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Frank Carulli: Keeneland Late Pick 4 | Friday, April 19, 2024

by Frank Carulli

April 18, 2024

Keeneland’s 50-cent Late Pick 4 drew more than $1 million in bets the first two Fridays of the meet. Get in on the action this Friday, April 18, will double-digit entries in three races surrounding the featured Grade 3 Doubledogdare Stakes.

KEE 7th race (4:12 p.m. EST) -- JUST MIGHT pressed fast fractions on a ‘good’ turf the last time he ran at Keeneland and led in mid-stretch before the closers passed by to get the money. He draws post 11 again but should be able to make better use of his speed in this field and enhance his $565k grass bankroll. OUTLAW KID earned a 100 Beyer speed figure when he won off a similar layoff to begin his 3-year-old season last summer on the Belmont lawn. He should sit a good stalking trip from just off the pace with Gaffalione summoned to ride. OCEANIC packs late wallop but must once again negotiate a crowded field from behind. He rallied wide and into photo-finish view behind 2022 Breeders Cup Turf champion Caravel and 2023 BC Turf favorite Golden Pal in a pair of Grade 2 stakes at Keeneland.

KEE 8th race (4:44 p.m. EST) -- DREAMLIKE, multiple graded stakes-placed at 1-1/8 miles as a 2-year-old, will be a solo play on a lot of Pick 4 tickets in his seasonal debut in allowance company. He is by champion Gun Runner (12-19, $15.9 million), who blossomed with age and closed his career with six consecutive victories in Grade 1 competition. HAVILDAR willingly chased but couldn’t reach the two favorites in his seasonal debut sprinting, but he has plenty of long-distance experience in his second start for trainer Richard Dutrow Jr., who belies his 1-for-15 sprint-to-route record this year.

KEE 9th race (5:16 p.m. EST) -- RAGING SEA tracked the pace in-hand until the far turn but had to survive long duels with the favorites to win a 1-1/8-mile allowance and Grade 3 Comely Stakes at the same distance. Both races produced multiple winners and today’s shorter test in the $300,000 Doubledogdare Stakes plays to her favor for trainer Chad Brown, who excels with layoff types. SCYLLA, a smashing debut winner at Keeneland and follow-up allowance runaway at Churchill Downs as a 2-year-old, led between calls late in her seasonal debut but lost by a neck to stakes-winning miler Beth’s Dream (6-13, $298k). She shows a pair of bullet breezes since then and is a deserving favorite in her first stakes try.

KEE 10th race (5:48 p.m. EST) -- NORTHERN INVADER is the only turf stakes winner in the field but he “lacked the required punch while flopping back to his left lead” and finished behind three double-digit longshots as the favorite last out. He lost as the odds-on choice in his last three starts and has post 11 to deal with today. If the favorite doesn’t win, several shippers from around the country make for an intriguing Pick 4 finale. NOISES OFF upstaged a series of runner-up finishes with a maiden-breaking turf romp and front-end allowance score on the surface switch late in his sophomore season. SCOOBIE QUANDO had trouble lines in both of his turf races, lacking stretch kick and posing no threat to multiple Grade 1-placed winner Webslinger. But he appears rounding to a good effort in the third start of a cycle and is one of several price plays to use on the ticket.

Suggested 50-Cent Ticket
KEE 7th Race: 6, 10, 11
KEE 8th Race: 3, 4
KEE 9th Race: 1, 3
KEE 10th Race: 1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11
Cost for 50-cent ticket: $48