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Saturday, November 14: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

by Al Cimaglia

November 14, 2020

Tonight, Woodbine Mohawk Park has an 11-race card ready to roll. The headliners are 3-year-old filles competing in the Standardbred Breeders of Ontario Association Finals. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 4. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 4

2-Back In The Game (6-1)-Willing to take a swing for a decent price in a race where the morning line chalk is taking a good drop. This will be the 3rd time for Lasix and the last 2 starts came from post 8 and 10. This mare has come up with big efforts in every other race since late September. Finished 9th last week, so best to respect tonight with this post draw.
6-Boadicea (5/2)-Often top 3-year-olds have a difficult time in their 4-year-old season competing against older horses. This mare earned over $417K last year and has only $52,228 in the bank in 2020. Drops to a spot to wake-up and hasn't been in this soft all year.

Race 5

2-Sonadora Deo (4-1)-Has been in the money in 8 of 12 starts this year. Came off the bench after being off almost a month and from the 9 hole rolled the 2nd half in 56.1. Looking for an aggressive try and should be forwardly placed.
4-Susies Lady (5/2)-Comes off an impressive win last week from the 8 hole in the elim and drew off by 4.5 lengths. It wouldn't be a surprise to see Susie take another picture but she will have to earn it at a short price.
5-PL Notsonice (3-1)-Won her elimination but didn't dominant. But a win is a win and that was her 1st victory at Wbsb and that could matter tonight. Using and hoping for some value as she might be overlooked at the windows.

Race 6

2-Parisian Blue Chip (9/2)-Was out and rolling in last and got the top rather easily. The odds-on chalk took the lead in the 2nd quarter and the 2-hole trip didn't work out. Was loaded with pace but was blocked down the lane. McNair returns, looks like a major threat and should be bet hard.
5-Gias Surreal (4-1)-Was racing in 7th at the top of the lane and flew by everyone. That was an impressive win, especially so as the rally came off dull fractions.
8-So Much More (5/2)-This mare likes to win and can hold her own and then some even against the boys. Winner of 19 of 42 at Wbsb and 10 of 26 this year is a player but will need to be on top of her game from this post. Will respect but also look to others.

Race 7

1-Lauras Love (7/2)-Won't be blasting off the gate but McClure should not be as far from the top leaving from the rail. Betterthancheddar filly likes to roll late and should be in striking range at the top of the stretch.
5-Karma Seelster (3-1)-Did get some overdue revenge versus Lauras Love in last and benefitted from a very good trip. McNair should be leaving hard and the same type of trip could work again.

My Ticket

Race 4) 2,6

Race 5) 2,4,5

Race 6) 2,5,8

Race 7) 1,5

Total Ticket Cost) $7.20 for $0.20

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