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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 5 Analysis | Friday, January 7, 2022

by Al Cimaglia

January 7, 2022


The 0.20 Pick 5 kicks-off the card at Cal Expo and due to a $19,556 carryover, there will be a $75,000 guaranteed pool. The sequence has a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

5-Shes a Showstopper (9/2)-Rough-gaited at times as was the case last week and lost all chance after breaking stride. But can down this crew if races back to the previous start.
6-Brooklyn Moonshine (9/2)-Team Plano entry can dial it up on occasion. Raced near the lead in last but was passed by #1 down the lane. Could be better tonight, was off 3 weeks before the last start and has hit the board in 25 of 46 races at CalX with 9 pictures.
7-Summer Fantasy (5/2)-Not loving the morning line price with this post draw. But best to not overlook. Did finish 2nd to better here and Roland should have in play.

Race 2

1-Hoosier Poppy (2-1)-Makes the 2nd start off the bench and is usually competitive. Versus this field that makes this 4-year-old mare a 2-1 morning line favorite. Lackey could trip out with this post draw.
5-Hongkong B (9/2)-This is a field without much form and has had excuses in both starts here. This will be the 2nd time for Lasix and will take a swing and hope the price is right.

Race 3

2-Wizzel Stix (5/2)-Raced well versus this kind last week and was nipped by a nose. The winner isn't in this field and comes right back in sequence.
4-Daybreak Girl (3-1)-Makes the 4th start since September and takes a meaningful drop. Should be at a level for success and draws well.
7-Cenalta Glory (9/2)-Comes off a nice win against this kind last week. Draws outside and Stewart takes over for Plano so the price could be better. Was used a couple of times in last and this will be the 2nd start on Lasix.

Race 4

1-Howtotrainurdragon (6-1)-Bumps up a notch after getting on the engine and not looking back. But was DQ'd and placed 8th for a pylon violation. Willing to give another chance versus this field.
3-Skyway Raider (2-1)-Should be better here with a positive driver's change and is back in at a level to post a win. On 12-3, dropped and popped with Svendsen driving. The same plan could work here.

Race 5

4-Cut A Rug (3-1)-One of a few that could race off cover and would be helped by honest fractions. Roland will likely leave and try to race near the top of the stack. Can pass a few down the lane if brings his fastball.
5-Marced Magic (9/2)-Plano's choice over the 5-6-8 drops, should like the company and was off almost 3 weeks before the last start. Should be headed for the top. Inconsistent sort but has been successful at CalX hitting the board in 20 of 39 with 8 wins.
7-Bobs Time (8-1)-Stewart did well in his first steer, the 5-year-old raced better and the mare minded her manners. That try was at this class and was an improvement. Can surprise at a price if upswing continues.

0.20 Pick 5

Total Bet=$21.60

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