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Monday, October 21: Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 21, 2019

Woodbine Mohawk Park begins the week with a 12-race card. The Early Pick 4 will begin in Race 4, it has a $50,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

3-Arsenal Seelster-Drury's choice tries this level from a better post, and should be a player. But 1-29 over last 2 years can't be ignored so be careful if overbet.
7-Think Again-8-year-old hasn't missed by much and is no stranger to the Wbsb winner's circle. Could win at first asking for new barn.
10-EL Wild Spirit-Came off the bench with a win in a much-improved effort. Can leave from here and could be a good trip away from an encore.

Race 5

1-Susies Lady-In good form, now draws the rail and the inside starting spot could make the difference.
2-Mybella Angel-Filly has ability but starts poorly at times and that has been costly. A major player if MacDonell can get off the gate in good shape.
8-Heid-McClure's choice makes only its 2nd start and came the last half in .58. Looks like a price play to consider and could be driven more aggressively tonight.

Race 6

1-Mystic Shadow-Will use at 10-1 in the ML, with this post draw could follow #2 and trip out for a victory.
2-Saulsbrook Raven-Tried a different approach in last, raced near the lead and was a game winner. Best to respect chances of following the same script.
6-Ms Brampton Beach-Should be in the hunt if AMac works a good trip, could pop at a square price.

Race 7

2-Red Hot Torch-Rallied nicely after a poor start against better. McClure sticks and this is a spot to shine at a price.
7-While Your Up-Needs to mind manners but has faced better and does have decent speed. Risky play and is only 1-20 but might be overlooked and go off higher than the ML of 5-1.
8-Warrawee Ultra-Faces easier, Roy is back and finally passed horses down the lane in last outing. Thinking Roy blasts out and tries to take advantage of others who start slowly.

My Ticket

Race 4) 3,7,10

Race 5) 1,2,8

Race 6) 1,2,6

Race 7) 2,7,8

Total Ticket Cost) $16.20 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia