by 1/ST BET
February 7, 2024
Parx boasts a $329,521 carryover in its Philly Big 5 wager and that pick 5 has a mandatory payout Wednesday that begins in Race 6 at 2:20 pm ET. Huge field sizes abound 12x10x10x9x12 and they make for 129,600 possible pre-scratch combinations.
To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.
You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app.
Parx // Race 6 // claiming
#1 Augie’s Girl (5-1 ML) // 23% Win Projection
Comments: An 11-point gap to a cluster of runners makes this a gutsy single right off the bat, but note favorites are 7-for-15 so far in 2024 at Parx in 6-furlong claiming sprints. So taking a shorter price with confidence here might not be as big of a risk at it seems.
Parx // Race 7 // claiming
#9 Mercy Mercy (4-1 ML) // 18% Win Projection
#8 Tilsa (9-2 ML) // 16% Win Projection
#1 Ipsum Gratis (5-1 ML) // 16% Win Projection
#10 Miss Loyalty (10-1 ML) // 12% Win Projection
#6 Gormley Girl (15-1 ML) // 10% Win Projection
#4 Canoochee (12-1 ML) // 10% Win Projection
Comments: Six runners are in double-digit Win Projections in a wide-open race as the top pick goes for a barn that is clicking strongly to start 2024. Get some coverage in this one.
Parx // Race 8 // claiming
#8 Souper Flyover (9-2 ML) // 23% Win Projection
Comments: Nearly identical Win Projections to Race 6 where the top pick is an 11-point spread over the rest and there’s a cluster of runners in close proximity below that one. The last time #8 Souper Flyover ran for the $5,000 claiming level he was a winner, and this 10-year-old likes to win races (16 career scores).
Parx // Race 9 // allowance-optional claiming
#5 Counterspy (5-2 ML) // 21% Win Projection
#8 Wicked Secret (4-1 ML) // 15% Win Projection
Comments: Top two morning line favorites could be deep enough in this spot, particularly with high-percentage Jamie Ness saddling #5 Counterspy. That runner’s last two bids at today’s one-mile distance are winning races vs. this group.
Parx // Race 10 // claiming
#6 Wood Be Wild (10-1 ML) // 17% Win Projection
#11 Neigh Dude (9-2 ML) // 15% Win Projection
#3 Rejected Again (12-1 ML) // 13% Win Projection
#4 Fatih (4-1 ML) // 10% Win Projection
Comments: Balanced group has four runners with double-digit Win Projections and no major separation points. Use as many as your budget allows as these 5-1/2 furlong dashes have been longshot havens at Parx in 2024 with an average winner of 8.4-1 odds.
The ticket:
1 with 9,8,1,10,6,4 with 8 with 5,8 with 6,11,3,4 = $24 for $0.50