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Friday August 07: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 7, 2020

Hawthorne Racecourse has 11-races scheduled with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $10,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 8

4-JB's Hero (6-1)-2nd start off of a sick scratch and Leonard sticks. 0-12 this year but this entire field has trouble winning. Does have 4 wins at Haw and only the 7 and 9 have had that much success at the Stickney oval.
7-In Your Eye (5-1)-Paced the back half in 56.2 in last and finished a close 2nd. Lackey needs to put into striking range and if pace isn't dull 6-year-old may roll by down the lane.

Race 9

3-Maximus (5/2)-Hoosier invader drops into a good spot, has won 9 of 14 at Haw and was Wilfong's choice over the 6. 4-year-old was a 7-time winner in 2019 banking >$74,000 and could take 1st picture in 7 tries this year.
4-Bold And Brassy (9/2)-Seekman's choice over the 5 drops after finishing 2nd in NW5kL4. Skimmed the pylons in last start but rolled the back half in 54.2. This looks like a spot to shine but is 0-6 at Haw.
7-Jersey Jim (6-1)-Another who drops but last start was dull. Caught a pocket ride and faded down the lane. Beaten even money favorite deserves another shot versus this group and the track last week seemed to favor closers.

Race 10

2-Incedible Evan (9-1)-Has had excuses in last 3 and offers a nice price tonight. Wilfong takes a seat and he has driven before. My thinking is a 2-hole trip could be in the cards behind the chalk.
3-He's Masterful (2-1)-Program favorite loses Leonard who drives #6 for his father and that may help the price. Stewart has won with the 4-year-old last fall and he may leave to get the top and not look back.
8-Ringo Hotspur (25-1)-Ringo has been starting slowly but this time could be different. This is the 2nd start off the bench and did mind manners in last. Franco's choice over the 7/10 is a risky play but should offer long odds.
9-Frontier Muffler (9/2)-Came 2nd in last and beat 4 from this field. Starting outside won't help but last start was the best effort for new barn and upswing may continue. Smolin could leave as there isn't much gate speed in this field.

Race 11

2-Straight Munro (9/2)-Leonard's choice over the 9 should be a threat versus this group. The post draw could help set-up a nice close-up seat and lead to a brush down the lane.
5-RG's Tracer (5/1)-Came off a sick scratch, was bet down to 1/2 and had an even effort to finish 3rd. Team Seekman entry could be ready for an aggressive try. There's not much gate speed inside and 3-year-old can get on the engine.
9-Chick Magnet (25-1)-Was a sick scratch on 7/24 and then raced in the slop, before that form was good. Looking for a top effort and the post makes for a big price.
10-Bright Boy (5-1)-Broke at the start in the slop last week. 4-year-old recovered quickly and finished 2nd. This is a game horse so Smolin could find live cover and grind it out. Best to respect even with this post draw.

My Ticket

Race 8) 4,7

Race 9) 3,4,7

Race 10) 2,3,8,9

Race 11) 2,5,9,10

Total Ticket Cost) $48 for $0.50

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