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Gulfstream Sunday Mandatory Payout Rainbow 6 Analysis

by Jeremy Plonk

April 18, 2020

Gulfstream Park will have a mandatory payout in its Rainbow Six wager on Sunday. Races 6-11 on the program comprise the Rainbow Six, which has a 20-cent minimum base amount. Analysis has been made with the expectation of races remaining on their originally scheduled surfaces.

Race 6 (3:23 pm ET): OPTIONAL CLM at 1 mile (turf)

BAREEQA (9-5) should be a legitimate favorite coming off her victory Feb. 17 in the Mary Todd Lincoln overnight stakes. She’s won 4 of 9 over the course for high-percentage connections. If you extend beyond the BAREEQA, the floodgates open with similar-looking contenders and can swell your ticket cost rapidly. BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD (9-2) and SCATNAP (7-2) are logical players, while prices CODRINGTON (10-1) and SISTER GEMA (15-1) also deserve some attention. Depending on your budget size or strength of opinions in other races, it’s either BAREEQA or spread.

Race 7 (3:53 pm ET): CLM at 1 mile

BROOKES ALL MINE (2-1) has finished first or second in 5 straight starts and was recently claimed back by trainer Gerardo Quiroz. He’s consistently been a dirt miler at the $8000 level and should be trusted. Options here include GRACE’S DRAMA (7-2), a late runner twice behind BROOKES ALL MINE in recent months, and TIZ POSSIBLE DEAR (5-2), who finished behind that pair last out in her first attempt at the mile trip. I’ll feel safe to single here.

Race 8 (4:25 pm ET): ALW at 1 mile (turf)

Todd Pletcher-trained stablemates NO WORD (3-1) and MYSTIC LANCELOT (7-2) should have the edge in this allowance. NO WORD flashed promise at age 2, but has not been out since September. The barn excels off layoffs, so there’s less concern here than with some. MYSTIC LANCELOT chased a talented runner in Gufo last out over 1-1/8 miles and should appreciate the shorter trip based on pedigree and past performances. Price player LIFE ON TOP (15-1) hinted at talent in his maiden win from a wide draw in January before a disappointing run in the Grade 3 Palm Beach.

Race 9 (4:55 pm ET): OPTIONAL CLM at 1 mile

Top contenders TRAPPEZOID (3-1) and YES I SEE (5-2) both are deep closers and capable of winning this from off the pace. But if they’re too be defeated, you’ll want an early pace threat to go along with them to round out solid coverage. BLAKEY (6-1) could be the most effective on the front end.

Race 10 (5:25 pm ET): OPTIONAL CLM at 1 mile (turf)

Also-eligible ZABAVA (6-1) is the horse to beat if the class-dropper draws into the field for trainer Mike Maker. With or without that one, this is a competitive group. PAKHET (12-1) and ALL QUALITY (6-1) are Mark Casse trainees, and that barn typically has Keeneland-meant turf runners with conditions to do damage this time of year. SERANITSA (9-2) returns to Gulfstream, where she’s had some past success, and shows up in the barn of Brendan Walsh, who has had a good 2020 on turf. CARIBA (7-2) could win, but figures to be overbet off a runner-up by a nose and barn change to Christophe Clement. BERING STRAIT (4-1) finished alongside CARIBA last out despite a poor draw that day. She could turn the table.

Race 11 (5:55 pm ET): MSW at 1 mile (turf)

RENATA (7-2) draws a more favorable post in her second start after overcoming a wide go to finish second in a promising March 29 debut. There’s not a lot of proven Gulfstream open-company maiden special weight turf form in this race. But she’s age 3 against elders, so there’s some concern. The 4-year-old ROYAL MANDATE (6-1) needed her last from a tough post draw at Tampa and showed good life after nearly 4 months on the shelf.

Suggested Tickets:

Smaller Budget: 3 with 4 with 5,4,12 with 3,8,7 with 13,1,4,6,8,12 with 4,9 = $21.60
Larger Budget: 3,4,5,7,9 with 4 with 5,4,12 with 3,8,7 with 13,1,4,6,8,12 with 4,9 = $108