Kentucky Downs moved its Sunday card to Tuesday due to wet weather, and we benefit from what is now a fantastic weekday offering. The short, all-turf boutique meeting is a handicapping challenge, so the 1/ST BET app can help you bridge the gap with a data-driven process.

Selections provided by the 1/ST INDEX measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.

Xpressbet and 1/ST handicapper Jeremy Plonk provides his human insights to the AI picks for the next-to-last day of the Kentucky Downs meet, which will then wrap Wednesday.

Race 1 (1:15 PM ET) // maiden // 6-1/2 furlongs

7 – Telephone Talker (26% W // 44% P // 64% S)
4 – Bakers Bay (19% W // 38% P // 55% S)
1 – My Boy Blue (12% W // 27% P // 40% S)
5 – Joyful Suprise (10% W // 21% P // 37% S)

Jeremy’s Take: The 8-5 morning line favorite Telephone Talker and 9-2 third choice Bakers Boy give the Ortiz Brothers a stranglehold on the 1/ST INDEX. Telephone Talker has been the beaten favorite in 3 straight races, so you’re allowed to consider Bakers Bay, whose trainer Shug McGaughey has a $22 winner at the meet.

Race 2 (1:47 PM ET) // claiming // 1 mile

8 – Barrel of Destiny (20% W // 37% P // 54% S)
6 – Gamblin Train (19% W // 36% P // 51% S)
3 – Color Me Pretty (17% W // 32% P // 48% S)
1 – Gianna’s Gift (14% W // 27% P // 40% S)

Jeremy’s Take: Trainer Mike Maker has the 1/ST INDEX top choice and morning line favorite in both halves of the opening daily double. There’s not a wide margin among the computer selections here, and given the two favorites were beaten 12 and 17 lengths last time out (and now drop in class), value shoppers might be well-served. Color Me Pretty is 8-1 morning line and in good form vs. lesser.

Race 3 (2:19 PM ET) // maiden // 6-1/2 furlongs

9 – Becca’s Rocket (20% W // 38% P // 57% S)
8 – Naughty Nellie (14% W // 29% P // 40% S)
7 – She’s So Cali (12% W // 22% P // 35% S)
2 – Blue Grass Anna (11% W // 23% P // 35% S)

Jeremy’s Take: The algorithm’s blindspot with first-time starters must be considered here with Wesley Ward’s Epicurean) among several rookies worth a look, including Golden Glow. 1/ST INDEX respects Louisiana/Texas raider Becca’s Rocket a bit more than the public might.

Race 4 (2:51 PM ET) // allowance // 6-1/2 furlongs

8 – Jades Gelly (24% W // 41% P // 57% S)
9 – Sugar Love (13% W // 24% P // 35% S)
5 – Zero to Sixty (12% W // 25% P // 37% S)
7 – Moravia (10% W // 25% P // 40% S)

Jeremy’s Take: The 11-point spread in the 1/ST INDEX is second-largest on the card. The 6-1/2 furlong distance might be a shade far for Jades Gelly, so late-running Zero to Sixty looks like the logical threat with a strong finish. It should come down to this pair, early and late.

Race 5 (3:23 PM ET) // claiming // 1 mile

5 – Cashanova (20% W // 37% P // 50% S)
2 – Kurilov (17% W // 37% P // 48% S)
7 – P Club (15% W // 28% P // 37% S)
9 – Basha (11% W // 20% P // 32% S)

Jeremy’s Take: Cashanova takes a big class drop for a Brad Cox barn that’s a strong 10: 3-1-1 at the meet, and 7: 3-1-1 with horses 7-1 or less. Cox and Florent Geroux have teamed for 2 wins at the meet, including the Grade 3 Kentucky Turf Cup with Arklow on Saturday. Cashanova rallies from far back, so if you’re going to beat him, it’s probably with an early speed-type, which in this race would be Firewater Jake or longshot P Club as most likely for a front-end heist. The 1/ST INDEX is against 5-2 morning line favorite Armchair Jockey.

Race 6 (3:55 PM ET) // maiden claiming // 7 furlongs

6 – Copper King (29% W // 49% P // 68% S)
5 – Suggested (20% W // 35% P // 49% S)
2 – Tiz Light the Way (15% W // 31% P // 46% S)
3 – Autopilot (11% W // 24% P // 47% S)

Jeremy’s Take: The 29% top choice is the largest of the card with Copper King – but he’s never run on turf and trainer Steve Asmussen is 1-for-21 at the meet. He’s bred fine for grass and could just lay over these, but 2-1 on the morning seems no bargain. Tiz Light the Way should be well-suited for 7 furlongs on grass and is my choice, while including the top runner in multi-race bets.

