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Saturday, August 15: Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

August 15, 2020

Scioto Downs has a 15-race card ready to go tonight and the 0.50 Pick 5 begins in Race 5. That sequence will be my focus and it has a low 14% takeout.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

3-My Hero Ron (5/2)-Sutton's choice over the 1 and 9 has won over $249K at ScD and drops into a good spot. Was battling Open company and most recent start at this class was in the slop. Could be sitting on a big try.
7-Americanfirewater (10-1)-Will toss last versus Open company in a needed start. Likes to win having taken 14 pictures in last 44 starts and can leave in a hurry to be forwardly placed at a price.
8-Yankee Boots (5-1)-Morgan stable entry was the choice of Sutton over #7. Drops into a spot to shine, likes to get on the engine and is another who could be flying off the gate.

Race 6

1-Hitman Hill (2-1)-Only 1 for 9 this year but drops, draws the rail and can race at the top of the stack. Not sure this 5-year-old can be trusted but has no excuse.
2-My Buddy Ninkster (20-1)-Will toss last from the 9-hole and take a swing for a price. Fits with this crew but the risk is concerning the steer. If Barker can work a decent trip this guy could surprise, likes the track and will use in gimmicks.
7-Odds On Delray (7-1)-Not the best of trips in last from the rail but this race could set-up differently. Sutton can find some live cover and pace could be hot as there could be 3 leaving from the inside. Best to respect at a square price.

Race 7

4-Gold Digger King (5-1)-Pet Rock 4-year-old has been in the money in 17 of 22 starts at ScD and is in play with some post relief. May get a win at this class at a square price.
5-Stars Align A (5/2)-Steps up off a sharp win and hot barn has been winning at a 30% clip over the last 30 days. Should be in the mix but doesn't offer much value at the morning line odds.
8-Havefaithinme N (3-1)-The post helps the price and shows a couple of wins this summer versus Open company. This is a competitive horse that could win from out here.

Race 8 (3-1)

6-R Bazingga (2-1)-Loses Brett Miller but Smith will be out and rolling as this Morgan trainee looks to snag 4th straight win. The morning line chalk has been really sharp and could get the top without much strain so will string along.

Race 9

1-American Dreamer (9/2)-Will look for some value and my thinking is a great trip could line up following #5. Deaton can take advantage of a ground saving mile and sweep by at a solid price.
5-Escaprtothebeach (5/2)-Ships in from the Big M and has done well at ScD hitting the board in 2 of 3 starts with 1 picture. Should enjoy the company, and with a smooth trip will be tough to beat.

My Ticket

Race 5) 3,7,8

Race 6) 1,2,7

Race 7) 4,5,8

Race 8) 6

Race 9) 1,5

Total Bet = $27 for $0.50

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