Two carryovers at Aqueduct on Friday will tempt horseplayers to take a few bites at the Big Apple racing. The early pick 5 kicks things off with $285,092 already in the pool, while a $40,771 pick 6 carryover follows suit.
To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.

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Aqueduct

Race 1 (carryover pick 5 begins) | 1:20 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#2 Sounds Spooky (4-5) 25% | #3 Stormandy (3-1) 24%

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: Many will default to Pletcher’s odds-on favorite Sounds Spooky, but the NY-bred goes into open company after undistinguished tries. #1 Disturbed makes the biggest class drop in the field and adds blinkers, and #8 Steady’s Progress last runner-up could win this, though you have to swallow low-percentage connections to get there. Four-deep: 1,2,8,3.

Race 2 | 1:50 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#1 Indian Bella (4-1) 19% | #1A Viradia (4-1) 18% | #6 Prairie Fire (12-1) 18%

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: With several runners stepping up in class for this $20,000 claimer, it is dropper #7 Its Cold In Dehere that intrigues against a group mostly below this class of late. It’s almost like a double-drop in class. The one-time win machine has been off the mark of late, so he’s the play intra-race but likely needs some help in coverage. Four-deep: 7-1 (entry)-2-3.

Race 3 (carryover pick 6 begins) | 2:20 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#7 Refuah (5-2) 26% | #8 Eight and Sand (4-1) 19%

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: Four of these 8 maidens come out of the same Jan. 19 race, led by runner-up and now 10-start maiden Refuah. He tends to flatten out and has had many chances. I’ll toss that lot and look to fresh faces (note the AI doesn’t have enough data to fully evaluate the first-time starters). Chad Brown’s first-time starter #3 Spirit of St Louis finds a weak bunch and should graduate at first asking as a $300K son of Medaglia d’Oro cut out for distance on both sides of the pedigree. The barn is 8: 3-3-2 with rookies at the Big A since December 1. The value play to win is #6 Squid Gamer, who has a win-early pedigree and nearly perfect workout tab in spacing and with some hint of talent. Two-deep 6,3.

Race 4 | 2:51 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#1 Complete Agenda (8-5) 21% | #3 Irish Exit (12-1) 19% | #6 Fromanothamotha (6-1) 19%

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: Complete Agenda and Blue Grotto both come from so far back in the field that you’re tempted to take them down with some speed. #2 Doctor Love certainly is no speedball, but he’ll be midpack to forward and the rider upgrade to Manny Franco is notable after moving too soon and wide vs. Complete Agenda in early January. A bit of ground-saving and better timing – with first run on the closers – and look out. Gutsy single 2.

Race 5 | 3:22 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#8 Spelterini (5-2) 29% (no other above 15%)

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: Spelterini and Fabulously Funny were a half-length apart last time after both experienced some issues at the start. The race almost has to run through this pair unless rookie Swanson Lake comes out firing from her Churchill training base for respected Michael McCarthy barn. Three-deep: 8,7,4 though the algorithm says you can cut the ticket by two-thirds with a single.

Race 6 | 3:55 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#4 Scillay Cay (9-2) 31% (no other above 18%)

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: Morning line favorite Excelling Timing has lost 7 in a row (5 at 3-1 or less odds) and should take down any speed that’s within his vapors. Silly Cay and Whittingham Park should benefit from the set-up and come into the race in strong form. Two-deep 4,3.

Race 7 | 4:26 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#9 Downtown Mischief (7-5) 30% (no other above 17%)

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: Well-bred filly just totally spread-eagled her rivals in her debut, so it’s a natural class rise for Downtown Mischief where expectations are high. Midtown Lights would be the reasonable alternative, but by no means justifies doubling the cost of the ticket. Single 9.

Race 8 | 4:57 pm ET
1/ST BET Win Projection:
#12 Flattering Gal (9-2) 24% | #3 Wine Goddess (6-1) 15%

Jeremy Plonk’s Take: Lukewarm 7-2 morning line favorite War Museum is a 3-year-old filly tackling elders way too early in the year to take a short price on a rookie like that. Nearly all the elders in this race have 5-7 starts, so it’s not like they are lifetime losers despite still being maidens at this stage. The outside trio intrigue most. Four-deep 12,10,11,3.