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Saratoga 4: Post: 2:46 ET
Key Rolling Exotic Play Pick: 5-Profound.
Degree of Confidence: Hopeful.
Savers: none.

Forecast: We’re going to give Profound one more chance under the assumption that a change in strategy will create a form reversal. In his recent comeback, the once well regarded son of Twirling Candy was used on a quick pace but then faded when it mattered in an outing he probably needed, but today, with patient tactics, a significant form reversal is entirely possible. J. Ortiz stays aboard for a barn that does well with the second off a layoff angle, so if taken back and allowed to quicken late this sophomore colt should show his best stuff in just his third career outing in a race that did not come up particularly strong.


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Saratoga Race: 8. Post: 4:22 ET
Key Rolling Exotic Play Pick: 2-Shadow Banking
Degree of Confidence: Very good.
Savers: 1-Apalta.; 9-Rebellious Type

Forecast: After racing greenly and losing contact during the early stages in his debut, Shadow Banking , a big, strong, strapping colt, took hold wide into the lane and finished like a freight train when winding up third in a highly promising performance in the mud at The Big A in mid-May and surely can be expected to step forward today with an extra half furlong to work with. F. Prat stays aboard, and the. C. Brown barn hits at an amazing 30% with second time starters, so this 3-year-old son of Maclean’s Music should be able to contribute to the trend. Apalta and Rebellious Type are talented first timers and are worth including on your ticket somewhere just in case our top pick fails to deliver.


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Saratoga 9: Post: 5:45 ET
Key Rolling Exotic Play Pick: 6-Final Gambit
Degree of Confidence: Good.
Savers: 1-Tank; 3-Luther (GB).

Forecast: Final Gambit returns to grass for the first time since his debut and we believe the switch in surface will have a significant impact. The son of Not This Time, winner of the synthetic track J. R. Steaks S-G3 at Turfway Park three races back and a respectable fourth in the subsequent Kentucky Derbty-G1, most recently failed to make an impression when unplaced in the pace-less Matt Winn S. on dirt at Churchill Downs but could snap back in a big way under the nine furlong turf conditions of the Belmont Derby-G1. F. Prat got to know home last time out, stays aboard, and should have this colt within range at the head of the lane. The projected race shape is volatile but the price on the tote should be reasonable.