby Day wraps Week 6 of the summer stand and I’ve got a quartet of spot plays around the main event with a heavy emphasis early in the card. Worth a look at the early pick 5 the way things align.Each day this summer at Del Mar, I’ll be handicapping the action with my top plays on the card – including full-card selections for a featured program each week (this week’s full-card was Saturday).Del Mar: Race 1 | 5:00 pm ET#7 Mischievous Bev (7-2 morning line odds) has the co-best maiden win on paper in this non-winners of 2 lifetime claimer. Love that Emisael Jaramillo sticks to ride after the layoff and class drop even with his top barn Doug O’Neill with another option in here. Disregard poor debut effort here with tons of excuses and note sire Audible offspring are blind bets locally with 31% Dmr dirt winners in recent years. Win bet #7. Daily Double 7-8 bigger, 3-8 smaller. Pick Three 7-8-3 to maximize a potential sweep of our first 3 spot plays. Pick 7-3-8Del Mar: Race 2 | 5:33 pm ET#8 Perfect Life (8-1 morning line odds) gets to make the last run here after simply running out of real estate at 5-1/2 furlongs last time. Extra 110 yards helps the cause along with a field that contains some cheap speed to set the table. Note this group is 2-for-26 at Del Mar on dirt outside of the pick, who is 3: 1-0-1 and that last off-the-board effort was not bad at all for the distance. Win-place bet #8. Daily Double 8-3. Picks 8-7-1Del Mar: Race 3 | 6:07 pm ET#3 Mighty Kai (4-1 morning line odds) doesn’t care who leads him over, he just keeps firing despite 6 claims in his last 8 starts. He’s had 11 straight finishes in the superfecta, makes a natural class rise off a win at the distance at the meet and can repeat for a Antonio Garcia barn having its best Del Mar summer. Win bet #3. Picks 3-2-6Del Mar: Race 7 | 8:18 pm ET | Grade 2 Del Mar DerbySee my Xpressbet Race of the Week full analysis.Del Mar: Race 9 | 9:24 pm ET#4 Wild West Coast (5-1 morning line odds) had seriously compromised chance from far back last time when they waltzed a second quarter in 24-1/5 for a turf mile. Just missed by a head to Fibonacci’s Ride, who came back to win the Solana Beach Stakes out of that race. Pace here looks far more favorable for her late kick and she gets 5 pounds vs. elders. Win bet #4. Picks 4-1-10
By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park begins the week with a 16-race card. The Spot Plays are in Race 6, Race 7, and Race 11. They can be played to win or in gimmicks, and should be solid prices. The $1 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and it has a $10,000 guaranteed pool. The feature is also in race 11, an Open Handicap Trot with a $20,500 purse.Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.Race 6 (7:50 PM EDT)7-Dancin Suzy (9/2)-Could get a square price with this Dan Noble guided 4-year-old mare. Seemed to wake up last time after a string of dull efforts. My take is as soon as the wings fold this gal will be sent to the top. Could get the jump on #3, the even money choice who is a 3-year-old. Should be difficult to tackle if things go well around the opening turn.7-3-1Race 7 (8:12 PM EDT)4-Dandy's MNM (7-1)-Hoosier shipper makes its 3rd start in Ohio and 2nd at Nfld. Should be better acclimated and gets a ++ driver change in Aaron Merriman. Can offer a big price, needs a trip, and will rely on Merriman to execute a winning plan.4-3-9Race 11 (9:40 PM EDT)6-Abbey D (7/2)-Moves in one slot after missing a start and then was hung the mile leaving from post 7. Comes back in sequence, Noble sticks and should get a smoother trip. Has won 3 of 8 at Nfld and knows how to beat this kind.6-4-1Check me out on X!
