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Friday, July 31: Meadowlands Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

July 31, 2020

The Meadowlands 0.20 Pick 5 starts in Race 1 and it has a carryover of $52,665.84. Due to the carryover the guaranteed pool has been increased to $150,000. The sequence should attract a great deal of attention and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

6-Atomic Rei (5/2)-Well, the big Pick 5 doesn't start off with a field full of All-Stars but at least this guy can pass foes down the lane. 12-year-old benifited from a patient drive and some luck to weave through traffic to just miss. Dave Miller steers again and will probably be bet hard in a field who doesn't like to win.
9-Man He Can Skoot (12-1)-Taking a swing at this price, on an 11-year-old who has won >$500k. Usually toils on shorter ovals and makes 2nd start for new barn. Old timer can beat this field if dialed on high, last start was 7/10 versus $10k claimers. Dunn could get him going and can't completely trust #3.

Race 2

1-M Diddy (7/2)-Well bred filly faded versus stakes company and may have been handled more cautiously coming off a break. Could be ready for a big try for Burke and Tetrick.
2-Hello I Love You (3-1)-Dominated in a baby race and that was the 1st time with hopples. They probably won't be going to the half in .59 but upswing could continue and best to not overlook.
9-Extra De Vie-(5-1)-Had a sharp effort to win at Phil and then went to Stga and broke two times after being bet down to even money. Looking for a bounce back to previous start, post makes the price and thinking the big track will suit.

Race 3

1-Ideal Chill (7/2)-Using Dunn's choice here, has speed but needs to close the deal. Tough to pass up versus this crew but could be over bet, has gaps between starts and is only 1-25 at the Big M.
2-Willie Boots (5-1)-Comes off 2 sharp efforts from outside posts to finish 2nd both times. Willie is 1-39 in '19-'20 and a winner only 4 times in 74 Big M starts. Does offer a square price and Mark MacDonald steers and that's a ++ driver change.
6-Preppy Art (3-1)-1st start off the layoff was at PcD and it was a good try to pick-up 3rd place money. Looks like the main threat and is a sparkling 10 of 22 in East Rutherford. Zeron qualified him here on 7/3 and he is back in the bike tonight.

Race 4

3-Material Girl (5-1)-Makes 4th lifetime start, hit the board in each and all were at the Big M. Tetrick is back again tonight and he should put this gal in play. Using with the hope of adding some juice to the Pick 5 payout.
6-Ineffable (3-1)-Was bet down to even money and was a winner in a small stakes race at PcD. Came 3rd in 1st lifetime start here on 7/10 from the 8-hole in the slop. Not sure how good this filly is but will respect at a fair price.
7-Insta Glam (7/5)-Singling a 2-year-old in 3rd lifetime start is something many will do here. That is not my plan but this Father Patrick filly is 2-2 and has looked really good. Makes 1st Big M start and with a smooth trip she will be tough to beat.

Race 5

5-Grace Hill (2-1)-Always B Miki filly has been perfect on the 5/8's in 2 starts and now tries the big track. Qualified in 154.4 on the 7/8's oval at Wbsb back on 6/19. Speed doesn't seem to be an issue and could roll in 152 or faster here.
9-Caviart Audrey (7/2)-Just missed in Big M baby race, paced in 153.2, last 1/4 in 25.4. Post will make the price and could take a picture if pace is quick enough. Takter trainee raced the back half in 53.4 in 7/17 non betting race!

My Ticket

Race 1) 6,9

Race 2) 1,2,9

Race 3) 1,2,6

Race 4) 3,6,7

Race 5) 5,9

Total Ticket Cost) 21.60 for $0.20

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