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Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Pace Night $125K Guaranteed Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 16, 2022

Saturday is Meadowlands Pace Night with over $2.5 million in purses for the 14-race card. The headliner is the $600,000 Meadowlands Pace which rolls in Race 12. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9. The sequence will have a $125,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Xpressbet and 1stBet account holders be sure to register for the Hit and Split contest to claim your share of $2,000 promotional dollars. The contest will involve the Late Pick 4 which starts in Race 9.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

1-Test Of Faith (8/5)-From another post this may have been a single but the comfortable plan for this champion is to not rush out of the gate. That said, David Miller is a top pilot and having to leave to protect position may not matter. The race will likely go through this outstanding mare.
5-Fire Start Hanover (8-1)-Recent form has been dull and should offer a price. Started from the rail in the last 2 and this post draw may work better. Was used early, raced gamely down the lane and no one was beating #1 last week. But this Norman trainee rolled home in .53 and the one below should be blasting out. Dunn can have this gal in striking range and could close well enough to catch the leaders.
6-Racine Bell (4-1)-Got the best of Faith on 7-3 but she was burdened with post 10. It would not be a surprise if Bartlett works a sharp steer to cash the top check. The trip will be the key and should be blasting out. Could be tough to catch if leading on the rail when turning for the wire.

Race 10

2-Catch The Fire (10-1)-Price shot looks like a live play in exotics and if somehow Bulldog fails to fire Zeron could be there to pick up the pieces.
7-Bulldog Hanover (6/5)-Unless this world beater has a brutal trip or a form reversal he wins. The last 3 starts have been unreal, and Bulldog goes in 146 and doesn't look to be breathing hard when taking a picture. This guy travels, wins on small or large ovals and looks like the 2nd coming of Rambling Willie, a horse for the ages.

Race 11

3-Ambassador Hanover (6-1)-Rallied late down the lane to finish 3rd and appeared to be handled conservatively which was probably a good idea. This is 1 of 4 Svanstedt pupils and has hit the board in 7 of 9 at M1. Should be racing closer to the leaders tonight.
8-Rattle My Cage (7/2)-Can leave as fast as the gate car. That tactical advantage along with the main threat starting from the 2nd tier gives the Svanstedt trainee an edge. It remains to be seen how much gas Gingras uses to land on the point.
11-Bella Bellini (3-1)-The post draw compromises chances for a photo. It makes things more difficult not starting on the gate and the inside horses don't have blazing gate speed. But make no mistake, compromises chances doesn't mean this great 4-year-old can't win. Dunn needs to work his magic, but it is wise to not overlook.

Race 12

3-Night Hawk (4-1)-Was a beaten odds-on chalk in last week's elimination but my guess is the connections were very happy with the effort. Often, David Miller leaves some gas in the tank for the final. Just missed by a neck and was following dull cover so best to respect tonight.
4-Market Based (5-1)-Was used early to get on the point and then took a pocket ride. Stayed strong through .27 third and fourth quarters and held on for the win. Has minded manners on larger ovals and should be in the hunt if that is the case again.
6-Beach Glass (7/5)-Posted the 1st win at M1 last week in dominant fashion (3-1-1-0). What was most impressive is the son of Somebeachsomewhere is getting handier. Gingras left for position, then was able to sit in a hole and later pulled to take over the race. Set a new lifetime mark in 148.1 and is not only getting faster but also smarter.

0.50 Late Pick 4

Total Bet=$27

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