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Friday, October 30: Hoosier Park Pick Late 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 30, 2020

It is opening night of Breeders Crown weekend at Hoosier Park. There are 15-races ready to roll with four being Breeders Crown events. The 0.50 late Pick 4 starts in Race 8. The first and third legs will feature top 2-year-old fillies and colts. The sequence has a $40,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 12

2-JK Alwaysbalady (7/2)-Put it all together last week with a 55.3 last half on a sloppy track. Comes off an impressive win and now Gingras chooses over #3, Caviart Audrey. Last could have been a fluke but my guess is things may have finally clicked for this Takter 2-year-old.
5-Scarlett Hanover (4-1)-Seem to like an off-track and just missed by a head of beating #2. Burke trainee is ultra-consistent finishing in the top two in 10 of 13 starts with 6 wins. Draws well and this gal should be there at the wire.
7-First Start Hanover (3-1)-Did all the heavy lifting in the elim and faltered in the final yards. Not sure if faltered is the correct way of putting it, maybe more like eased up. Dunn may have been saving some gas for this week and it is best to respect that possibility.

Race 13

4-Mystical Carrie (3-1)-Home town favorite is 8 of 21 at HoP and has had a nice year banking over $170k. This looks like a 2-horse race and will lean slightly to Carrie because of past experience on this surface.
7-Marloe Hanover (5/2)-Races against tough fillies on different size ovals. Hasn't had the same success as last year but still looks to have the best chance of downing #4. Had a 150.3 mark at the Big M as a 2-year-old but has been mostly working on smaller ovals this season.

Race 14

2-Perfect Sting (7/5)-Always B Mike colt is a perfect 9 for 9. Raced huge last week in 150.4 in the slop and drew off down the lane. The showdown with #3 should be fun to watch.
3-Southwind Gendry (8/5)-Gendry has won 9 of 11 and only losses have come when breaking stride. Has won 2 times at HoP, once on a fast track and last week in the slop. It's hard to split the top pair.
6-Summa Cum Laude (10-1)-Most will use the 2 chalks only in the Pick 4. But this Burke trainee could make things interesting. Has the speed to possibly get the top or at least make the 2 favorites work for it. Should get a good trip, Sears can keep her close and take a shot down the lane at a juicy price.

Race 15

1-JB's Shooting Star (15-1)-Comes of a nice win last week and does best work racing near the top of the stack. Smith should have her forwardly placed and could benefit with the post edge at a solid price.
4-Quite a Sight (10-1)-Widger takes a seat and will toss last versus tougher on a sloppy track. Fits well here and at the morning line odds offers some value and should be in the hunt.
9-Buzinga N (15-1)-Raced well in the slop last week and could blast out to get a good early seat. Has the gate speed for Bates to work a smooth trip and could use a big brush to roll by late.
11-It's Time For Fun (7/2)-Using from the 2nd tier and leaving the morning line chalk #10, who is only 2-26 in 2020, off the ticket. Wilfong could win coming off cover and #2 may leave which could help this mare get a better seat.

My Ticket

Race 12) 2,5,7

Race 13) 4,7

Race 14) 2,3,6

Race 15) 1,4,9,11

Total Ticket Cost) $36 for $0.50

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