Tuesday features a $79,740 carryover in the late pick 5 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, which boasts a low takeout of just under 12 percent. Races 4-8 make up the sequence as the start to the racing week in Shelbyville. Weather looks promising with partly cloudy skies and only a 10-percent chance of rain.

Horseshoe Indianapolis | Race 4 | allowance

#4 Louder Than Words was a distant runner-up last out to a next-start stakes winner and is quite capable in this second-off-the-layoff form cycle based on last year’s form. But she’s regularly lost margin on the winner late in dirt races and is susceptible to the upset at 7-5 in the morning line. If wet, you could see #1 Quick And Easy, but a fast forecast leaves me with #2 Amazing Gal, #3 Chelsea’s Strength, and #6 Everything’s Rosy as the best chances to beat the chalk.

Horseshoe Indianapolis | Race 5 | maiden special weight

Mix in the logicals with some price chances in this turf sprint. #2 Fancy Caber Neigh showed speed short and long in Kentucky and should be forward throughout from post 2. #5 More Than a Diva is well-drawn under a hot rider and was right on the wire vs. similar last time. #7 Market Profile jockey Joe Ramos has a ridiculous 10: 5-3-1 record in turf sprints this meet and takes over this Kentucky raider for Steve Asmussen who is a total X-factor on grass. #8 La Crema was forced from the rail in a 12-horse field last out and turf sprint ace trainer Rusty Arnold’s runner gets more breathing room here at 15-1 morning line.

Horseshoe Indianapolis | Race 6 | allowance

Morning line favorite #2 Ruggs ran the worst race of his career the last time over this Indy oval in October. Meanwhile, #6 W W Candy, second choice in the ML at 2-1, rallies from far off the pace and has won just 1 of his last 8. You don’t have to take a short price in a 6-furlong sprint where the profile leans speed. Let’s put our faith in #1 Improbable Journey with rail speed and coming off a good effort; #5 Breslau, a class rising winner for hot connections; and #7 Tripulante in search of his third straight win while on the rise.

Horseshoe Indianapolis | Race 7 | maiden claiming

At 12-1 morning line, my best bet is #7 Brisbane Road in this maiden claiming turf mile. Look for horses making changes at this class and distance, and the addition of blinkers as well as the first time stretching out in distance fit the playbill. Ramos has ridden 3 turf winners at the meet paying $29-plus. #5 Flurr and #3 Mrs. Speaker are viable options, but I’m anchoring myself to the price player.

Horseshoe Indianapolis | Race 8 | maiden special weight

Another nice price and chance to single -- where the bulk of the public won’t -- surfaces here with #3 Unbridled Devine. This is a race where many of these are re-matched in the maiden ranks, so give me the fresh face trying new things. Even-running sprinters often become excellent middle-distance routers and this filly has a pair of steady-Eddie local sprints. Her debut conqueror returned to win a stakes race next out, and the filly who ran second in her return race last time out has since returned to win a June 21 local maiden special weight. The 9-5 morning line favorite was beaten last out at 3-5 odds and goes to post for a 4% trainer and 6% jockey in 2023. Feel free to swing for something juicier.

The Ticket
Pick 5: 2,3,6 with 2,5,7,8 with 1,5,7 with 7 with 3 = $18 for $.50 play