By Xpressbet
EXTRA INCENTIVESBet & Get – Up to $50 | Del Mar | today’s races10X 1/ST Rewards Points | Summer Sweep 5 (Gulfstream/ Woodbine)1 Million 1/ST Rewards Points Hit & Split | Red Shores Charlottetown | Late Pick 4SPECIAL WAGERSSummer Sweep Pick 5 | Gulfstream Races 7-9-10, Woodbine Races 8-9--$1 minimum, 15% takeout, no CAWTOURNAMENT TIME$4,000 Del Mar Pacific Classic Betting Challenge | details$125 Fun in the Sun (Saratoga/Del Mar) | details$100 Saratoga Feeder | details$80 Del Mar Feeder | details$40 Canterbury Feeder | detailsNOTABLE CARRYOVERSJackpot Pick 5 | Prairie Meadows | $61,696 | begins Race 7 | 8:33 pm ETKEY RACESHorseshoe Indianapolis | Race 8 | 3:53 pm ET | Ellen’s Lucky Star HandicapGulfstream | Race 7 | 3:55 pm ET | Miss Gracie StakesMonmouth | Race 7 | 3:55 pm ET | Violet StakesWoodbine | Race 7 | 4:08 pm ET | Seaway StakesHorseshoe Indianapolis | Race 9 | 4:27 pm ET | Snack HandicapSaratoga | Race 10 | 6:07 pm ET | Ballston Spa StakesSaratoga | Race 11 | 6:42 pm ET | Alabama StakesDel Mar | Race 5 | 7:10 pm ET | Green Flash HandicapDel Mar | Race 9 | 9:10 pm ET | Del Mar OaksRed Shores (Charlottetown) | Race 15 | 9:30 pm ET | Cup & Saucer | Cimaglia video picksDel Mar | Race 10 | 9:43 pm ET | Pacific ClassicDel Mar | Race 11 | 10:18 pm ET | Del Mar MileCentury Mile | Race 11 | 10:30 pm ET | Canadian DerbyLONGSHOT RACE ALERT FROM BETMIXSaratoga | Race 5 | 3:06 pm ETEllis Park | Race 9 | 4:42 pm ETDel Mar | Race 2 | 5:32 pm ETTRAINERS TO WATCHChad Brown | Monmouth | 4 of 5 entrants 4-1 or less oddsDID YOU SEE?Yesterday | Saratoga | jockey Jose Ortiz | 3 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds from 9 mountsPUT US ON YOUR HANDICAPPING TEAMScott Shapiro: Saratoga Full-Card Saturday PicksJeremy Plonk: Del Mar Full-Card Saturday PicksMatt Bernier: Pacific Classic at Del Mar Fair Odds / AnalysisFrank Carulli & Brian W. Spencer best bets today in Xpressbet.com member’s section
By Matt Bernier
The G1 Pacific Classic takes center stage at the Del Mar Thoroughbred Club on Saturday, as 11 runners are scheduled to tackle the 10-furlong test that will reward the winner with a starting spot in the 2026 Breeders’ Cup Classic at Keeneland in October. Below you’ll find my fair win odds for each of the runners, as well as my thoughts on the contenders I find most appealing.1 – Om N Joy | 3% / 32-12 – Forged Steel | 7% / 13-13 – Finger | 9% / 10-14 – Subsanador | 3% / 32-15 – Malarchuk | 3% / 32-16 – Original Sin | 5% / 19-17 – Hit Show | 17% / 5-18 – British Isles | 2% / 49-19 – Navajo Warrior | 17% / 5-110 – Full Serrano | 6% / 15-111 – Knightsbridge | 28% / 5-2NAVAJO WARRIOR (9) has done little wrong since moving to the Saffie Joseph, Jr. barn, winning six races at six different tracks since last August, including a couple of graded stakes races most recently. A son of Candy Ride, Navajo Warrior has won both the Pimlico Special (pictured) and Cornhusker Handicap in front-running fashion, but given the pace scenario in Saturday’s Pacific Classic, that doesn’t seem like a likely scenario this time around. The good news? This five-year-old gelding has proven himself to be effective from off the pace, as well. He’s on an upward trajectory on the Beyer scale and he’s remarkably consistent as far as Thorograph is concerned (steady diet of 1.5s). The distance wouldn’t seem to be an issue, and, assuming there’s regression for Knightsbridge, a repeat of his recent performances may be enough to result in grade one glory.KNIGHTSBRIDGE (11) is the most interesting horse in this year’s Pacific Classic in terms of the bigger picture. His two-turn debut in the Monmouth Cup last month was phenomenal, earning a 122 Beyer Speed Figure and a -6 on Thorograph, both numbers that would win this race by open-lengths. At a short price, though, that’s far from a given. Not only does the son of Nyquist need to prove that he’s capable of producing those numbers right back, but he needs to do it at a new track, against better company, AND at a distance he’s never tried. If you could guarantee that he’d go off at his morning line odds of 5-2? Curiosity would kill this cat and I’d bite. I just don’t see any scenario where this horse is anything greater than 8-5, in which case representing an underlay.If you’re playing for a pace burn up, HIT SHOW (7) is the horse for you. Despite being a Dubai World Cup winner, the son of Candy Ride has never shown himself to be a true grade one type – but, aside from Knightsbridge, this field looks closer to a grade two than a grade one. The distance is of no concern for the Brad Cox trainee, and he’s shown on multiple occasions that he can produce winning efforts at different racetracks (his 12 victories have come at six different venues).The wildcard in this year’s Pacific Classic is clearly FINGER (3), the three-year-old shipping in from Japan. Never out of the exacta in eight career starts, the son of Gun Runner most recently was a front-running winner of the Tokyo Derby in June. By all accounts the form of the Tokyo Derby has held up relatively well, but this is a tall task. Not only shipping to Southern California from Japan but taking on older horses in his graded stakes debut is no small feat. While his intrigue is obvious, I’m skeptical that the Japanese narrative is going to result in him going off at an underlaid price. With the success that Japanese runners have had internationally over the past five years, it would be no surprise to see this runner go off as one of the favorites in the wagering. He’s a fascinating watch, not a fascinating bet, in this year’s Pacific Classic.MY PLAY: 9 – Navajo Warrior to WIN at odds of 5-1 or greater