Log In

Frank Carulli: Monmouth Park Pick 3 Analysis | Friday, July 17, 2026

by Frank Carulli

July 16, 2026

Form has held well on the Monmouth Park turf course this month. Nine of the 15 winners were dismissed at 3-1 odds or less and only one was double-digit odds. Two crowded grass tests surround the main-track Mr. Prospector Stakes on the card this Friday, an inviting proposition for a Late Pick 3 wager to lead off Haskell weekend. Don't forget Saturday's $5,000 Hit & Split promotions with 1/ST BET and Xpressbet for Haskell Day at Monmouth. Here’s a closer a look at Friday's pick 3:

Monmouth Park 6th Race (4:45 p.m. EST)

THAT’S HOW WE LOVE debuts for a 24-percent turf barn. Her Triple Crown-winning sire, Justify, produced three multiple Group 1-winning millionaires in other countries and several graded stakes winners in the U.S. that included Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf winner Hard to Justify. ACADEMIA tracked a snails-like pace on the Aqueduct lawn, found her best stride in the stretch and went down fighting after she was herded by the winning favorite near the eighth pole. Trainer Chad Brown also sends out $400,000 sales buy ASSET LIGHT, 2-1/2 months after her debut in a Maiden Special Weight dirt sprint that featured a smashing winner and the Brown-trained runner-up Directive, who romped to a 91 Beyer in a MSW victory and repeated in allowance company. Her sire, Into Mischief, is the No. 7-ranked turf sire in North America this year. Price players need not look farther than SWEET SCIENCE, who was last seen in 2025 lacking room into the final turn, getting fanned 7-wide at the top of the stretch and rallying mildly behind recent allowance winner Bojaca Blessing (11/2-2-4, $97k). Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. is on a 5-for-21 run with turf routers off more than six months.

Monmouth Park 7th Race (5:21 p.m. EST)

BOOK 'EM DANNO (pictured), the 2025 Eclipse Award winner as champion sprinter, looms a deserving, odds-on favorite in the featured $200,000 Mr. Prospector Stakes. He tracked the dueling leaders through torrid fractions and surged by them late while in-hand to repeat in the True North Handicap at Saratoga for his fourth graded stakes win in his last five starts. If he doesn’t produce his eighth triple-digit Beyer, QUINT’S BREW could seize the moment at a much bigger price. He lacked room through the turn in a minor stakes race at Delaware Park but closed determinedly when free to remain perfect at 6F. He’s 6-for-11 the last two years, winning at three distances with an average 98 Beyer.

Monmouth Park 8th Race (5:55 p.m. EST)

BOLTAGE is 2-for-24 with no seconds and several trouble lines. But he has the best numbers on the class drop and gets plenty of speed to rally into on yet another jockey change. HERE COMES LEO awakened with Lasix and blinkers, breaking his maiden in a “triple key” sprint on Gulfstream Park’s synthetic surface and repeating in a starter allowance that produced next-out runaway Win N Juice (78 Beyer). He returns to the turf off similar rest. NEW YORK STRONG beat a suspect field at Penn National to snap a two-year winless drought, but he looked good doing it. He steadied near the top of the lane, regrouped with a 4-wide rally and widened his winning margin on the gallop out, a good sign with an extra half-furlong to navigate today.

Suggested $1 Pick 3
MTH 6th Race: 3, 7, 8, 9
MTH 7th Race: 2, 3
MTH 8th Race: 5, 7, 10
Cost for a $1 ticket: $24