Race 7 (4:27 PM ET) // optional claiming-allowance // 7 furlongs

5 – By Your Side (26% W // 51% P // 70% S)
7 – Power End (21% W // 32% P // 46% S)
1 – Mishko (18% W // 30% P // 43% S)
4 – Hay Dakota (15% W // 30% P // 40% S)

Jeremy’s Take: 8-5 morning line chalk Hay Dakota doesn’t get the same respect from the algorithm, but I disagree. He looks rock-solid after a strong finish behind a slow pace last time. The 7-furlong distance may be shorter than his best; so if you beat him, it’s from the front end. Respect connections with By Your Side, who isn’t sell-out speed, but should get first run on the pace ahead of Hay Dakota.

Race 8 (4:59 PM ET) // maiden // 6-1/2 furlongs

6 – Miss Adeline (20% W // 38% P // 57% S)
1 – Baytown Emmalee (14% W // 29% P // 40% S)
5 – Train to Artemus (12% W // 22% P // 35% S)
2 – Bee Fast (11% W // 23% P // 35% S)

Jeremy’s Take: None of the experienced runners in this field have impressed, so the first-timers should have the most say. They’re underrepresented in the algorithm, but my focus will be on Train to Artemus, Persevering and Palm Court.

Race 9 (5:32 PM ET) // stakes // 1-5/16 miles

3 – Mrs. Sippy (28% W // 56% P // 68% S)
5 – Siberian Iris (19% W // 33% P // 55% S)
6 – Over Thinking (18% W // 30% P // 46% S)
4 – English Affair (17% W // 38% P // 58% S)

Jeremy’s Take: Even-money morning line favorite Mrs. Sippy stands out off her Grade 1 form. She needed her last start after a long break perhaps, but trainer Motion has been struggling this summer at just 7% since July 1 and 0-19 at the meet. Give an upset shot to Over Thinking, who broke her maiden here in 2017 at 45-1 and whose form cycle has improved around this time of year in past seasons. Her last was promising.

Race 10 (6:04 PM ET) // stakes // 6-1/2 furlongs

11 – Emro (25% W // 43% P // 53% S)
10 – La Libertee (13% W // 18% P // 27% S)
8 – Lady Edith (12% W // 24% P // 35% S)
6 – Kewpie Doll (10% W // 21% P // 30% S)

Jeremy’s Take: 12-point spread is the day’s largest and it comes with a 6-1 morning line proposition in Emro. Likely favorite Red Ghost gets snubbed by the 1/ST INDEX, despite the fact that trainer Wesley Ward’s last 5 two-year-olds at the meet have run first or second, including a 1-2 stakes finish on Saturday. Give a longshot consideration to 20-1 morning line prop Fouzia via Gulfstream. Her last race was good, and sire Sky Mesa gets rock-solid results at KD historically. Red-hot Florida trainer Saffie Joseph gets veteran Julien Leparoux, a nice KD pairing.

Race 11 (6:36 PM ET) // stakes // 6-1/2 furlongs

7 – She’s So Special (23% W // 38% P // 45% S)
6 – She’s My Type (12% W // 15% P // 22% S)
14 – Evil Lynn (10% W // 20% P // 28% S)
11 – Miss J McKay (9% W // 17% P // 24% S)

Jeremy’s Take: The 11-point spread is second-largest of the card, and you get a 12-1 morning line shot with it by way of She’s So Special. Kimari merits a ton of respect and must be used, despite no love from the 1/ST INDEX. Enola Gay, a course and distance winner here last year, could be the bet. Trainer Shug McGaughey is 1-for-43 with debut turf sprinters since 2013, and that 1 is Enola Gay’s unveiling over this same course and distance a year ago. She could be a special horse-for-course considering that initial outing and how it was so out of character for the barn. Longshot look to 20-1 morning line price Outburst for high-percentage KD connections Florent Geroux and Eddie Kenneally, who rarely team up, but are 33% together on turf since 2018 and nearly 50% in the exacta. Finite is a course winner returning to turf and was on the brink of being one of the Kentucky Oaks favorites this spring.