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December 13-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

December 13, 2019

The feature at Cal Expo rolls in Race 5, The Joe Lighthill Free for All Trot with a $10,000 purse. The 0.20 Pick 4 starts in Race 8 and it will be my focus. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

4-Al's Briefs (4-1)-Plano used this horse hard in the Horowitz Final from the 7-hole in the slop. That strategy didn't work well but $20,000 purses don't happen often at CalX. Will overlook last week and use from a good post versus these.
5-Timetoplaythegame (5/2)-Another who was used hard in the slop but should be tighter in 2nd local start. Should like the company and looks like a player.
7-Western Devil (6-1)-This will be a test but will toss last in the slop and Kennedy drives which could help a lot. Usually is in the mix, likes the track and could offer a square price.

Race 9

1-Ragin's Flight (8-1)-Fell short on 11/29 after brushing up to the lead versus $8k claimers. Fits in this condition and gets some post relief. Loses Wiseman to stablemate #7 but will use and look for a square price with Svendsen.
2-Bunkerhill Bill (5-1)-Makes 3rd start off the bench and has a win versus cheaper and a 3rd place finish at this class in last. Plano sticks, was bet hard in last try and now starts inside, instead of the 8-hole.
4-Prodigal (6-1)-Comes off a win and now steps up, loses Kennedy and Magee will steer. Will take a swing the improvement continues in 3rd start off the bench.

Race 10

1-Delightfully Wild (5-1)-Lackey takes over for Kennedy as this mare comes off a nice try from 8-hole at this class. This is the 3rd start off the bench and this gal loves this track (19-45) lifetime.
6-Marilyn (7/2)-Kennedy's choice is the lukewarm ML chalk and has been racing well. Steps-up and needs a top effort but best to not overlook.
7-Virgin Eyes (5-1)-10-time winner in '19 had a big try in 1st start of the meet and will look for an even better effort tonight.
8-Dancingonthesand (9/2)-Plested trainee is competitive but keeps drawing outside. Will respect connections and could take a picture with a top effort.

Race 11

1-Duannes Horizon (3-1)-Drops to the bottom class and gets a positive driver change with Kennedy between the pipes. Should be in the mix versus a suspect crew.
5-Uringoodhands (2-1)-Program chalk drops in 5th start of the meet. Svendsen's choice should be put in play early.
8-Major Jesse (6-1)-Only 1-33 in '19 and drops in 2nd race after time-off. Last start was fine, using and hoping for an upset for some juice in the Pick 4.

0.20 Pick 4

Total Bet=$21.60

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