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Hoosier Park Late Pick 5 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

October 31, 2020

Tonight, Hoosier Park has a 15-race card and a sequence of eight Breeders Crown Finals start with Race 8. The 0.50 Late Pick 5 begins in Race 11 and it will be my focus.

Last night the driver with the hottest hands was Dave Miller who had three wins. The top conditioners were Erv Miller and Joe Holloway, both had two trips to the winner's circle.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

2-Amigo Volo (6/5)-Has made it look too easy in 5 of last 6 starts. Still closed in 26.1 last week and was parked into a 27.1 opening quarter. If this Norman trainee is at the top of his game it should be the 8th trip to the winner's circle in 14 starts this year.
4-Play Trix On Me (20-1)-Interesting price shot who has been sent out after the lead in the last 2 races which is a new tactic. In the 10/15 win this colt beat #1 and #6. Last week blasted out from the 9 hole and was parked until getting the lead in a 26.2 opening quarter and raced gamely to the wire. Tonight, Joe B. can get a close-up seat and come on later in the mile. If the pace is hot the Toscano pupil should be passing foes down the lane. Using in exotics and should be a big price.

Race 12

3-Kissin In The Sand (7/5)-It almost seems like this great mare has toyed with her opponents when winning the last 6 starts. Was used from the 9-hole last week and still paced the last 1/4 in 25.3. This is her race to lose.
5-Warrawee Ubeaut (6-1)-Raced well last week in first start on Lasix to finish 3rd to the morning line choice. Champion 4-year-old has won over $1.7 million and if the favorite falters Gingras should be there to cash a big check.

Race 13

1-Tall Dark Stranger (3/5)-Trying to beat this unbelievable 3-year-old has been a recipe for disaster and there aren't many that have a chance tonight. It could be 20 wins in 22 tries and that is what probably happens.
3-Catllewash (5/2)-I have had this colt on my radar for months. Scorched the elim in 147.3 in gate to wire fashion. Burke trainee is at his best and went to the 3/4's 120.3 and paced the final quarter in 26.4. If Miller can repeat a similar trip and somehow TDS is not in striking range at the top of the lane, an upset could take place.

Race 14

3-Gimpanzee (9/5)-Melander trainee is having another fine campaign and is a perfect 2-2 at HoP. Raced well last week and his perfect record here tips the scales slightly for me.
5-Atlanta (8/5)-Winner of 2 straight had another really good year banking over $600k so far. It would be no surprise if she picks up the first HoP win in 4 tries.
8-Katkin American (5-1)-Hometown hero has raced 20 of 21 times at HoP and has 7 wins in 9 starts this year. Has a lifetime mark of only 151.2 and may need to go in 150 or faster tonight. Will take a swing for a price and many wins have been by open lengths so I don't think we have seen the best from this Guccio gelding.

Race 15

1-Sectionline Bigry (8-1)-Came the last 1/4 in 24.4 but couldn't catch Bettor's Wish last week. Thinking this time, a different plan will be followed and will not be almost 8 lengths back at the start. With main foes stuck outside Smith can be aggressive and could take a picture.
7-Century Farroh (4-1)-Faded down the lane a bit after working to get the top in a 26.2 opening quarter. This will be 2nd time for Lasix and wins haven't come as often this year but best to not overlook.
9-Bettor's Wish (8/5)-Morning line chalk has been a on big roll winning last 4 starts. Dunn's job will be more difficult with this post draw. Another win could happen so can't leave out entirely but will shoot against to find some value.
10-This Is The Plan (5-1)-Burke trainee has 3 wins this year in 12 starts and did come out on top in the Hoosier Pacing Derby on 9/25. It's best to consider even from the 10-hole. Gingras could work a trip and might be closer to the lead than Bettor's Wish at the top of the lane.

0.50 Pick 5

Total Bet=$48

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