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Friday, October 25: Woodbine Mohawk Park Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 25, 2019

It's Breeders Crown weekend and with some outstanding harness racing comes an Xpressbet promotion that can save you money. Xpressbet account holders who register will get up to a $10 refund for a win bet on Breeders Crown races 6-9 on Friday if the horse finishes in the money but doesn't win.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

5-Ms Savannah Belle (4-1)-Looking for an upset with a filly who has gotten better over the last few months. Draws well and could go off at a square price. Gingras stays with Burke, but Tetrick has driven her before and she can come off cover.
1-Hypnotic AM (5/2)-Not going to put much emphasis on last week's loss. Sears didn't appear too concerned about getting past by #2 down the lane, should be dialed on high tonight and probably gets away no worse than 2nd.
2-Sister Sledge (3-1)-Winner of 8 of 10 can add to that total tonight if gets the top or the two-hole without much strain. Is a must use in the Pick 5 but not sure will get the same kind of trip with a big purse on the line.

Race 7

1-Lyons Sentinel (9/5)-Winner of >$600k gets the slight nod here. Drawing inside of main foes shouldn't hurt and will respect the King-Tetrick connections.
4-New Year (7/2)-Makes only the 6th start of the year and has been impressive including last week's win. Draws well and has a big chance for top honors in what looks to be a great race.
3-Priceless (2-1)-Indiana Rockin Image filly has been a terror at HoP and is another that could take top honors. Only caution is two breaks in last five outings but is a major player if minds manners.

Race 8

9-Real Cool Sam (3-1)-Winner of >$454k has a perfect 9-9 record. Looks like the one to beat but has been off since 10/3. This post doesn't make it any easier, but two wins have come from the 9-hole, rates an edge.
4-Amigo Volo (4-1)-Has gone off-stride in last two but did come back after a break to win on 10/3 at Lex. Draws well and will respect but needs best to take top honors.
8-Capricornus (7/2)-Another who has been off since 10/3 and hasn't closed the deal in last three outings. May blast out and look to get a 2-hole trip behind #9 and sweep by down the lane.

Race 9

3-Papi Rob Hanover (8/5)-Impressive effort last week to make it two straight victories and looks the part of an 8/5 chalk. Probably will be put in play early and Miller should be able to work a smooth journey.
5-Capt Midnight (3-1)-The Capt is a winner in 5 of 6 at Wbsb but has been off since 10/5. Starts in a great spot to control the race and not look back.
7-Tall Dark Stranger (2-1)-Leads the field in earnings with over $542k in the bank but was a beaten odds-on favorite to #3 in the elimination race. Last effort wasn't as crisp, but it was the only blemish in eight starts.

Race 10

9-Lyons Pegasus (2-1)-Winner of 3 straight in fast miles since switching barns. Tetrick takes a seat and has enough gate speed to get a good early seat.
2-Cortez The Killer (8-1)-Gets some needed post relief and may like the company. Roy should provide a good steer and could pop at a nice price.
5-Atlantis (10-1)-Makes 4th start for new barn, will take a swing for a price and has raced well at Wbsb. Using instead of the ML chalk #8 who has been off since 9/16.

My Ticket

Race 6) 1,2,5

Race 7) 1,3,4

Race 8) 4,8,9

Race 9) 3,5

Race 10) 2,5,9

Total Ticket Cost) $32.40 for $0.20

Check me out on Twitter, @AlCimaglia